Quote:
Originally Posted by chicagogeorge
^^
Capser Wyoming is 50 degrees below normal this morning  |
NUTS
From NWS Boston for northern CT and MA.
The good news: Polar Jet and Polar Fronts.
The bad news: With Polar air comes really dry air.
The good news: A more potent system with the 2nd polar wave(sub tropical jet?)
ENSEMBLES AND DETERMINISTIC GUIDANCE CONTINUE THE THEME OF A
SUPPRESSED POLAR JET DELIVERING A COLDER THAN NORMAL REGIME ACROSS SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND BEGINNING THIS THU AND CONTINUING INTO MUCH OF NEXT WEEK.
TWO POLAR FRONTS CROSS THE REGION DURING THIS TIME WITH A WEAK FRONTAL WAVE POSSIBLY YIELDING A PERIOD OF LIGHT SNOW OR FLURRIES THU NGT INTO EARLY FRI. THEN
A MORE SIGNIFICANT PRECIP EVENT IS LIKELY LATE SUN INTO MON WHEN A MORE POTENT FRONTAL WAVE DEVELOPS ALONG THE SECOND POLAR FRONT.
CLOSER INSPECTION OF THE GFS BUFKIT REVEALS
LOW LEVELS MAY REMAIN TOO DRY FOR ANY SNOW TO REACH THE GROUND EXCEPT ALONG THE SOUTH COAST INCLUDING CAPE COD AND THE ISLANDS WHERE LOW LEVEL MOISTURE INCREASES.
925 AND 950 MB TEMPS ARE SHOWN TO BE BELOW 0C WITH SOUNDINGS PROFILES WELL BELOW FREEZING ABOVE THESE LAYERS. BOUNDARY LAYER MAY BE WARM ENOUGH ON THE COASTAL PLAIN FOR RAIN SHOWERS INITIALLY...BUT EVEN HERE ANY LINGERING PRECIP WOULD BE CHANGING TO SNOW SHOWERS. THE BIGGER QUESTION IS HOW MANY LOCATIONS ACTUALLY SEE A BRIEF OF PRECIPITATION. IT IS POSSIBLE THAT
A FEW NEIGHBORHOODS END UP WITH THEIR FIRST COATING OF SNOW BY FRI MORNING...BUT THIS DOES NOT LOOK LIKE A BIG EVENT.
There will be winners, there will be losers.
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