Please register to participate in our discussions with 2 million other members - it's free and quick! Some forums can only be seen by registered members. After you create your account, you'll be able to customize options and access all our 15,000 new posts/day with fewer ads.
I think it's the position of the Bermuda High, and the troughs (and buckling of the jet) that have been running through the Midwest which has "propelled" moisture from the Gulf up the coast. This scenario is going to be magnified the next 5 days BIG TIME for the East Coast.
Well Vancouver's still been cool and rainy these last few days, but we've got some real summer weather coming our way. Forecast highs of 27°C (81°F) for Monday and Tuesday, with temperatures going as high as 32°C (90°F) inland
Of course this could very well be the only time this summer we get temperatures like this, but it's still a great start to the season. Those couple of hot days are also sandwiched by days in the mid-20s, and all of it is supposed to feature lots of sunshine. This is my first (full) summer in the Pacific Northwest since 2009 and I'm definitely looking forward to it (though I have to admit I will miss the awesome prairie thunderstorms)
Why is the upper Mid-Atlantic and New England raining so much this year when the ENSO is neutral?
Quote:
Originally Posted by chicagogeorge
^^
I think it's the position of the Bermuda High, and the troughs (and buckling of the jet) that have been running through the Midwest which has "propelled" moisture from the Gulf up the coast. This scenario is going to be magnified the next 5 days BIG TIME for the East Coast.
Yeah, its crazy isnt it?? I'm losing count on how many areas are actually in the Top 5 let alone Top 10. Definetly the Bermuda high / trough set up has a lot to do with it. And we've heard and seen all month how rare these troughs have been.
Usually by now the jet stream is flatter and up in Canada so we would just have fronts to deal with, but lately because of the setup, storms are able to form, fronts able to slow down, and given the surface has heat more moisture is in the air.
The other contributor was the Tropical Storm Andrea which dumped water on us.
So the western Atlantic ridge blocking is helping to send and squeeze a lot of moisture into us.
June 1982 was another big year for the NorthEast. Maybe we should look up the pattern for that month/year out of curiosity.
Speaking of strong strorms... Currently a Minimum 998mb low over southern NY. Not often we see these storms this size in June. And More than once to boot SPC Hourly Mesoscale Analysis
How unusual? Well, it's 15-20mb stronger than normal for this time of year.
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
655 AM EDT TUE JUN 25 2013
IF I DID NOT KNOW ANY BETTER I WOULD SWEAR WE ARE HEADED BACK INTO A WINTER PATTERN AND YET IT IS SUMMER. THE UPPER LEVEL PATTERN IS TRENDING BACK TOWARD SOME MAJOR AMPLIFICATION OF THE RIDGE IN THE WESTERN UNITED STATES. TYPICALLY WHEN THIS HAPPENS...A DEEP DIGGING TROUGH DEVELOPS OVER THE EASTERN UNITED STATES SENDING THE POLAR JET STREAM WELL SOUTH INTO THE SOUTHERN STATES. National Weather Service Text Product Display
PRETTY STOUT NORTHEASTERLY FLOW IS IN PLACE AT THE SURFACE NORTH OF THE SURFACE WARM FRONT...AND THIS WILL AID IN KEEPING THE WARM FRONT/S NORTHWARD PROGRESS SLOW TODAY. LIKE A BLEND OF VARIOUS HIGH-RES MESO MODELS WITH THE FORECASTED PROGRESS OF THE WARM FRONT. THEREFORE...IT LOOKS AS THOUGH IT MAY REACH SOUTHERN NH AND PERHAPS YORK COUNTY MAINE BY EARLY TO MID AFTERNOON. HOWEVER WITH THE WINTER-LIKE COLD AIR DAMMING PATTERN IN PLACE...IT IS UNLIKELY TO MOVE MUCH FURTHER THAN THAT TODAY. THEREFORE...WE EXPECT HIGHS MAINLY IN THE 50S AND 60S FOR MUCH OF THE AREA TODAY
69°F, Dewpoint 68°. Light breeze. Feels good this morning. So if dewpoints are in the upper 60s I need temps to be in the 60s with a light breeze to be tolerable.
For June 30 and July 1 TWC, NWS, and Accuweather all forecast 129F for Death Valley. Let's see if they can finally crack that 130F mark .
Please register to post and access all features of our very popular forum. It is free and quick. Over $68,000 in prizes has already been given out to active posters on our forum. Additional giveaways are planned.
Detailed information about all U.S. cities, counties, and zip codes on our site: City-data.com.
Please register to participate in our discussions with 2 million other members - it's free and quick! Some forums can only be seen by registered members. After you create your account, you'll be able to customize options and access all our 15,000 new posts/day with fewer ads.
(though I have to admit I will miss the awesome prairie thunderstorms)
