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View Poll Results: When do you think La Nina will happen?
Spring 2016 3 4.84%
Summer 2016 16 25.81%
Fall 2016 23 37.10%
Winter 2016-17 11 17.74%
After Feb 2017 9 14.52%
Voters: 62. You may not vote on this poll

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Old 08-25-2016, 09:47 AM
 
Location: Lizard Lick, NC
6,344 posts, read 4,408,997 times
Reputation: 1996

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Quote:
Originally Posted by tom77falcons View Post
You do realize all the models point to either a very weak Nina or even neutral conditions. Don't count on any big ridge in the Southeast due to a Nina.
Look at the warm waters and the strength the Ridge all ready has right now. All we need is the Bermuda high which normally becomes the azores high in winter near Europe bringing them stable conditions and when it's near us as the Bermuda high it does the same.
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Old 08-25-2016, 09:49 AM
 
Location: Mid Atlantic USA
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Quote:
Originally Posted by muslim12 View Post
It can happen and does happen especially in la Nina years. 1936,1934, and many more years I'm sure if I look into it more.

Well in 1934 Charleston and Savannah both had ice days and an anomaly of 27F on the daily mean on Feb 10, 1934.
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Old 08-25-2016, 10:11 AM
 
Location: South Jersey
14,497 posts, read 9,435,900 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by muslim12 View Post
Then for some reason you don't struggle seeing places hundreds of miles further south dropping deep into subzero territory. Doesn't make sense, people said same about NYC the most absurd uhi on earth, and they went subzero in february.
Nyc went to subzero? That's not common at all. The more inland South probably has higher standard deviations.. the way the continent us shaped permits those areas a bit further west to more often get the deeper freezes.

I'd have to see it to believe it in Philadelphia. Probably the last time was Jan 1994.
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Old 08-25-2016, 10:12 AM
 
Location: New York Area
35,078 posts, read 17,024,527 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by tom77falcons View Post
You do realize all the models point to either a very weak Nina or even neutral conditions. Don't count on any big ridge in the Southeast due to a Nina.
What about how this July and August have behaved?
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Old 08-25-2016, 10:25 AM
 
Location: Lizard Lick, NC
6,344 posts, read 4,408,997 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by snj90 View Post
Nyc went to subzero? That's not common at all. The more inland South probably has higher standard deviations.. the way the continent us shaped permits those areas a bit further west to more often get the deeper freezes.

I'd have to see it to believe it in Philadelphia. Probably the last time was Jan 1994.
It is not common here either! Only happened 3 times that we went below 0 in our entire nearly 140 year weather records. It has happened much more than 3 times in Philly and nyc. The only part of the inland south that will see much more deviation would be west of the app mountains such as tennessee.
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Old 08-25-2016, 11:42 AM
 
Location: Mid Atlantic USA
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Quote:
Originally Posted by muslim12 View Post
Look at the warm waters and the strength the Ridge all ready has right now. All we need is the Bermuda high which normally becomes the azores high in winter near Europe bringing them stable conditions and when it's near us as the Bermuda high it does the same.

Let's face it, it is a rather rare winter the Bermuda High protects the South. If that was the case their USDA zones wouldn't be as low as they are given the latitude. But year in and year out, excepting the oddball years like big Nino's 2016, Charleston almost always goes upper teens F and is zone 8b. If that Bermuda High was there every winter they would be 9b like in Western Europe or even higher.
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Old 08-25-2016, 04:12 PM
 
Location: Norman, OK
2,850 posts, read 1,971,574 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by lab276 View Post
Look at those borders!
I emailed the webmaster about it. Let's see if I get a response.
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Old 08-25-2016, 04:17 PM
 
Location: Norman, OK
2,850 posts, read 1,971,574 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by tom77falcons View Post
Let's face it, it is a rather rare winter the Bermuda High protects the South. If that was the case their USDA zones wouldn't be as low as they are given the latitude. But year in and year out, excepting the oddball years like big Nino's 2016, Charleston almost always goes upper teens F and is zone 8b. If that Bermuda High was there every winter they would be 9b like in Western Europe or even higher.
Downtown Charleston is borderline zone 9b. Since 1980 their average coldest temp is 25.

Quote:
Originally Posted by lab276 View Post
Look at those borders!
I emailed the webmaster about it. Let's see if I get a response.
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Old 08-25-2016, 05:04 PM
 
Location: South Jersey
14,497 posts, read 9,435,900 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by muslim12 View Post
It is not common here either! Only happened 3 times that we went below 0 in our entire nearly 140 year weather records. It has happened much more than 3 times in Philly and nyc. The only part of the inland south that will see much more deviation would be west of the app mountains such as tennessee.
Yeah, west of the Appalachians, for sure.
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Old 08-25-2016, 08:30 PM
 
Location: Mid Atlantic USA
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Quote:
Originally Posted by srfoskey View Post
Downtown Charleston is borderline zone 9b. Since 1980 their average coldest temp is 25.



.

UHI that's all.
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