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Old 03-29-2017, 01:00 PM
 
Location: Near the Coast SWCT
83,518 posts, read 75,307,397 times
Reputation: 16619

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Quote:
Originally Posted by Warszawa View Post
They lowered the forecasts for Friday and Saturday. Considering that they always underestimate the cold waves and the warm waves in spring, I wouldnt be surprised if we busted even lower. Me thinks we won't rise out of the 30s both days. My gut feeling of a warm April is not off to a good start
Latest Euro for Binghamton. U tell me. Does it look like Spring? At least your not getting snow Friday. New england will see 6-12" snowstorm but looks like pattern into April not supporting warm surges for more than a day.

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Old 03-29-2017, 01:03 PM
 
Location: Lizard Lick, NC
6,344 posts, read 4,407,749 times
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Just checked, March is running 2 degrees above average in Atlanta yet there average should be same as ours... been this way for a year, always 5 degrees warmer than us each month.
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Old 03-29-2017, 02:39 PM
 
Location: Seoul
11,554 posts, read 9,327,637 times
Reputation: 4660
Quote:
Originally Posted by Cambium View Post
Latest Euro for Binghamton. U tell me. Does it look like Spring? At least your not getting snow Friday. New england will see 6-12" snowstorm but looks like pattern into April not supporting warm surges for more than a day.
Looks relatively seasonable but the pattern looks like it's far more conductive to cold snaps than to warmth. But yeah at least we won't be the center of the storm it looks like, no more 35 inches of snow lying on the ground lol
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Old 03-29-2017, 04:11 PM
 
Location: Rochester, NY
2,197 posts, read 1,494,531 times
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45 and sunny with a 25 dew. Quite pleasant with the sun. Made it up to 48 earlier and dropped to 35 as the low so far.

Nothing but s***y boring ass crap 40s/50s and rain coming up. If it's not gonna be warm, give me 30s and snow or sun. I doubt we get to 60 for at least another 10 days and probably not 70 for at least 2-3 weeks.
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Old 03-29-2017, 04:24 PM
 
Location: Near the Coast SWCT
83,518 posts, read 75,307,397 times
Reputation: 16619
Poor Louisiana. Heads up Ral31! Although the Tornadoes might go north of you.


Torrential downpours, Hail, Wind Damage, Thunderstorms, and Tornado warning (red outline) Dews in the 60s

These are temps

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Old 03-29-2017, 06:13 PM
 
Location: Alexandria, Louisiana
5,039 posts, read 4,353,919 times
Reputation: 1287
Quote:
Originally Posted by Cambium View Post
Poor Louisiana. Heads up Ral31! Although the Tornadoes might go north of you.


Torrential downpours, Hail, Wind Damage, Thunderstorms, and Tornado warning (red outline) Dews in the 60s

These are temps
That storm with a tornado warning went to my north.

Yeah, looks like it could get rough this evening. Just saw a CTG strike to the south on my way home from work.



Quote:
SUMMARY...The risk for severe thunderstorms and tornadoes continues
across Tornado Watch 98, and will spread east-northeastward and
northeastward through the evening and overnight hours. An additional
Watch will likely be required prior to the 02Z expiration of Watch
98.

DISCUSSION...Clusters of thunderstorms, including embedded rotating
updrafts and bowing segments, continue in the vicinity of the lower
Sabine Valley. Inflow for this activity is characterized by around
500-2000 J/kg of MLCAPE (higher buoyancy amid richer moisture with
southward extent), based on modifications to the 18Z Lake Charles
and Shreveport observed soundings. This activity lies within the
warm sector of a broader extratropical cyclone, within which modest
positive theta-e advection will continue during the next several
hours.

As a result, convection will continue to spread east-northeastward
and northeastward into the evening and overnight hours. This will
occur while ascent attendant to the right-entrance region of a
midlevel speed maximum encourages both (1) the maintenance of at
least modest instability, and (2) a low-level mass response
supporting moderate low-level shear and isentropic ascent. Moreover,
with 40-55 kt of effective shear attendant to the speed maximum,
organized convective modes will continue to be favored.

While damaging winds and sporadic severe hail will be the primary
concerns with this activity, tornado potential will exist with
embedded supercell structures and meso-vortices. This would
especially be the case as strengthening low-level shear juxtaposes
increasing boundary-layer theta-e through the night. Accordingly, a
new watch will likely be issued from parts of southern LA to the
ArkLaMiss region prior to the expiration of Tornado Watch 98.
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Old 03-29-2017, 07:00 PM
 
Location: Alexandria, Louisiana
5,039 posts, read 4,353,919 times
Reputation: 1287
Latest SPC update just released.



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Old 03-29-2017, 07:21 PM
 
Location: Near the Coast SWCT
83,518 posts, read 75,307,397 times
Reputation: 16619
Number of days hit 62°or warmer in March

2010: 5
2011: 1

2012: 8
2013: 0

2014: 2
2015: 0

2016: 6
2017: 0

2018: cant wait
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Old 03-29-2017, 07:33 PM
 
Location: Seoul
11,554 posts, read 9,327,637 times
Reputation: 4660
The average on April 1st here reaches 48/30, and of course in the city itself it should already be in the low 50s by then. 50s should be commonplace by now
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Old 03-29-2017, 07:36 PM
 
Location: Alexandria, Louisiana
5,039 posts, read 4,353,919 times
Reputation: 1287
Tornado warning just issued to the south.

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