Fall 2014 Thread - Northern Hemisphere (snowing, Maryland, Boulder, warm)

[tom77falcons]

Originally Posted by miamihurricane555

sounds like a typical winter's day here after a cold front.

Lol you are right. It is below average for us (avg is 75/58F right now), and below average for you in the winter.

My cousins that grew up in Hollywood, FL loved the winter, though they wouldn't go swimming in the ocean then. They thought it was too cold. They didn't even go to the beach in the winter or at least not often. I remember my aunt standing outside the front of her house surrounded by big palm trees on her street in the middle of January, and she was literally rubbing her arms and shivering on a cloudy, windy 70F day. I had left 18F at Philly airport that morning so it felt balmy to me.

[Cambium]

So much for a dry week. Now all models showing coastal storm impacts with rain here. Will post maps later when Euro updates at 3:30

[Saritra]

The forecast for my area is showing 5 clear days in a row. I've never seen that before.

[tenkier7]

Temperatures around constantly low-60s since this morning plus overcast/light rain, I stayed outside longer and enjoyed very much! Nice to start the first day of the Autumn

6:00AM - 63°F(17°C)
7:00AM - 63°F(17°C)
8:00AM - 62°F(17°C)
9:00AM - 61°F(16°C)
10:00AM - 61°F(16°C)
11:00AM - 61°F(16°C)
12:00PM - 62°F(17°C)
1:00PM - 60°F(16°C)
2:00PM - 61°F(16°C)
3:00PM - 62°F(17°C)
4:00PM - 62°F(17°C)

Maybe there's a high possibility of the first 50s expected tonight

[Cambium]

Just catching up with things looks like all models say No Go to Dry Week. Here's Euro12z Data for Philly & Islip.

[Cambium]

For those that don't think we need weather models.... or don't understand how weather changes in such short time....

NWS NY Yesterday

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY
702 AM EDT MON SEP 22 2014

STRONG HIGH PRESSURE WILL PROVIDE THE REGION WITH FAIR AND DRY CONDITIONS THROUGH THE MAJORITY OF THE LONG TERM PERIOD.

THINKING THE HIGH WILL BE STRONG ENOUGH TO KEEP THE PRECIPITATION ASSOCIATED WITH THIS LOW SOUTH OF THE REGION.

------------------------------------

NWS NY Today

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY
357 PM EDT TUE SEP 23 2014

ALL TRENDS HAVE BEEN FOR A WET FORECAST FROM THURSDAY INTO AT LEAST THURSDAY NIGHT AND HAVE INCREASED POPS TO LIKELY.

[ral31]

It got cooler than expected this morning. Alexandria Int'l Airport recorded a low of 54 F (12.2 C). Tonight is forecast to go down to 56 F (13.3 C).

Rain chances are on the rise for the weekend with moisture coming up from the Gulf of Mexico.

[tenkier7]

Current temperature is 59°F at 8:00PM, the first 50s finally accomplished!!!!!!!
Now looking ahead for the 40s

[Cambium]

NWS Boston on the coastal storm then says something about great weather?


THURSDAY AND THURSDAY NIGHT...

PRETTY MUCH ALL OF OUR MODELS EXCEPT FOR THE UKMET HAVE TRENDED
SIGNIFICANTLY FURTHER NORTH WITH OCEAN STORM THU/THU NIGHT OVER THE
PAST 24 HOURS. CONFIDENCE IS NOW INCREASING IN APPRECIABLE RAINFALL
FOR AREAS SOUTH OF THE MA TURNPIKE THU INTO THU NIGHT...BUT PLENTY
OF UNCERTAINTY REMAINS.

THE MAIN STORY WILL BE A CUTOFF LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM OFF THE MID
ATLANTIC STATES THAT WILL LIFT NORTHEAST. WE CERTAINLY NEED TO
REACT TO THE SIGNIFICANT MODEL TRENDS AT THIS POINT. THE POTENTIAL
FOR A SOAKING RAIN LOOKS MUCH BETTER SOUTH OF THE MA TURNPIKE..

SATURDAY AND SUNDAY...

ANOMALOUS UPPER LEVEL RIDGE WILL BUILD OVER THE NORTHEAST STATES
PROVIDING DRY WEATHER AND UNSEASONABLY WARM AFTERNOON/S. THE MODELS
DO NOT LOOK QUITE AS WARM AS THEY HAVE THE LAST COUPLE OF DAYS.
THIS IS A RESULT OF THE OCEAN SYSTEM HAVING MUCH MORE OF AN IMPACT
THAN EARLIER THOUGHT. STILL THINK THERE IS A DECENT SHOT FOR LOWER
ELEVATIONS AWAY FROM THE IMMEDIATE COAST TO SEE HIGHS TOP OUT NEAR
80. DEFINITELY GREAT WEATHER FOR OUTDOOR ACTIVITIES WITH LOW
HUMIDITY.

[nei]

HPCC forecast:



coastal storm? Far Northern California's rainy season has begun.