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View Poll Results: When do you think La Nina will happen?
Spring 2016 3 4.84%
Summer 2016 16 25.81%
Fall 2016 23 37.10%
Winter 2016-17 11 17.74%
After Feb 2017 9 14.52%
Voters: 62. You may not vote on this poll

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Old 06-06-2016, 03:57 PM
 
Location: Mid Atlantic USA
12,623 posts, read 13,929,460 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by ABrandNewWorld View Post
I agree; we will probably be in a strong La Nina by August.

Sorry but we can only hope so in the East. We have had enough of your warm epoch and what it did to us. I just want the PNW water to turn well below normal.
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Old 06-06-2016, 04:15 PM
 
3,212 posts, read 3,175,571 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by tom77falcons View Post
Sorry but we can only hope so in the East. We have had enough of your warm epoch and what it did to us. I just want the PNW water to turn well below normal.
That's going to heavily depend on the PDO. Near shore SST in California right now are below normal but the entire West Coast's far off shore SST are still above normal (although the anomalies are significantly less than they were over the past 2 years). The PDO could flip to negative this fall but its not a guarantee while the La Nina is pretty much a sealed deal at this point.
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Old 06-07-2016, 03:23 PM
 
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Obviously fantasy time frame, but JB showing SSTs on the CFSv2 looking a lot like 84-85 for this upcoming winter
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Old 06-07-2016, 03:52 PM
 
Location: Mid Atlantic USA
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Quote:
Originally Posted by chicagogeorge View Post
Obviously fantasy time frame, but JB showing SSTs on the CFSv2 looking a lot like 84-85 for this upcoming winter

He must be bored cause his summer weather forecast isn't going to plan, so instead of explaining why we are not getting nothing but heat after Memorial Day as he said, he is distracting people now with his stupid winter forecasts.
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Old 06-07-2016, 04:05 PM
 
29,522 posts, read 19,620,154 times
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^^

Struck a nerve there Tom? Worried about the winter already?

I don't know, I've had 17 days above average in a row, including a lot more 80's than last year by this time. So far so good.

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Old 06-07-2016, 04:15 PM
 
Location: Mid Atlantic USA
12,623 posts, read 13,929,460 times
Reputation: 5895
Quote:
Originally Posted by chicagogeorge View Post
^^

Struck a nerve there Tom? Worried about the winter already?

I don't know, I've had 17 days above average in a row, including a lot more 80's than last year by this time. So far so good.

So now it is "above average". George you know very well he talked about real heat hitting the whole east right at the end of May and staying that way. He seems quite quiet about the fact that it is not happening.

No, the winter is way way out there, and if it is as bad as 1985, then at least people will see just how cold the Southeast "subtropical" climates can get.
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Old 06-07-2016, 04:17 PM
 
29,522 posts, read 19,620,154 times
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^^
How about significantly above average, which is what it has been here?

Go back in his tweets and you will see that he talks about a 10 day pullback in June for the Northeast. Lets see if the heat comes back towards the end of the month.


Have to admit, what the CFSv2 is forecasting the SSTs to be this winter are almost identical to what they were in 84-85

https://twitter.com/BigJoeBastardi/s...07520254418944
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Old 06-07-2016, 04:59 PM
 
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Look Tom he tweeted this on May 30th

https://twitter.com/BigJoeBastardi/s...51354188652544
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Old 06-07-2016, 06:50 PM
 
29,522 posts, read 19,620,154 times
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https://twitter.com/jnmet/status/740202369393303552
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Old 06-07-2016, 08:52 PM
 
Location: Lizard Lick, NC
6,344 posts, read 4,407,749 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by tom77falcons View Post
So now it is "above average". George you know very well he talked about real heat hitting the whole east right at the end of May and staying that way. He seems quite quiet about the fact that it is not happening.

No, the winter is way way out there, and if it is as bad as 1985, then at least people will see just how cold the Southeast "subtropical" climates can get.
In all the years in our record 1985 is the only 1 of its kind. Doubt we will see a repeat in our lifetime.
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