Winter Thread 2015-16 (Northern Hemisphere) (climate, hot, warm, record)

[YakutskVostok]

bitterLY cold and snowY for the uppeR MiDwest and northEasT?

[nei]

Originally Posted by Cambium

Looking likely. Lets see how strong the airmass is though.


BTW .. I wonder if nei is on his bike somewhere. Nice healthy line of snow heading East towards him. That green in CT is not rain, I got flurries coming down.

Ha, no I've only biked a couple days this month. I could see dark clouds to the west at 11-12. It was partly cloudy in the morning, got all cloudy around 10 am. Was inside and away from a window when that band passed if it did. Nothing stuck on the ground if it did, all bare.

I'm guessing this is related to the clipper that was forecast to pass by today and could have been a big snowstorm?

[nei]

Originally Posted by chicagogeorge

Most of the country below normal this January

Huh, thought this January felt like a warm one, didn't expect the rest of the country so different.

[Cambium]

Originally Posted by nei

I'm guessing this is related to the clipper that was forecast to pass by today and could have been a big snowstorm?

Yup. Just a front instead with weak precip.


Wow Taunton... Nice discussion.. Ahhh, the subtle hints at long range cold and a snowstorm from NWS. LOL (Last Paragraph)


Text Data


NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA
111 PM EST FRI JAN 29 2016


*/ OVERVIEW ...
DISCUSSED YESTERDAY...JUXTAPOSITION OF TWO COMPETING SIGNALS...THE
EL NINO SOUTHERN OSCILLATION /ENSO/ VERSUS THE ARCTIC OSCILLATION
/AO/ IN AN OTHERWISE PROGRESSIVE FLOW ENVIRONMENT THROUGH WHICH AN
ACTIVE WEATHER PATTERN IS FORECAST.


PRESENTLY ENSO IS IN CONTROL WITHIN A POSITIVE NAO/AO/PNA REGIME
WITH ARCTIC AIR LOCKED UP AROUND THE N POLE AS THE STRATOSPHERIC
POLAR VORTEX REMAINS RELATIVELY STRONG. WESTERLIES SWEEPING NE OUT
OF THE EQUATORIAL PACIFIC CONTRIBUTING TO STORM DEVELOPMENT ACROSS
THE SW CONUS ARE ALSO AIDING IN A PREFERRED S FLOW OF WARM-MOIST AIR
ACROSS THE NE CONUS. SUBSEQUENT POSITIVE HEIGHT ANOMALIES...BOTH THE
STORM TRACK AND MORE FAVORABLE ZONE OF BAROCLINICITY IS SHIFTED N/W.
A WARMER WETTER SIGNAL SOMEWHAT REMINISCENT OF NOVEMBER / DECEMBER
WITH TEMPERATURES REMAINING ABOVE-AVERAGE.


BUT WILL HAVE TO MONITOR TRENDS TOWARDS MID-FEBRUARY. ENSEMBLE MEAN
INDICATIONS OF A SHIFT BACK TO A -NAO/AO STATE WITH A +PNA AS THE
STRATOSPHERIC POLAR VORTEX WEAKENS ALLOWING ARCTIC AIR TO SEEP SOUTH.
WOULD EXPECT A SHIFT IN THE SW-NE BAROCLINIC ZONE / STORM TRACK AS
ENSO REMAINS STRONG. COULD SEE WITH THE RE-INTRODUCTION OF ARCTIC
AIR SOUTH BY THE END OF NEXT WEEK AN INCREASING CHANCE FOR SNOW.

[marlaver]

It snowed yesterday in Kuwait apparently for the first time!


https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=LTzP-Yc-pIo

And Bangkok recorded its coldest high on record, with only 19.2ºC, a couple of days ago.

[muslim12]

Originally Posted by Cambium

Don't cancel anything yet but lets keep an eye on it.




Max in the 20s for them single digits and teens at night.


I assume -15C at that level down in GA is near extreme?


Here are the max temps from that same run, I assume this is near record cold too but not historic?
It's the deepest and coldest run I've seen so far.

why just why. a third year of this crap???? I absolutely hate this. truly hope it doesn't even get that cold. do you know how 7 degrees feels under that polar vortex. feels like a cold desert. sucks the moisture off my skin and the joy out of my heart. this is crazy from 1990 up to about 2012 most winters except for maybe 3 were pretty typical for a place at our latitude. Now we have to flip back to this crappy pattern?????? why just why. honestly. cold has virtually 0 benefits other than joy for the people who love it. It hurts food production, the economy, and the days that it comes in are ruined. honestly after seeing that map my heart sank to the center of the earth all I feel is this sinking feeling that is weighing me down. And this come just as spring begins to get underway. . this is terrible.

[Warszawa]

Originally Posted by muslim12

why just why. a third year of this crap???? I absolutely hate this. truly hope it doesn't even get that cold. do you know how 7 degrees feels under that polar vortex. feels like a cold desert. sucks the moisture off my skin and the joy out of my heart. this is crazy from 1990 up to about 2012 most winters except for maybe 3 were pretty typical for a place at our latitude. Now we have to flip back to this crappy pattern?????? why just why. honestly. cold has virtually 0 benefits other than joy for the people who love it. It hurts food production, the economy, and the days that it comes in are ruined. honestly after seeing that map my heart sank to the center of the earth all I feel is this sinking feeling that is weighing me down. And this come just as spring begins to get underway. . this is terrible.

Yupp I love New York but it's too damn cold here. You gotta move somewhere else brotha, South America seems so appealing, the economy is getting better in most countries there, the food is good, the nightlife is good, and you don't have worry about your ass freezing in winter

[Cambium]

Just amazing to see but a little too late for my liking. Imagine if this happened 2 weeks ago or currently??? But a Mid Feb Split doesn't tickle me the same. Better late than never I guess.


The Vortex is a whole right now. This is what it could look like.


A ridge of warmth gets to the Arctic and the Vortex splits into 2. One into N.America. The other to Eastern Europe.





Watch it in action to understand what could happen. Watch it get squeezed then pop into 2.


https://twitter.com/Met_mdclark/stat...84442240225280

[floridanative10]

Originally Posted by Warszawa

Yupp I love New York but it's too damn cold here. You gotta move somewhere else brotha, South America seems so appealing, the economy is getting better in most countries there, the food is good, the nightlife is good, and you don't have worry about your ass freezing in winter

I agree, I have been to costa rica numerous times and loved it, I am a gambler and I enjoy the culture there plus all the eco tours and outdoor stuff. I am trying to meet a colombian woman online but i need to learn spanish. such a great culture, colombian women are some of the most beautiful in the world. in the 80s today in medellin and jaco and san jose in costa rica.

[muslim12]

Originally Posted by Cambium

Just amazing to see but a little too late for my liking. Imagine if this happened 2 weeks ago or currently??? But a Mid Feb Split doesn't tickle me the same. Better late than never I guess.


The Vortex is a whole right now. This is what it could look like.


A ridge of warmth gets to the Arctic and the Vortex splits into 2. One into N.America. The other to Eastern Europe.





Watch it in action to understand what could happen. Watch it get squeezed then pop into 2.


https://twitter.com/Met_mdclark/stat...84442240225280

Interesting. That's some crazy warm air over Russia and Alaska. And wow the pv goes to eastern Europe rather than western Europe , they seem to luck out in winter but fail in summer. But as the cold lover you are don't you prefer snow more so than cold? The pv would squash any snow chances. Its weird to me how a warm arctic means a frigid winter in the east. Makes sense though. The colder the air the more stable it is. I truly hope this doesn't verify. A SSW event does not happen every winter does it? how often does it happen? and is it unprecedented that it has happened 3 years in a row and each time eastern north America got slammed. very interesting I think earths climate is changing but it is hard to tell in what direction. What will force that ridge into the arctic?