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Old 08-18-2013, 06:10 AM
 
Location: Henderson, NV, U.S.A.
11,479 posts, read 9,143,131 times
Reputation: 19660

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Quote:
Originally Posted by MeteoMan View Post
Exactly what?

Still better chance than winning the lottery jackpot, which was my precise statement to begin with. I think that's about 1 in 39 million here.
lol i may have missed it, but i doubt it. who quoted any odds of winning a lottery? btw, the kid was no where near florida.
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Old 08-18-2013, 06:14 AM
 
Location: Buxton UK
4,965 posts, read 5,688,800 times
Reputation: 2383
Quote:
Originally Posted by f.2 View Post
lol i may have missed it, but i doubt it. who quoted any odds of winning a lottery?
Quote:
Originally Posted by f.2 View Post
they need to play the lottery.

You mentioned they should play the lottery, in post #2.

They may already play the lottery for all I know, but since they were only 269 times more likely to get struck by lightning (the odds are apparently similar in Utah to Florida) than win the lottery jackpot so I'd tell them not to bother.
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Old 08-18-2013, 06:25 AM
 
Location: Henderson, NV, U.S.A.
11,479 posts, read 9,143,131 times
Reputation: 19660
Quote:
Originally Posted by MeteoMan View Post
You did, in post #2.
yup. i said they need to play the lottery. or, i'll let the kid pick my numbers and i'll cough up $10.00. google that.

you do realize that in florida you have a higher chance of getting hit by lightning, right? so your numbers are highly skewed for the flawed argument in which you attempt to make. near the gulf of mexico, in the direct path of the moist, strong gulf stream ocean current, enhancing afternoon thunderstorm activity. not to mention hurricanes will affect the thunderstorm strike statistics you googled and posted earlier. lightning strike probability is not the same in utah as they are in florida.
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Old 08-18-2013, 06:27 AM
 
Location: Buxton UK
4,965 posts, read 5,688,800 times
Reputation: 2383
Quote:
Originally Posted by f.2 View Post
yup. i said they need to play the lottery. or, i'll let the kid pick my numbers and i'll cough up $10.00. google that.

you do realize that in florida you have a higher chance of getting hit by lightning, right? so your numbers are highly skewed for the flawed argument in which you attempt to make. near the gulf of mexico, in the direct path of the moist, strong gulf stream ocean current, enhancing afternoon thunderstorm activity. not to mention hurricanes will affect the thunderstorm strike statistics you googled and posted earlier.
I already mentioned that. Because of the relative population density, the chances of being struck by lightning are similar in Florida as Utah per person. How is my argument flawed? Did you not look at the links I referenced?

My argument is that these people are many times more likely to be struck by lightning than win the lottery. I was correct.

How is that flawed? Oh you are funny.
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Old 08-18-2013, 06:29 AM
 
Location: Henderson, NV, U.S.A.
11,479 posts, read 9,143,131 times
Reputation: 19660
Quote:
Originally Posted by MeteoMan View Post
I already mentioned that. Because of the relative population density, the chances of being struck by lightning are similar in Florida as Utah per person. How is my argument flawed? Did you not look at the links I referenced?

My argument is that these people are many times more likely to be struck by lightning than win the lottery. I was correct.

How is that flawed?
it's flawed when you said they have a good chance of getting hit by lightning. i realize that you are in another country and are unfamiliar with United States climate and meteorological conditions and are relying on quick google searches, so no, i don't blame you for your off the cuff remarks / posts.
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Old 08-18-2013, 06:31 AM
 
Location: Buxton UK
4,965 posts, read 5,688,800 times
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My main argument was that they are 250+ times more likely to be hit by lightning than win the lottery and that they still might as well not bother playing the lottery though. I was right so... y' know.

Oh and

STATE: UTAH
2011 Estimated Population: 2,817,222
2011 Lightning Casualties: 5
(Lightning Deaths: 3; Lightning Injuries: 2)
ODDS OF BEING STRUCK BY LIGHTNING: 1 in 563,444
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Old 08-18-2013, 06:33 AM
 
Location: Buxton UK
4,965 posts, read 5,688,800 times
Reputation: 2383
Quote:
Originally Posted by f.2 View Post
it's flawed when you said they have a good chance of getting hit by lightning. i realize that you are in another country and are unfamiliar with United States climate and meteorological conditions and are relying on quick google searches, so no, i don't blame you for your off the cuff remarks / posts.
Where I am is pretty irrelevant the stats speak for themselves.

1 in 175 million odds for the lottery, 1 in 560,000 for lightning stike in Utah.

It's clear cut, objective data.

Sorry you disagree, but I have won the argument.
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Old 08-18-2013, 06:33 AM
 
Location: Henderson, NV, U.S.A.
11,479 posts, read 9,143,131 times
Reputation: 19660
Quote:
Originally Posted by MeteoMan View Post
My main argument was that they are 250+ times more likely to be hit by lightning than win the lottery and that they still might as well not bother playing the lottery though. I was right so... y' know.

Oh and

STATE: UTAH
2011 Estimated Population: 2,817,222
2011 Lightning Casualties: 5
(Lightning Deaths: 3; Lightning Injuries: 2)
ODDS OF BEING STRUCK BY LIGHTNING: 1 in 563,444
off the cuff. backing up your logic after the fact. i'll let you google more statistics and maybe come back in a week when you get your facts, err, suppositions straight.
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Old 08-18-2013, 06:36 AM
 
Location: Buxton UK
4,965 posts, read 5,688,800 times
Reputation: 2383
Quote:
Originally Posted by f.2 View Post
off the cuff. backing up your logic after the fact. i'll let you google more statistics and maybe come back in a week when you get your facts, err, suppositions straight.
The example I used was Florida the first time because the person who won the lottery jackpot was in Florida... the odds for lightning strikes are the same there as Utah weighted by population... so it wouldn't make any difference.

I have been consistent with my point throughout, and by my research, am correct with solid objective data to back me up. I can back up my point any time I want, what has that got to do with it? All the evidence supports my argument weather you like it or not. It isn't a supposition, it's from official documents which I have referenced as with a piece of academic research. Find a dictionary.

Since you are wrong, and are too proud to admit it, and skew everything I say, I am not wasting my time arguing with you any more. Good bye.

Last edited by MeteoMan; 08-18-2013 at 06:49 AM..
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Old 08-18-2013, 06:37 AM
 
Location: Henderson, NV, U.S.A.
11,479 posts, read 9,143,131 times
Reputation: 19660
Quote:
Originally Posted by MeteoMan View Post
The example I used was Florida the first time because the person who won the lottery jackpot was in Florida... the odds for lightning strikes are the same there as Utah weighted by population... so it wouldn't make any difference.

I have been consistent with my point throughout, and by my research, am correct with solid objective data to back me up.

Since you are wrong, and are too proud to admit it, and skew everything I try to say, I am not wasting my time arguing with you any more. Good bye.
see ya.
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