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Not this year; even your area will still be below average.
Did the world end today? Not talking about 1 event. Whether it be the next month or next season, or the following year. Most of the time it's the following 1-2 seasons pattern changes dry to wet
Did the world end today? Not talking about 1 event. Whether it be the next month or next season, or the following year. Most of the time it's the following 1-2 seasons pattern changes dry to wet
Sure, but the dryness is real and annoying for those 1-2 seasons
We weren't in a drought in March or April here. "dry" yes, no drought.
It wasn't until Mid June it became a moderate drought.
So will this time only have lasted 2mths? We'll see. I love how meteorologists and people don't have memory. This ALWAYS happens around this region (or area here). We always make up for it. Sure can be annoying and concerning, but its so overrated and hyped!
I am wondering what the longest drought was though.
NWS NY says.... They will let the day time mets figure out where the best threat is for flash flooding using this mornings ensemble models.
They also said being on the cool side of the warm front means elevated convection and flash flood potential.
Also said some indication of a possible swath of 7-10".
Eeeenie, meeenie, miny, mo who will get the heaviest flow?
Quote:
National Weather Service New York NY
435 AM EDT THU JUL 28 2016
Synoptic lift...interacting with deep gulf moisture of 2 to 3 stds
above normal...instability feed from the south...and focus for
convergence along the warm front/coastal front ahead of the
approaching low will provide the ingredients for heavy rainfall
during the late tonight through into Friday afternoon period.
Along and just on the cool side of the warm front back to the triple
pt...potential exists for not only elevated convection...but surface
based. This would pose both a flash flood threat and lesser severe
threat. Threat for flash flooding from training convection as
steering flow closely parallels warm front. The GFS/NAM initialized
SBU WRF is depicting swaths of 7 to 10 inches along this boundary
due to training convection...but location is quite varied. This is a
concerning signal, and cant be ignored based on the available
instability and moisture. The limited severe threat appears to be
for weak tornadoes based on strong veering wind profile...low
lcls...low-level cape...and sufficient low-level shear/helicity in
se inflow.
Unfortunately the exact mesoscale setup will likely only become
clear as the event nears tonight into early Friday morning. So where
exactly these threats line up is still quite uncertain. Would like
to let dayshift evaluate some of the ensemble cams before issuing a
flash flood watch. Will continue to address the flash flood
and convection threat in HWO.
Current radar. Seeing flooding and 4"+ reports near KY/OH. Flow is from the Gulf into the Northeast
Might hit 100F here today! I have't felt a humid 100F since 2008.
I was thinking, Miami will hit 100? That's record breaking stuff right there. Then I saw you are in southern pines lol. What are you doing there, golfing?
Chicago/MDW metograms as of 10AM.. 83F/28C with a 70F/21C dew point
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7-10 inches???! 
