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Old 05-31-2020, 01:53 AM
 
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What major changes do you see going into the 2020 elections? I don't think this is the year that Texas votes blue, but there's no denying Texas is heading towards that direction. In the 2016 elections, Fort Bend County emerged as the first true suburban county to go blue (since the political landscape shift). In 2020, Hays county could follow. Tarrant County will probably remain as the only urban red county.

All eyes were on the historically close race between Cruz and Orourke, but it's not expected to be this close in the presidentials. For one, Cruz was extremely unpopular at the time. And second, many conservative voters may have bypassed the elections out of expectations. But after signs see the gap getting smaller, it's interesting to say the least. The only major county change I see is Hays county going blue.
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Old 05-31-2020, 12:49 PM
 
Location: Fort Worth, TX
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If there's a second wave of COVID-19 around the time of the election I wonder how it will affect the election.
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Old 05-31-2020, 06:21 PM
 
Location: Belton, Tx
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No matter what I'll be prepared to don mask and gloves if need be to fulfill my voting obligation.
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Old 06-02-2020, 09:39 AM
 
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There is about to be a new wave of people moving from liberal and/or locked down states to Texas. It won't go blue for a very very long time
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Old 06-02-2020, 10:16 AM
Status: "Blasphemer of all Religion" (set 12 days ago)
 
Location: Houston, TX
2,609 posts, read 1,000,263 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by supfromthesite View Post
There is about to be a new wave of people moving from liberal and/or locked down states to Texas. It won't go blue for a very very long time
Is there? And what makes you think people from blue states that move to Texas wont vote blue? I moved from California and havent voted for a Republican since Ive been here. Until the Republicans of Texas stop being so far to the right, that wont change.

Whats more likely is that Texas moves to the center, not becomes blue.
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Old 06-02-2020, 10:53 AM
 
1,414 posts, read 712,288 times
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The people who are moving are generally conservatives that are fed up with their blue states. People who moved from different states to Texas voted more red than people who were born in Texas. Just look on this site, there has been a new person making a thread about moving to Texas from their liberal/lockdown state almost every single day.
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Old 06-02-2020, 11:19 AM
 
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Quote:
Originally Posted by supfromthesite View Post
The people who are moving are generally conservatives that are fed up with their blue states. People who moved from different states to Texas voted more red than people who were born in Texas. Just look on this site, there has been a new person making a thread about moving to Texas from their liberal/lockdown state almost every single day.
This isn’t true. Most people moving to Texas are moving for job, not for a conservative landscape. And even the ones who are moving for this reason don’t have to vote red. Texas Democrats aren’t extreme left wings as they are in those states. And the texas Republicans actually are extreme right meaning if they vote blue, it’ll still be a lot more conservative than what they had.
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Old 06-02-2020, 12:40 PM
Status: "Blasphemer of all Religion" (set 12 days ago)
 
Location: Houston, TX
2,609 posts, read 1,000,263 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by supfromthesite View Post
The people who are moving are generally conservatives that are fed up with their blue states. People who moved from different states to Texas voted more red than people who were born in Texas. Just look on this site, there has been a new person making a thread about moving to Texas from their liberal/lockdown state almost every single day.
Not true. Jobs, higher education, and lower cost of living are the biggest factors.

https://www.kut.org/post/fewer-out-s...s%20for%20work.
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Old 06-02-2020, 01:25 PM
 
Location: Frisco, TX
1,818 posts, read 877,683 times
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I don’t think anything changes unless African Americans and Latinos get out and vote. In fact, I’m guessing a lot of strongly red areas will become even more red and the blue areas will become even more blue. These are generalities, of course.

Suburbs play an important role, and I think those could be good bellwethers for the political direction of Texas. A lot of people move there for relative safety and schools which means less sympathy towards BLM protests and other issues. This year is different. People are divided on COVID-19 reaction efforts, policing, and guns.
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Old 06-02-2020, 01:33 PM
 
1,845 posts, read 1,047,596 times
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Originally Posted by Soccernerd View Post
I don’t think anything changes unless African Americans and Latinos get out and vote. In fact, I’m guessing a lot of strongly red areas will become even more red and the blue areas will become even more blue. These are generalities, of course.

Suburbs play an important role, and I think those could be good bellwethers for the political direction of Texas. A lot of people move there for relative safety and schools which means less sympathy towards BLM protests and other issues. This year is different. People are divided on COVID-19 reaction efforts, policing, and guns.
Supposing this is true, there will be a blue shift. As the really strong red areas are unpopulated while the stronger blue areas are the more populated ones.

Anyway, Texas isn’t going to vote blue this time around (unless a major shocker occurs). That’s not what this post is about. I’m looking at what counties are likely to go turn this time around. In 2016, Fort Bend County became the first true suburban county to go blue. This time, Hays County by Austin is expected to be the second one. The state will continue its blue trajectory as it’s been doing.
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