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I think the models (especially the CFS) are confused. With the current state the QBO and stratospheric wave forcing going on, the models are having a hard time computing exactly what is going to happen. One thing for sure is using analogs from the past its indicative that a very mild November results in a massive arctic blast, rather backloaded or in the heart of winter.
I couldn't agree with you more on this point; some of the forecast models and forecast tools are showing the potential for some VERY COLD temperatures at some point this winter, one tool which has been very bullish in terms of showing this has been the temperature anomaly outlook from the National Weather Service's CAS computer model forecast tool, so all hope is not yet lost , especially since it is still only early November and many would say that these models are not accurate more than a month in advance, so there is still a chance that the cold and snow lovers could well have their wishes granted for this upcoming winter👍
I couldn't agree with you more on this point; some of the forecast models and forecast tools are showing the potential for some VERY COLD temperatures at some point this winter, one tool which has been very bullish in terms of showing this has been the temperature anomaly outlook from the National Weather Service's CAS computer model forecast tool, so all hope is not yet lost , especially since it is still only early November and many would say that these models are not accurate more than a month in advance, so there is still a chance that the cold and snow lovers could well have their wishes granted for this upcoming winter��
I hope you're right...on the otherhand, it's Below average here this month while everyone else bakes, kinda cool to see
Nov 7, 1900. That was the latest day for the twin cities of Minnesota to experience a freeze, until this year. I think they're still waiting for it to happen.
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