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Still 10 days out. Aren't you the one always questioning the models that far out? And now you're onboard based on a hurricane track?lol
Last 16 Augusts months here
12 above
1 normal
3 below
I might be overdue for a cooler than average August.
You seem to lose interest quickly in summer as you seem focused on winter now. Not even sure why you seem so obsessed with hot summers when you barely got one month of above normal temps and you are happy with that. Your July is not what I would classify as hot by any means. 84/66.5F for July would be a cool month for us here. That is even cooler than an avg August here.
^^
Yeah, I know Philly is a little warmer. You are also further south. Our averages are more like NYC. Hey, and why didn't that super positive PDO that you're always complaining about not give you a below average June-July? And we had two summer months above average, not one (and also May ). That hasn't happened here since 2012, so given the last 3 summers, this is indeed an improvement. We were not dramatically above average, but above nevertheless, mainly due to the minimum temps... Also, MDW was 85/69 for the month. Plenty of "warm enough pool days".. and we had some great convection as well.
Btw, here is the July data
I'm beginning to think about winter because I go back to work in 13 days and my summer break is over soon. Shoulder seasons don't mean much to me.
Last edited by chicagogeorge; 08-02-2016 at 10:57 PM..
63.1°F right now. FINALLY! Been since July 12th being this low, before that was July 4th. Haven't had this type of morning break in a while! Only 2 in the past 5 weeks!
Pittsfield, MA is at 52° right now. Sweet! Their lowest in 2 weeks
Still 10 days out. Aren't you the one always questioning the models that far out? And now you're onboard based on a hurricane track?lol
.
There's a difference George. The Typhoon is recurving this week (within 5 days now) That's not far for models. When you telleconnect it that means trough in Eastern U.S in 9-13 days. So doesn't matter what the models show 10 days out, it's about whats happening right now. I find it very odd you don't believe this in Summers but do in Fall and winter. It's one thing to like heat but its another to totally ignore the cool downs
Latest GFS on it. When you see a front that far south, you know it's going to be nice in the Mid West and Northeast. But again, it's friggin August, don't expect anything impressive. Just know the real heat has no chance of getting sustained like July.
My guess is.. August will be up & down. Not like June. Not like July. It will be hot at times, seasonable mostly, cool at times. 4 days seasonable and warm, then break a couple with seasonable and cool, ect. For Northeast, Great Lakes, Ohio Valley.
There's a difference George. The Typhoon is recurving this week (within 5 days now) That's not far for models. When you telleconnect it that means trough in Eastern U.S in 9-13 days. So doesn't matter what the models show 10 days out, it's about whats happening right now. I find it very odd you don't believe this in Summers but do in Fall and winter. It's one thing to like heat but its another to totally ignore the cool downs
Latest GFS on it. When you see a front that far south, you know it's going to be nice in the Mid West and Northeast. But again, it's friggin August, don't expect anything impressive. Just know the real heat has no chance of getting sustained like July.
Who says I don't believe this? I know what the "typhoon rule"is and what it may mean for Eastern CONUS.... But even in 5 days a hurricane track is hard to predict.
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). That hasn't happened here since 2012, so given the last 3 summers, this is indeed an improvement. We were not dramatically above average, but above nevertheless, mainly due to the minimum temps... Also, MDW was 85/69 for the month. Plenty of "warm enough pool days".. and we had some great convection as well. 
It's one thing to like heat but its another to totally ignore the cool downs
