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I wouldn't be surprised though, lately we've been starting out warm and finishing in the freezer.
Bastardi has a cold Jan-March period. He did say however, in his morning update today, that after mid November "all bets are off" with warm anomalies. That cold building in Siberia right now has him thinking that we might get a cross polar flow earlier, especially if the PV is weak.
Bastardi has a cold Jan-March period. He did say however, in his morning update today, that after mid November "all bets are off" with warm anomalies. That cold building in Siberia right now has him thinking that we might get a cross polar flow earlier, especially if the PV is weak.
Bastardi in the last week or so seems to be leaning More toward the Negative AO being the driver of the pattern for winter instead of the blob or the nina.
The blob is a pinch further west this time, with the immediate cost being very cold. Hopefully that means the trough will be different this time! Maybe further west in the Dakotas as opposed to chilling over Quebec/Toronto
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