Please register to participate in our discussions with 2 million other members - it's free and quick! Some forums can only be seen by registered members. After you create your account, you'll be able to customize options and access all our 15,000 new posts/day with fewer ads.
I'm going with Chicago. Flagstaff has a better chance of having the last inch of snow in the spring. Flagstaff's snow is more winter/spring biased. Chicago's is straight on most likely in winter with fall and spring about equally likely. Seasonal lag puts Boston behind in the race. St. Louis is pretty unlikely, it's pretty far south. It could have a Hail Mary pass though.
As a rule of thumb, I'm going to say the day the daily likelihood of snowfall is 15% is about when the first inch is likely to arrive by.
I'd say that Chicago has about a 50% likelihood of being first, Flagstaff 40%, Boston 9%, and St. Louis 1%.
Chicago: November 13 (Usually their first inch is in November)
Boston: November 23
Flagstaff: November 16 (This one's pretty variable, it could easily be October or December)
St. Louis: December 19 (I have a feeling it will be earlier, maybe December 1-15)
Please register to post and access all features of our very popular forum. It is free and quick. Over $68,000 in prizes has already been given out to active posters on our forum. Additional giveaways are planned.
Detailed information about all U.S. cities, counties, and zip codes on our site: City-data.com.
Please register to participate in our discussions with 2 million other members - it's free and quick! Some forums can only be seen by registered members. After you create your account, you'll be able to customize options and access all our 15,000 new posts/day with fewer ads.
