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Old 05-20-2015, 08:04 PM
 
Location: Near the Coast SWCT
83,516 posts, read 75,307,397 times
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After this weekend Summer comes back. Big changes being shown. More consistenly showing the heat and now its continuous for a week+. So enjoy this week Northeast, we gonna go into the pattern we got beginning of May and this time likely more humid. Starts after Memorial day north of NYC
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Old 05-20-2015, 08:05 PM
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Location: Western Massachusetts
45,983 posts, read 53,485,386 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Cambium View Post
After this weekend Summer comes back. Big changes being shown. More consistenly showing the heat and now its continuous for a week+. So enjoy this week Northeast, we gonna go into the pattern we got beginning of May and this time likely more humid. Starts after Memorial day north of NYC
So when will continuous 75°F days and moderate humidity arrive?
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Old 05-20-2015, 08:27 PM
 
Location: Near the Coast SWCT
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Quote:
Originally Posted by nei View Post
So when will continuous 75°F days and moderate humidity arrive?
Looks like after memorial day. Cant promise each day until Fall but its looking more like a summer pattern ready to lock in. I'm sure there will be breaks with 60s/70s as max in June at least (gees, I hope so).. Gonna be some hot days next week (feeling like upper 80s/90s)
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Old 05-20-2015, 09:04 PM
nei nei won $500 in our forum's Most Engaging Poster Contest - Thirteenth Edition (Jan-Feb 2015). 

Over $104,000 in prizes has already been given out to active posters on our forum and additional contests are planned
 
Location: Western Massachusetts
45,983 posts, read 53,485,386 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Cambium View Post
Looks like after memorial day. Cant promise each day until Fall but its looking more like a summer pattern ready to lock in. I'm sure there will be breaks with 60s/70s as max in June at least (gees, I hope so).. Gonna be some hot days next week (feeling like upper 80s/90s)
that's not continuous 70s!
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Old 05-20-2015, 09:07 PM
 
Location: Broward County, FL
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Quote:
Originally Posted by nei View Post
So when will continuous 75°F days and moderate humidity arrive?
September?
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Old 05-20-2015, 09:15 PM
 
Location: Near the Coast SWCT
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I think he tricked me with that question. Lol. I thought he meant 75 and warmer days. Yeah, its New England, there's no consistent anything other than for days at given points in time. Lol
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Old 05-21-2015, 04:53 AM
 
Location: Near the Coast SWCT
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Here's EURO00z temps & dewpoints for Wednesday next week. Ouch.
80s and 90s with DPs in 60s/70s. Summer is back.

For New England, Good to note GFS is hotter than Euro for Tuesday. GFS has 3 days of heat Tues to Friday. Euro has 4 Wed to Saturday. 80s and muggy.

Either way.. looks like Summer next week with warm/hot & humidity rising

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Old 05-21-2015, 07:18 AM
 
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Accuweather's summer forecast for Canada




Canada Summer Outlook 2015 - Canadian Weather Blog Weather Blog

^^

To me it looks as if they are buying in to the Euro model, keeping above average conditions for southern Canada and the northern part of the US

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Old 05-21-2015, 09:43 AM
 
Location: New Jersey
15,318 posts, read 17,221,445 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by chicagogeorge View Post
Accuweather's summer forecast for Canada




Canada Summer Outlook 2015 - Canadian Weather Blog Weather Blog

^^

To me it looks as if they are buying in to the Euro model, keeping above average conditions for southern Canada and the northern part of the US
Interesting. Cool and wet summer in Northern Quebec and just cool and dry in the eastern provinces?
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Old 05-21-2015, 09:45 AM
 
Location: Near the Coast SWCT
83,516 posts, read 75,307,397 times
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Accuweather Summer Forecast Updated. Yup, I agree... Warm and Dry for Northeast






From Paulie P's AccuPro Blog

Quote:
There are four important areas on the latest water temperature anomaly map to discuss:

1. The top area is the change in the ENSO region, the equatorial Pacific. Over the past two months, El Nino "officially" arrived and increased rapidly. Temperatures warmed across the entire region, including the big change off the South America coast. In fact, values are greater now in the eastern zone then the rest of the area which transformed this El Nino from central base to eastern base. The intensity surge at this time of the year, which is not very common, and the change to an eastern base El Nino forced us to re-evaluate our analogs and make adjustments in our forecast. We expect a moderate to nearly strongly El Nino this summer into fall, then perhaps easing back during the winter.

2. The PDO has been another strong signal. A couple of months ago, the PDO value was highly positive but since then we have seen it weaken a bit, it's still positive though. The arrows on the map represent some areas that have cooled in the horseshoe look which is common with warm and cold phases. Take notice of some cooling off the southern California coast as well. We could see more influence now from onshore flow in southern California, keeping departures down from earlier thinking.

3. The water temperatures are running above normal from off the southern New England coast to the Gulf Coast. We are expecting some ridging off the Southeast coast. This can lead to high dewpoint air from the water waters of the Gulf to expand northward through the Tennessee Valley and into parts of the Northeast in June and July. For the Northeast, it may be a touch of both. Air flow from the south will be humid, but from the Northwest for much of June and July can lead to hot spells and drier conditions due to the source region of central Canada. Also this means the development of tropical systems would be more likely closer to the U.S. rather than long track systems off the African coast. Number four gives evidence for this statement.

4. The main developing region for tropical development is still running cooler than normal, and this has led to drier conditions and higher pressure. These are factors against development or frequent development. This exists from the African coast to the Caribbean.
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