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Oh Bastardi will be all over that one lol. Surprised he hasn't posted that image all over his WeatherBell page. I'm sure he will. I'm not buying into anything over half a year away. Long range models just aren't that accurate and you know that.
No model are not accurate that far out, but analog Modoki El Nino winters are cold and snowy for the eastern two thirds
Quote:
The following graphic is something I shared back on October 21st, 2014 in a blog post, which ran comparable analogs to similar atmospheric set ups to show the type of winters we have typically seen with Modoki events. The map on the left is a composite of analogs dating back to the 1950’s, the one of the right to the early 1980’s:
NYC should flirt with 90°F on Thursday. The forecast is 89°F right now. It's about time.
Almost hit 90°F last month with a high of 88°F, but it's been pretty cool/mild since then.
Our forecast is for highs around 27C wednesday and thursday...maybe slightly higher,
I think Rochester, NY might reach 30C ....Steelernation will be happy I'm sure.
Weatherbell's analog years - 2002, 2006, 2009, 2014.
2002 was hot and one of the best summers in my lifetime, 2006 was average, 2009 and 2014 were downright ****ty.
Personally I think we'll end up with a summer like 2006.
I said months ago that this summer would be a repeat of the summer of 2009, and for us that would mean a scorching July and fairly hot August& September. July of 2009 is tied with August 2011 as our hottest month ever with a mean temp of 36.87°C
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