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Old 01-31-2011, 06:25 PM
 
927 posts, read 1,947,855 times
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Looks like this is shaping up to be a real pain-in-the-*** for much of the country's midsection and Northeast. Chicago is now expected to see up to 2 feet of snow before this all blows eastward.

I am reminded of some articles I read back in 1999, commemorating the 100th anniversary of the "Mother of all Cold Waves". This was a cold blast for the ages which got its start in the northwestern continental US around the 2nd of February and by the 4th sent temperatures down into the -30 range in Washington and -35 to -40 in parts of Oregon's High Desert. Corvallis, OR, where I live saw -5 on the 4th and three days in a row of sub zero conditions.

The cold didn't limit itself to the Pacific Northwest. This arctic river swept throughout the entire country sending temperatures below 0 in at least one location in all 45 (then) of our continental states as well as Oklahoma, Arizona and New Mexico. That has never been seen before or since been duplicated during a single cold snap.

By the time the arctic blast had reached its full extent it was the 13th of the month and Mobile Bay had ice thick enough you could walk across it if you were careful. The Mississippi River sent ice floes well out into the Gulf of Mexico and New Orleans saw the mercury fall to 5 degrees. DeFuniak Springs (FL) fell to 0 on the 13th and Tallahassee dropped to -2 for Florida's only sub zero reading during the 19th thru 21st century (so far).

Meanwhile, on the left coast, California's infant winter agricultural economy was practically destroyed by prolonged freezing weather in the central valleys and L.A. Basin. It took years to recover. And in the mid-west, ranching had just crawled back from a particularly brutal winter just ten years previous only to be dealt this latest broadside. All time low temperature records - some still standing - were set from North Dakota clear down to the Rio Grande.
All the while there was prodigious snowfalls, ice storms and violent winds to entertain people from one end of the country to the other.

The two links below give a pretty good summary of that awesome event

Great Blizzard of 1899 - Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia
The Weather Doctor Almanac 2009 Freezing America: The Cold Wave of 1899

And this one is a reprint from the Transactions of the American Clinical and Climatological Association. Authored by Dr. Guy Hinsdale it gives a good writeup of the cold wave from one who actually went through it.

The Cold Wave of February, 1899

I mention all this because there were far fewer people to inconvenience in 1899 and those who were were likely to be far better conditioned to tolerate this kind of nonsense then we are today.
If this combo blizzard-icestorm-cold wave ends up attaining the same magnitude that super-blast of 1899 did (not likely), we could be staring down the gun barrel of a multibillion dollar economic hit and be dealing with anywhere up to several dozen fatalities.
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Old 01-31-2011, 06:29 PM
 
Location: Mayberry
36,420 posts, read 16,030,417 times
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Wow I know it looks like a big one, right now we are just suppose to get rain here in NC! Hope that doesn't change!
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Old 01-31-2011, 06:52 PM
 
Location: Fort Worth, Texas
3,390 posts, read 4,950,930 times
Reputation: 2049
Quote:
Originally Posted by FVWinters View Post
Looks like this is shaping up to be a real pain-in-the-*** for much of the country's midsection and Northeast. Chicago is now expected to see up to 2 feet of snow before this all blows eastward.

I am reminded of some articles I read back in 1999, commemorating the 100th anniversary of the "Mother of all Cold Waves". This was a cold blast for the ages which got its start in the northwestern continental US around the 2nd of February and by the 4th sent temperatures down into the -30 range in Washington and -35 to -40 in parts of Oregon's High Desert. Corvallis, OR, where I live saw -5 on the 4th and three days in a row of sub zero conditions.

The cold didn't limit itself to the Pacific Northwest. This arctic river swept throughout the entire country sending temperatures below 0 in at least one location in all 45 (then) of our continental states as well as Oklahoma, Arizona and New Mexico. That has never been seen before or since been duplicated during a single cold snap.

By the time the arctic blast had reached its full extent it was the 13th of the month and Mobile Bay had ice thick enough you could walk across it if you were careful. The Mississippi River sent ice floes well out into the Gulf of Mexico and New Orleans saw the mercury fall to 5 degrees. DeFuniak Springs (FL) fell to 0 on the 13th and Tallahassee dropped to -2 for Florida's only sub zero reading during the 19th thru 21st century (so far).

Meanwhile, on the left coast, California's infant winter agricultural economy was practically destroyed by prolonged freezing weather in the central valleys and L.A. Basin. It took years to recover. And in the mid-west, ranching had just crawled back from a particularly brutal winter just ten years previous only to be dealt this latest broadside. All time low temperature records - some still standing - were set from North Dakota clear down to the Rio Grande.
All the while there was prodigious snowfalls, ice storms and violent winds to entertain people from one end of the country to the other.

The two links below give a pretty good summary of that awesome event

Great Blizzard of 1899 - Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia
The Weather Doctor Almanac 2009 Freezing America: The Cold Wave of 1899

And this one is a reprint from the Transactions of the American Clinical and Climatological Association. Authored by Dr. Guy Hinsdale it gives a good writeup of the cold wave from one who actually went through it.

The Cold Wave of February, 1899

I mention all this because there were far fewer people to inconvenience in 1899 and those who were were likely to be far better conditioned to tolerate this kind of nonsense then we are today.
If this combo blizzard-icestorm-cold wave ends up attaining the same magnitude that super-blast of 1899 did (not likely), we could be staring down the gun barrel of a multibillion dollar economic hit and be dealing with anywhere up to several dozen fatalities.
Fantastic and informative post. Thank you.
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Old 01-31-2011, 07:08 PM
 
Location: Iowa
14,323 posts, read 14,620,586 times
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It is predicted to be a monster storm, ranking right up there with other record storms Chicago has had, talking 20+ inches of snow!

We're supposed to get a decent amount of snow here, too, but not as much as Milwaukee or Chicago.
The cold and the wind will be the issue, a foot of snow is doable, but not the blowing.

We're not under a blizzard warning but living close to the lake (blocks away), we will have increased snow compared to inland, say GB or Appleton.
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Old 01-31-2011, 08:04 PM
 
Location: New Jersey
15,318 posts, read 17,221,445 times
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The snow totals in this storm might be impressive here in NW New Jersey. As much as ten inches of snow with a quarter inch to half inch of ice afterwards. This is worst case scenario.
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Old 01-31-2011, 10:34 PM
 
Location: Portland, TX. (next to Corpus Christi)
1,678 posts, read 4,011,529 times
Reputation: 3814
Here in S. Texas, we will be seeing some of the coldest weather in 7 years! While its in the upper 60s right now here around Corpus Christi, we will see temps down to near 30 tomorrow night, and in the upper 20s for the next 2 nights after that!! Very unusual! May even see a snow flake or two come Thursday night!!

Just FYI... our average high for the beginning of Feb. is in the upper 60s, with lows in the upper 40s. So, you can imagine how unprepared alot of folks will be in this part of the south. I can imagine alot of Citrus damage here in Deep S. Texas from this.


Ian
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Old 01-31-2011, 10:41 PM
 
Location: Cushing OK
14,539 posts, read 21,259,715 times
Reputation: 16939
Quote:
Originally Posted by Alacran View Post
And chicago still won't cancel school.
Half of Oklahoma is already set to close. All the government offices and schools and universities. They are telling people to stay home...road conditions will be very dangrous. They showed pictures of Walmart's food ilses and they are stripped bare. We don't expect temps over freezing until the weekend. Of course with a layer of ice on top of snow its could be very bad. States like this shut down from snow because we don't get enough of it to have a lot of snow equiptment on hand for general snow removal.
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Old 01-31-2011, 11:25 PM
 
Location: 53179
14,416 posts, read 22,486,250 times
Reputation: 14479
Quote:
Originally Posted by Toxic Toast View Post
Can you peel potatoes?
Sure...Thats my specialty!
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Old 01-31-2011, 11:43 PM
 
Location: Fort Worth, Texas
3,390 posts, read 4,950,930 times
Reputation: 2049
Looking bad for Oklahoma and Texas, Ohio and Wisconsin right now.

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Old 02-01-2011, 12:22 AM
 
Location: Tricity, PL
61,717 posts, read 87,123,005 times
Reputation: 131690
Tomorrow in Houston:
Windy...thunderstorms, some strong in the morning, becoming mostly sunny late. Storms could contain damaging winds. Morning high of 65F with temps falling to near 45F. Winds WNW at 20 to 30 mph. Chance of rain 70%.
... and at night:
Windy with a few clouds from time to time. Cold. Low 24F. Winds NNW at 20 to 30 mph.
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