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Not my prediction, but.... the EPA says that Illinois will look like this mid and late century under two emission scenarios. Even the "low" emission scenario, Chicago is supposed to have a climate of Memphis and Nashville and under a high emissions scenario (business as usual) like Oklahoma or Arkansas over the next 35 years.... I call it bull****
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In the Midwest, average annual temperatures increased over the last several decades. Heat waves are becoming more frequent and cold periods are becoming rarer. Snow and ice are arriving later in the fall and starting to melt earlier in the spring. Heavy downpours now occur twice as frequently as they did a century ago. [1] These trends are likely to continue under future climate change: average summer temperatures are projected to increase by 3°F over the next few decades and could increase by over 10°F by the end of this century. This range would make summers in Illinois and Michigan feel like those in present-day Texas and Oklahoma, respectively.
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In 1995, Chicago endured a heat wave from July 12th to July 16th that caused over 700 heat-related deaths. Similar heat waves could occur up to three times per year by 2100. If greenhouse gas emissions increase at a higher rate, the average annual number of heat-related deaths in Chicago is projected to quadruple by the middle of the century.
My home town Perth is expected to get hotter all-round with less winter rainfall and slightly more in summer.
What are your predictions for your home town or town you live in now?
Are we assuming that ALL of the world's fossil fuel reserves will be burned between now and then? IIRC the amount of remaining coal alone corresponds to a global increase of 3-4 degrees Celsius. This could easily go up to 6 degrees Celsius if we include the oil, gas, and unconventionals such as oil shale and tar sands. I think it was James Hansen that laid this out, you'd have to look at his work.
Under this scenario I would expect Washington, DC to become somewhat like Dallas, Texas is today.
My prediction for 2100 (Warm Epoch -> Subtropical Paradise.)
March and April will become increasingly drier (there's already a modest drying trend). Summer will become a lot wetter and warmer with plenty of t-storms for everybody to enjoy.
My prediction for 2100 (Warm Epoch -> Subtropical Paradise.)
March and April will become increasingly drier (there's already a modest drying trend). Summer will become a lot wetter and warmer with plenty of t-storms for everybody to enjoy.
I don't buy it. Most experts are of the opinion that 50N and north winter will warm up the most. Ok, you're on the boundary, but just a thing to keep in mind.
I have put in my chart a 2.4C warming in July, 5.7C warming in February.
I don't buy it. Most experts are of the opinion that 50N and north winter will warm up the most. Ok, you're on the boundary, but just a thing to keep in mind.
I have put in my chart a 2.4C warming in July, 5.7C warming in February.
I don't give much credit to these projections anyway but it seems winter won't warm up much faster than summer in southern Germany:
If it follows the same trend since 1895, I would expect very little change in average temperature here.
Since it's actually impossible to predict climate for the future, my best guess, based on recent trends, is colder in the near future. 100 years out pretty much the same.
Location: Northern Ireland and temporarily England
7,668 posts, read 5,253,632 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Ariete
Getting more bokeful:
Why do you keep saying that word? Its not even funny.
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Most experts are of the opinion that 50N and north winter will warm up the most. Ok, you're on the boundary, but just a thing to keep in mind.
