Can Istanbul Bosphorus freeze again? (ice, records, temp, city)

[istanbulmert]

I really wonder that There is a chance to see all bosphorus strait freeze again?
and under which circumstances can bosphorus freeze again?
Historically,Bosphorus frozen three times in 673,801,802 AD and several times floating ice masses were present in bosphorus strait in 739, 753, 755, 762, 928, 934, 1011, 1232, 1620, 1669, 1755, 1823, 1849, 1862, 1893, 1929, 1954.

What You think?

[Mac15]

I doubt it. I'm sure it is possible, like i'm sure its possible for the lough neagh to freeze here or lough foyle but its probably not gonna happen for like 200 years. Tbh you need a special set of circumstances for that to happen.

1. It needs to be cool already.
2. It needs to be subzero all winter, or at least for two months.

[ben86]

I know nothing about that part of the world, but how trustworthy are the records saying it froze over properly in the 600s-800s when it hasn't done in 1200 years since and getting any ice on there at all is such a rare thing?

[istanbulmert]

Originally Posted by Mac15

I doubt it. I'm sure it is possible, like i'm sure its possible for the lough neagh to freeze here or lough foyle but its probably not gonna happen for like 200 years. Tbh you need a special set of circumstances for that to happen.

1. It needs to be cool already.
2. It needs to be subzero all winter, or at least for two months.

Than no way to freeze again unless ice age comes back

[kronan123]

perhaps a tambora-style volcanic eruption would make it possible?

[Mac15]

Originally Posted by istanbulmert

Than no way to freeze again unless ice age comes back

Well why did you ask then?
LOL.

I'm sure maybe over a period of 20 years if it kept cooling down.

[istanbulmert]

Originally Posted by kronan123

perhaps a tambora-style volcanic eruption would make it possible?

Maybe...
People here arguing about even temps are below -20c for one or two weeks which is unlikely without ice age Bosphorus doesnt freeze.

[Mac15]

I don't think two weeks of -20c would really make a difference.

[istanbulmert]

Beacuse of the high current velocity

[Mac15]

No its not even that if the sea temp is like 15c it will take forever to cool down. Even in cold winters here were it is subzero for like 2 months it still only reaches 4/5c. (The ocean).