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Old 07-31-2015, 06:50 PM
nei nei won $500 in our forum's Most Engaging Poster Contest - Thirteenth Edition (Jan-Feb 2015). 

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Location: Western Massachusetts
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It was in the low 80s when I got home. I didn't believe my phone, thought it was a misread. Without sun, I kept thinking it was much cooler. Just this warm sensation against my skin, that's not real heat. Was very happy to get out of A/C. Dewpoint was in the mid 50s. Ugh tomorrow will be more humid.
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Old 07-31-2015, 07:25 PM
 
Location: Near the Coast SWCT
83,399 posts, read 74,915,183 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by nei View Post
This is irritating. I thought with the drier air we'd get a break from storms and rain.
Its pretty interesting to see how we are near the Jet a lot this summer. Either north of it dry and seasonable, south of it warm and humid or right under it, stormy and cloudy.

I like it... at least its still near us and can easily push further south as fall comes.

Next week.



Also.. noticed lots of cold fronts and dry Spring like skies with heat this year. Everytime we get that NW flow which seems like a few times in July itself.
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Old 07-31-2015, 07:27 PM
 
Location: Lexington, KY
12,278 posts, read 9,430,924 times
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Chance for heavy thunderstorms?

RAINFALL WITH CONVECTION NEXT WEEK MAY BE ON THE HEAVY SIDES AS WELL
WITH A STALLED OUT FRONT AND MULTIPLE MID-LEVEL WAVES PASSING
OVERHEAD.
DISTINCT DIFFERENCES IN THE QPF FIELDS BETWEEN THE GFS
AND EURO DO EXIST...WITH THE GFS MAINTAINING HIGHER QPF AMOUNTS TO
OUR NORTH...WHILE THE EURO PAINTS THEM RIGHT OVER THE HEART OF THE
OHIO VALLEY. UTILIZING THE ENSEMBLE MEANS...IT DOES APPEAR THAT A
ROUND OF 2-4 INCH RAINFALL WITH LOCALIZED HIGHER AMOUNTS MAY OCCUR
NEXT WEEK.
THIS MAY RESULT IN SOME HYDROLOGIC PROBLEMS IN SOME
AREAS THAT REMAIN QUITE DAMP FROM RECENT RAINS IN THE LAST SEVERAL
WEEKS.
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Old 08-01-2015, 01:53 AM
 
Location: Bellingham, WA
465 posts, read 403,531 times
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Seattle just set a new record for hottest month ever--July averaged 71.2 degrees.
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Old 08-01-2015, 03:57 AM
nei nei won $500 in our forum's Most Engaging Poster Contest - Thirteenth Edition (Jan-Feb 2015). 

Over $104,000 in prizes has already been given out to active posters on our forum and additional contests are planned
 
Location: Western Massachusetts
46,009 posts, read 53,318,126 times
Reputation: 15179
shortwaves and convection

TRAILING SHORT WAVE ENERGY CURRENTLY MOVING ACROSS THE GREAT LAKES
ADVECTS THRU NEW ENGLAND LATER TODAY. THIS RESULTS IN COOLING TEMPS
ALOFT WITH H5 TEMPS GOING FROM -9C THIS MORNING TO ABOUT -12C BY
DAYS END. THIS WILL RESULT IN STEEPENING LAPSE RATES. MODEST FORCING
FOR ASCENT ASSOCIATED WITH THIS SHORT WAVE TROUGH AS IT CROSSES THE
REGION. LIMITING FACTOR FOR CONVECTION WITH THIS FEATURE IS COLUMN
IS FAIRLY DRY ALONG WITH SURFACE DEW PTS IN THE 50S. THIS WILL
LIKELY LIMIT AREAL COVERAGE TO ISOLATED OR WIDELY SCATTERED.

CONVECTION MAY BE MORE NUMEROUS WITH STRONGER UPDRAFTS ALONG THE
SOUTH COAST AS DEW PTS HERE WILL BE HIGHER...IN THE 60S DUE TO SW
WIND. THIS GREATER INSTABILITY WILL PROVIDE A LOW RISK OF ONE OR TWO
STRONGER T-STORMS IN THIS AREA.
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Old 08-01-2015, 04:45 AM
 
Location: Near the Coast SWCT
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Thursday to Sunday still looking great as has been for 1 week now on the models.

Front comes through Wednesday, drops dew points into 40s/50s and keeps temps in the 70s mostly in the OV and Northeast..

850mb temps into the single digits Great Lakes areas, PA and New England.

Here's the dewpoint from the Euro for Friday afternoon.

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Old 08-01-2015, 04:54 AM
 
Location: Near the Coast SWCT
83,399 posts, read 74,915,183 times
Reputation: 16571
Here you go nei. I take it back... GFS sucks... EURO was right... Obviously not as strong as it showed but it was dead on the idea. So the model DID see it happening 10 days out.

It's a little storm right now but again, the idea was lost of the "big" storm, but convection over the Atlantic was still there... just nothing note worthy and here it is this morning, a tiny little thing.

So bottom line.. models (The Euro) did see "something" going on because the pattern was ripe for it.

https://twitter.com/SurfSkiWxMan/sta...09227292758016
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Old 08-01-2015, 05:09 AM
 
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Minimum temp. was 4.4C today, so it's a new record low for August (at least for 35 years) and in its warmer period.

So what. Freaking hot next week:
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Old 08-01-2015, 05:25 AM
 
Location: Near the Coast SWCT
83,399 posts, read 74,915,183 times
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7am it's 78°F (25.5C) in NYC.
That's pretty much the highest north of Miami.
Only select few spots are that warm right now.

It's 70 here and it's warm, now the sun is popping out.

This current Water Vapor loop in the Fall would have a different meaning for the area. DIG!

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Old 08-01-2015, 05:32 AM
 
Location: Near the Coast SWCT
83,399 posts, read 74,915,183 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Cambium View Post
7am it's 78°F (25.5C) in NYC.
That's pretty much the highest north of Miami.
Only select few spots are that warm right now.

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