Spring 2016 thread (Northern Hemisphere) (sky, snow, warm, average)

[snj90]

Feels like a morning in May outside.

[nei]

Nice treat, kinda dreary out though. We've had clear mornings in August that were colder.

[Infamous92]

Originally Posted by Cambium

Nope, shouldn't over perform because of Clouds around today. Yesterday was pure sun from sun up to evening. Plus the Ridge is flattening out which means we're on the northern edge of it which means clouds.


Here's NYC MOS forecast. Broken and Overcast today. Clear tomorrow and Saturday.





Ha. Just checked. They even cut back on the max temps because of it


AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY
711 AM EST THU MAR 10 2016

HIGH PRESSURE OFF THE SOUTHEAST COAST CONTINUES TO DRIFT OFFSHORE
TONIGHT.

MUCH MORE CLOUD COVER ACROSS THE AREA AS WELL AS UPSTREAM TODAY
AND EVEN THOUGH H85 TEMPS ARE SIMILAR TO YESTERDAY (BETWEEN 10C
AND 12C) THE CLOUDS SHOULD LIMIT HEATING. THEREFORE...HAVE CUT
BACK ON HIGH TEMPS THIS AFTN...ESPECIALLY AT THE COAST. REST OF
FORECAST IS ON TRACK.

MEANWHILE...LOW PRES OVER THE GREAT LAKES TRACKS EAST AND MOVES
INTO NORTHERN NY LATER TODAY. RAIN THEN CONTINUES TO SPREAD
THROUGHOUT THE REGION TONIGHT

Yeah I see they knocked the forecast down to 68F, which is the current temperature. Was cloudy earlier but the sun is out now, hope it stays out long enough for us to see 70's.

[snj90]

a little cloudy now, but weather underground still says a max of 80. maybe with some luck, we won't reach it

[Cambium]

Another day of shorts. Does feel like a morning in May. Wow. Buds are becoming more apparent now


Current Temps and Jet Stream Pattern. Upper Low still over Mexico. Top of ridge pushing south and the surface front moving in. Sun poking through at times but not full enough to heat us up like yesterday.

You will ALWAYS be dry under the center of the ridge which is now pushing off shore.




Close-up





Instead of that Upper Low over Mexico curling East into the Gulf and Florida, it stops at the Gulf, turns Northeast but then just deteriorates and is just a buckle in the Jet stream as it moves across the Southeast. Funny.


Would love to see an ULL over Florida one day!

[Wildcat15]

Originally Posted by Cambium

March 3rd I knew Wednesday would be the warmest day up this way

Today was thought to be here, but the clouds and rain have arrived earlier so the high has been lowered to 69F.

[tom77falcons]

Originally Posted by Cambium

Big changes with Soil temps past 3 days in the East.

Ohio, WV, VA, NC soil went from a cold 30s to warm 50s.

40s up to New England now. I'll have to get a reading from mine but mid 40s is a good bet.

Your map looks low when compared to this site. What is the source of your map?

NRCS National Water and Climate Center - Soil Climate Analysis Network

These locations were warmer in Feb than your maps show for March. Just look at where Pee Dee SC is and the locations in GA and VA. Knowing people in those areas from the garden forum their soil temps are not as cold as your maps show.

[chicagogeorge]

https://twitter.com/GenscapeWx/statu...19198891147265

[Cambium]

Originally Posted by tom77falcons

Your map looks low when compared to this site. What is the source of your map?

NRCS National Water and Climate Center - Soil Climate Analysis Network

These locations were warmer in Feb than your maps show for March. Just look at where Pee Dee SC is and the locations in GA and VA. Knowing people in those areas from the garden forum their soil temps are not as cold as your maps show.

Nice site.


Source for maps was linked in my post.


Look at the 4" depth column. Looks like the SC station (On March 4th) was 54°. The AG map for this morning shows 50s. So it matches.


The March 7th map does look colder. It's not specific to individual stations and backyards plus NRCS only has 4 stations reporting in Virginia. Are they farms with a black plastic over the soil in direct sun?


Also soil temps fluctuate. With 70s/80s, full sun, I seen my soil temp rise 5-8 degrees in 2 days. Look at Charlottesville, Virginia low temps March 5, 6 & 7! It dipped to freezing and lower. So probably why the March 7 map showing the soil cool off?


I think NWS needs to add this into their daily routine. Too bad we don't physically have people checking and entering the report into a network. 220 stations from NRCS is a good start. Hope more are added. I wonder if their data gets fed into the models.

[nei]

Was 62°F at 8 am; 67°F now. Dewpoints are climbing with the moist air coming. Around 40°F yesterday afternoon, now 52°F.