Dallas County remains only blue county in DFW, Austin gained 2 suburban counties (Houston: taxes, to live)

[ParaguaneroSwag]

Originally Posted by As Above So Below...

Youre surprisingly passionate about something that can be statistically shown. Almost like you opened this thread to highlight differences instead of looking at the details.

I’m shocked. That’s all. I expected Fort Worth to shift this time around.

[supfromthesite]

If you look at the number of people that voted in 2016 in s. Texas it is constant with 2020. Seems there are a lot of hispanics that voted for Trump that previously voted for Democrats. There are like 5 counties that always go blue that went red. Jim Wells has only gone red twice before this. Ever.

[ParaguaneroSwag]

The fact Georgia and NC are coming down to the wire. And while Texas closed the gap, it wasn’t anything crazh, that’s where it gets odd to me. Had other traditional Republican states went the same way, it would seem more reasonable. Had Georgia not made their shift, it wouldn’t be as odd to me.

[As Above So Below...]

Originally Posted by ParaguaneroSwag

I’m shocked. That’s all. I expected Fort Worth to shift this time around.

Yet, relative to where they were in 2016, DFW moved further left than greater Houston.


When vote tallies are final, I’ll run the numbers.

[As Above So Below...]

Originally Posted by ParaguaneroSwag

The fact Georgia and NC are coming down to the wire. And while Texas closed the gap, it wasn’t anything crazh, that’s where it gets odd to me. Had other traditional Republican states went the same way, it would seem more reasonable. Had Georgia not made their shift, it wouldn’t be as odd to me.

The answer to that is easy: Hispanics. That’s why Florida over preformed for Trump. NC and GA are not Hispanic heavy states.

[Gaylord_Focker]

Originally Posted by ParaguaneroSwag

The fact Georgia and NC are coming down to the wire. And while Texas closed the gap, it wasn’t anything crazh, that’s where it gets odd to me. Had other traditional Republican states went the same way, it would seem more reasonable. Had Georgia not made their shift, it wouldn’t be as odd to me.

Texas is a conservative state. It's just the way it is.

[ParaguaneroSwag]

Originally Posted by As Above So Below...

Yet, relative to where they were in 2016, DFW moved further left than greater Houston.


When vote tallies are final, I’ll run the numbers.

First off, I said nothing about comparing the two. I said that Fort Worth remaining red won’t be aceptable if you expect to go blue. You can’t expect to go blue if all your urban counties don’t.

But since you brought up HOU vs DFW, the real time numbers are;

Houston - 53.5% democrat
DFW - 50.6% Democrat

I know you were going county by county, but this data is meaningless considering Harris County alone is nearing 5 million in population alone as a county. Meaning it covers a much larger ratera. Fort Bend county lead alone is outside of this area. Again, I never claimed anything but it’s pretty unfair going county by county given the size and population differences. As a whole, greater Houston Voted more Democrat then DFW. But that’s besides the point.

[As Above So Below...]

Originally Posted by ParaguaneroSwag

First off, I said nothing about comparing the two. I said that Fort Worth remaining red won’t be aceptable if you expect to go blue. You can’t expect to go blue if all your urban counties don’t.

But since you brought up HOU vs DFW, the real time numbers are;

Houston - 53.5% democrat
DFW - 50.6% Democrat

I know you were going county by county, but this data is meaningless considering Harris County alone is nearing 5 million in population alone as a county. Meaning it covers a much larger ratera. Fort Bend county lead alone is outside of this area. Again, I never claimed anything but it’s pretty unfair going county by county given the size and population differences. As a whole, greater Houston Voted more Democrat then DFW. But that’s besides the point.

So your argument is that if Tarrant County had an additional 4,000 votes for Biden it would have made a difference?

I was talking about how they went from 2016 vs. 2020. DFW went shifted more left between those years. Houston is still more blue.

Youre laying this at the feet of DFW and its no more DFW's fault than Houston's. Even though DFW is slightly more red, its shifting faster to the left than Houston. However, its neither of their faults Texas is red. The most obvious culprit is the shift among Mexican voters in South Texas to Trump. Thats by far the biggest reason. The Houston, DFW, Austin, and San Antonio metro areas all shifted left so its not on them.

[King_Henry]

Why would anyone want Texas to go blue? Texas overall has terrible and extreme weather, not much natural beauty, and not much established history. It is a largely transplant state. Most came here because of business relocation or personal relocation due to the lower taxes and cost of living. Property taxes and cost of living are steadily increasing. Why on earth would anyone want to elect Democrats who would increase taxes more to pay for their social programs?

If Democrats take over this state, I might as well move back to Northern Virginia. Having liberal politicians and policies defeats the whole purpose for most people to live here. I would say the same for all the Californians moving here. California is a beautiful state with overall great weather. Why not move back there if the cost difference is not very great? You would be crazy to stay in a high tax, high cost of living Texas.

[ParaguaneroSwag]

Originally Posted by As Above So Below...

So your argument is that if Tarrant County had an additional 4,000 votes for Biden it would have made a difference?

I was talking about how they went from 2016 vs. 2020. DFW went shifted more left between those years. Houston is still more blue.

Youre laying this at the feet of DFW and its no more DFW's fault than Houston's. Even though DFW is slightly more red, its shifting faster to the left than Houston. However, its neither of their faults Texas is red. The most obvious culprit is the shift among Mexican voters in South Texas to Trump. Thats by far the biggest reason. The Houston, DFW, Austin, and San Antonio metro areas all shifted left so its not on them.

Just reread my OP. I don't see any blame of anything. Simply stated that before Texas can go blue, all urban counties have to go blue including Tarrant County. No blaming done, just stating something that seems obvious. To me, I would think before Texas can go blue, all urban counties will have to go blue. And this year, Tarrant county was so close that next election will likely be the flip, meaning we are just like this election headed that way, but not as fast as I expected (or you I'm sure). Yes, the border counties turn out and hispanic trust in the Democratic Party are also a big reason. But to me, all urban counties will have to be blue on top of this. Haven't seen a state that has voted blue that has achieved this.