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Old 08-08-2016, 10:55 AM
 
Location: Lizard Lick, NC
6,344 posts, read 4,406,867 times
Reputation: 1996

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Quote:
Originally Posted by B87 View Post
A composite map of winter 2010 and winter 2007 does make me laugh, though.

Very cold and the cloudiest on record, plus very mild and the 2nd sunniest on record.
Yeah, also there are other years such as 1954, 1995,1964, and 1973. How did those years turn out? Seems to me for the UK it's the same story as here, winter has a good chance of being really mild or really cold.

 
Old 08-08-2016, 10:59 AM
 
Location: Leeds, UK
22,112 posts, read 29,581,703 times
Reputation: 8819
Go home GFS, you're drunk.

 
Old 08-08-2016, 11:03 AM
 
29,522 posts, read 19,616,477 times
Reputation: 4542
https://twitter.com/WxCoEuroEnergy/s...54830645112832
 
Old 08-08-2016, 11:04 AM
B87
 
Location: Surrey/London
11,769 posts, read 10,595,401 times
Reputation: 3099
Quote:
Originally Posted by muslim12 View Post
Yeah, also there are other years such as 1954, 1995,1964, and 1973. How did those years turn out? Seems to me for the UK it's the same story as here, winter has a good chance of being really mild or really cold.
1995 was very cold, 1973 was very mild. 1954 had a very mild December and a cold Jan/Feb, and 1964 was cold.
 
Old 08-08-2016, 11:04 AM
 
Location: Portsmouth, UK
13,484 posts, read 9,025,623 times
Reputation: 3924
Quote:
Originally Posted by muslim12 View Post
Never said they were I'm just showing there is potential for cold. What did you think? Forecasters in the US have been calling for high latitude blocking in winter. That blocking doesn't just affect the us. It affects the UK and more so than us.
I don't think much about long range forecasts at all...
 
Old 08-08-2016, 11:06 AM
B87
 
Location: Surrey/London
11,769 posts, read 10,595,401 times
Reputation: 3099
Quote:
Originally Posted by chicagogeorge View Post
It'll get warmer than that here. It'll reach 30c at least.

I've noticed this summer that the charts seem to forecast the peak heat in Norfolk and Cambridgeshire. Normally the SE would easily be the hottest place, with the heat disappearing west of Southampton or north of Cambridge.
 
Old 08-08-2016, 11:08 AM
 
Location: Lizard Lick, NC
6,344 posts, read 4,406,867 times
Reputation: 1996
Quote:
Originally Posted by flamingGalah! View Post
I don't think much about long range forecasts at all...
Me neither otherwise I would be freaking out because we have some cold analogs lol. To me it just gives me an idea of how the current pattern we are in would play out possibly in winter if it holds. Especially since it's only august, we will get a much better idea come october.
 
Old 08-08-2016, 11:12 AM
 
Location: Leeds, UK
22,112 posts, read 29,581,703 times
Reputation: 8819
Quote:
Originally Posted by B87 View Post
It'll get warmer than that here. It'll reach 30c at least.

I've noticed this summer that the charts seem to forecast the peak heat in Norfolk and Cambridgeshire. Normally the SE would easily be the hottest place, with the heat disappearing west of Southampton or north of Cambridge.
It's not unusual for the hottest areas to extend from around Cambridge and up to Leeds and York. London can't be the hottest place all the time. Like the June 2000 'heatwave' when Leeds was the second hottest place in the country after Barbourne.
 
Old 08-08-2016, 11:15 AM
 
Location: Leeds, UK
22,112 posts, read 29,581,703 times
Reputation: 8819
Wow, that's crazy. 20C 850Ts cover most of England. That would deliver 35C in mid August but it would probably break the all time record in early August. This looks like another August 2003 or August 1990.

 
Old 08-08-2016, 11:16 AM
B87
 
Location: Surrey/London
11,769 posts, read 10,595,401 times
Reputation: 3099
Quote:
Originally Posted by dunno what to put here View Post
It's not unusual for the hottest areas to extend from around Cambridge and up to Leeds and York. London can't be the hottest place all the time. Like the June 2000 'heatwave' when Leeds was the second hottest place in the country after Barbourne.
It is unusual for that to happen every time there's a hot spell though. Usually the hottest place is London, or somewhere in Surrey/Kent.

The above chart looks excellent. A 35-40c high would go some way to erasing the memory of June!
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