Texas Political landscape going into the 2020 elections (Houston, Dallas: fit in, job market)

[Spade]

Whats happening is that Texas is turning into the other states when it comes down to the suburbs. Pretty much every state that is blue come down to the suburbs. Illinois, Virginia, Maryland are just some of the examples. The GOP for the longest had a stranglehold on the suburbs but are now losing their grip as of late. I still think a Texas is red but the days of it being deep red like Oklahoma or the Deep South states are gone.

[ParaguaneroSwag]

Originally Posted by Spade

It’s going to come down to the suburbs. Democrats have no shot in the rural, small, or medium size cities like Lubbock and Amarillo. Republicans have no shot in the actual cities of Houston, Dallas, Austin, San Antonio, and in the future, Fort Worth. They are trying their best to hold on to Tarrant county but it is going to be very tough. Fort Worth is likely already blue.

Collin, Denton, Fort Bend, and Williamson counties could be the counties that swing Texas either red, purple, or blue. I don’t know if we see that happen in 2020. But 2024 will be very interesting. The urban counties of Harris, Travis, Dallas, Bexar, El Paso, and maybe Tarrant are going to become even more blue each cycle. Fort Bend I think is blue from now on. The others could very well be toss ups in the very near future.

Fort Bend and Hays County are already blue for good.

[Spade]

Originally Posted by ParaguaneroSwag

Fort Bend and Hays County are already blue for good.

I said that for Fort Bend. Hays is another suburban one but I think Williamson is the bigger prize in the Austin area. More populated and will become even more populated as each year passes.

[brock2010]

Originally Posted by Spade

I said that for Fort Bend. Hays is another suburban one but I think Williamson is the bigger prize in the Austin area. More populated and will become even more populated as each year passes.

So would you say that Texas will end up like Florida or Ohio?

[Spade]

Originally Posted by brock2010

So would you say that Texas will end up like Florida or Ohio?

Florida. I think West Texas will be like the Panhandle. Both will continue to be solidly red. While the eastern portion will be like peninsula Florida. Still some red but the metro areas as a whole will become purple to solidly blue.

[tstone]

Originally Posted by Spade

Whats happening is that Texas is turning into the other states when it comes down to the suburbs. Pretty much every state that is blue come down to the suburbs. Illinois, Virginia, Maryland are just some of the examples. The GOP for the longest had a stranglehold on the suburbs but are now losing their grip as of late. I still think a Texas is red but the days of it being deep red like Oklahoma or the Deep South states are gone.

There are a few from the NE and W. coast, but the majority of the suburban transplants I've encountered in different neighborhoods I've lived in are from red states in the Deep South and Great Plains that have stagnant economies. They ''got out'' by having good grades and bachelors degrees but they still bring their religious right-wing belief systems with them-- some of which would make native Texans cringe. I don't think any red suburbs (around Houston) are turning blue for 2020 or even 2024.

[BBslider001]

Bye bye Texas. It was sure nice when you were Americana, Red, and had good BBQ no matter where one stopped. At least there is Buc-ees.

[Foamposite]

Originally Posted by BBslider001

Bye bye Texas. It was sure nice when you were Americana, Red, and had good BBQ no matter where one stopped. At least there is Buc-ees.

Texas is still fairly red and has BBQ everywhere.

[Ivory Lee Spurlock]

Most of the suburbs thruout the country are alot more diverse than they were in the previous century. Alot cities are much whiter than they were in the previous century. I think what's happening is as the cities gentrify, the cities are becoming more and more unaffordable for just about any family with less than a mid-middle class income and they are moving to the suburbs. It just so happens a good portion of the population that makes no more than a mid-middle class income are black and Hispanic, and they are being priced out of their traditional ethnic neighborhoods that their families have been in for generations. As that continues, eventually the suburbs will turn blue as they become less white and poorer and the cities will turn red, as they become whiter and wealthier. Now that's just my opinion. I could be wrong, but I doubt it.

[Foamposite]

Originally Posted by Ivory Lee Spurlock

Most of the suburbs thruout the country are alot more diverse than they were in the previous century. Alot cities are much whiter than they were in the previous century. I think what's happening is as the cities gentrify, the cities are becoming more and more unaffordable for just about any family with less than a mid-middle class income and they are moving to the suburbs. It just so happens a good portion of the population that makes no more than a mid-middle class income are black and Hispanic, and they are being priced out of their traditional ethnic neighborhoods that their families have been in for generations. As that continues, eventually the suburbs will turn blue as they become less white and poorer and the cities will turn red, as they become whiter and wealthier. Now that's just my opinion. I could be wrong, but I doubt it.

White conservative voters have yet to make any city redder. White transplants into cities (at least major cities) tend to be ultra liberal.

Also, Hispanics are increasing population wise pretty much everywhere in the country, so I don't really believed that they're being "pushed out" en masse.