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Minneapolis, Minnesota
Wausau, Wisconsin
Peterborough, Ontario
Ottawa, Ontario
Montreal, Quebec
Berlin, New Hampshire
Bangor, Maine
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Burlington, Vermont
Saint John, New Brunswick (only by Wunderground)
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Harbin, China
Asahikawa, Japan
Nayoro, Japan
Shibetsu, Japan
Kitami, Japan
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Terney, Russia (only by Wunderground)
Occasionally, I have saved forecasts for other cities, too, but usually only once.
I'll compare them soon and I'll give you some answers.
Why are they mostly humid continental? It's not as if all hard-to-predict climes are continental and I'd imagine quite a few maritime-ers, such as Melbourne , would be notoriously difficult to forecast temperatures. Are you also comparing precip forecasts with actual?
Quote:
Originally Posted by Cambium
Do you know how many times a forecast changes? If someone wants to waste server space on saving each forecast good for them, but I think actual weather is more important to keep or interesting then forecasts. I know a few young meteos that kept track of the percentages of a forecast being close, right or wrong. It got so time consuming and pointless they stopped. Give a try.
But don't pick 8am today for 7 days from now and not write down what it shows tomorrow 8am too.
Then remember... every forecast goes by models and current obs for short term. So the forecast changes you see are because of a change in the atmosphere that the models picked up in the med-long range. So who are you going to blame????? Technology?
Just like the 90s "forecasted" last week for this coming week. Models now do not show 90s here. In fact most don't even show upper 80s. Guess what happened to the forecasts... LOWERED.
People have to stop blaming meteorologist for missed forecasts and learn about what goes into forecasting and how hard it is.
Now if you're talking about those auto generated 2 weeks+ forecasts...why does anyone even look and take them seriously?
Precisely the point. Occasionally you need to save supra-long-range forecasts to prove the absurdness of them. The Capital Weather Gang of the Washington Post did one last year 50+ days after the release of IN-accuweather's 45-day forecasts.
Just in case you don't read the forecast thread.... I suggest reading my post here and seeing the "reason" for the short term forecast changes which just happened for this area. Hopefully it's helpful in some way
The Australian Bureau of Meteorology archives all forecasts internally, but I don't think they are publicly accessible via the web. There would be significant server space issues. I'm not sure whether they would retrieve them for random inquiries, and it would cost you (employee time!), but I know that they are retrieved for investigations and such.
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, would be notoriously difficult to forecast temperatures. Are you also comparing precip forecasts with actual?
