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DISCUSSION...
The upper low will continue to retrograde over the northwest Gulf
coast through Sunday. Increased instability and lift associated
with the low will allow sctd showers and tstms to develop over
the area this morning, especially along and south of I-10. Convection
will increase some during the aftn as activity spreads inland.
Showers and storms are expected to remain generally sctd today,
but with precip water around 2 inches, storms will be capable of
producing locally heavy downpours and high rain rates which could
result in localized flood problems. Showers and tstms will
decrease during the evening with the loss of daytime heating, then
develop again on Sunday with sctd to numerous showers and storms
expected. Daytime temperatures today and Sunday will be a few
degrees cooler than the past few days with aftn highs expected to
range from the upper 80s to lower 90s, and will be dependent on
shower/cloud coverage.
By Monday, rain chcs begin to dwindle as the upper trough weakens
and shears out and upper ridging begins to build back over the
area. Ridging aloft looks to more or less remain over the region
through the week, resulting in just a slight chc of showers or
storms each day as deeper moisture gets pushed east of the region.
However, this also means daytime temperatures will warm back into
the lower to middle 90s, with corresponding aftn heat index
values ranging from 102 to 107 through the latter part of the week.
Good luck. Guess what ....... A rare happening here going on. 7 days in a row without accumulating precip. Last time that happened was back in mid March with 9 in a row. Should we start chanting "we need rain" yet? lol Soon we will. Always see it happen. People forget.
This may be the warmest morning this year. Feels like it. In fact, I'm gonna work on something cool and will post in the "Interesting Stat Thread" later on.
74 with a 68 dew and overcast. Very likely the highest temp this July stays at 87.
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Should we start chanting "we need rain" yet? lol Soon we will. Always see it happen. People forget.
