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Yeah, a bit above average for the Northeast. I suspect the above average SSTs and maybe Central US trough will swing jet northward along the coast bringing warmer temps but also wetter conditions....
I can feel it... This summer here will likely be similar to that of 1993, 1996, 1997, 2000, 2001, 2003, 2004, 2008, 2009, 2013, 2014 and 2015. All average to well below average temps and generally wet. Bet.
2013 and 2015 were decent summers here, but I think it's because the Atlantic Ocean saved us
And that may save you again. Not here though. Unless the Southern Plains can dry out and build some heat, this summer wont see much in the way of heatwaves for me...
Yeah, a bit above average for the Northeast. I suspect the above average SSTs and maybe Central US trough will swing jet northward along the coast bringing warmer temps but also wetter conditions....
I can feel it... This summer here will likely be similar to that of 1993, 1996, 1997, 2000, 2001, 2003, 2004, 2008, 2009, 2013, 2014 and 2015. All average to well below average temps and generally wet. Bet.
George, I hate to bring this up, but the really hot summers of 2010, 2011, and 2012 had something in common: the cold PDO. When the water right along the West Coast is colder than average we got really hot summers. We shall see.
When is the PDO going to flip back to cold or is that over and done? The shortest cold PDO in history I guess. They should have had at least 10 more years of cold PDO if history is anything to go by.
George, I hate to bring this up, but the really hot summers of 2010, 2011, and 2012 had something in common: the cold PDO. When the water right along the West Coast is colder than average we got really hot summers. We shall see.
When is the PDO going to flip back to cold or is that over and done? The shortest cold PDO in history I guess. They should have had at least 10 more years of cold PDO if history is anything to go by.
PDO is +1.12 , and there is a coolish pool of water off the PNW. Definitely no Warm Blob, but +PDO is here to stay...
SST change in last week
April PDO value and subsequent summers
2009: -1.65 one of the coldest summer on record
2010: +0.78 warm summer
2011: -0.42 warm summer
2012: -0.27 hot summer
2013: -0.16 cool summer
2014: +1.13 near normal few hot days
2015: +1.44 near normal but very cool July
2016: +2.62 above normal with normal hot days
PDO is +1.12 , and there is a coolish pool of water off the PNW. Definitely no Warm Blob, but +PDO is here to stay...
SST change in last week
April PDO value and subsequent summers
2009: -1.65 one of the coldest summer on record
2010: +0.78 warm summer
2011: -0.42 warm summer
2012: -0.27 hot summer
2013: -0.16 cool summer
2014: +1.13 near normal few hot days
2015: +1.44 near normal but very cool July
2016: +2.62 above normal with normal hot days
So I guess Joe Bastardi was wrong all that time he said the PDO was eventually flipping back to cold?
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Gonna be one of those summers...
