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Suface Warming coming because 5000 foot temps gonna get hot.
Quote:
National Weather Service New York NY
953 AM EDT Thu Jun 8 2017
High pressure then settles to the south, and warmer weather is
expected this weekend, with warm to hot weather early next week.
As H8 temps warm to 18C, do expect upper 80s to lower 90s across
much of the region Sunday-Tuesday, except cooler near the south
facing coasts
Quote:
National Weather Service Taunton MA
956 AM EDT Thu Jun 8 2017
Saturday...
A sunny day. Temps at 850 mb are forecast 11-12C which would support
max sfc temps near 80 or a little above. A southwest wind would
bring cooler temps along the South Coast. Dew points of 55-60
suggest Saturday night min temps in the upper 50s and low 60s.
Sunday-Monday...High confidence.
West Atlantic high pressure builds along the Eastern USA coast. This
brings an increasing southwest surface flow across the region and
transports much warmer and more humid air into our region.
Mixed layer depths reach roughly 850 mb with temps at this level are
forecast to reach 18-19C, which would support max sfc temps in the
upper 80s to mid 90s. We have bumped guidance temps up a couple of
degrees and closer to this range.
Another concern will be humidity, with the southwest flow bringing
higher dew points to the region. Anticipate values in the low-mid
60s Sunday and mid to upper 60s Monday. By this time of year the
historical extreme values are in the low to mid 70s, so while this
humidity is above average for the time of year...52 to 55...it is
not excessive. But the discomfort factor will be more noticeable,
especially Monday. And this will keep overnight temperatures in the
mid 60s to mid 70s
88 F with a 76 F dew point right now; very muggy! Which brings the heat index to 99 F (37 C). Sky is getting darker with clouds. There's lots of convective activity around, perhaps I'll get hit with something?
It's only 68°F with a dew point of 53°F. It feels more like April than June but I'll take it. With the mostly cloudy skies and light breeze it almost feels cool.
It's only 68°F with a dew point of 53°F. It feels more like April than June but I'll take it. With the mostly cloudy skies and light breeze it almost feels cool.
Quote:
Originally Posted by BullochResident
Dropped to 64 F this morning! Now up to 74 F. I have a shot of seeing a rare June night in the 50s tonight!
Cold pool of air still overhead. It's just stuck and lingering. GFS was right, Euro was wrong last week.
From June 4th.
Quote:
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service New York NY
442 AM EDT Sun Jun 4 2017
Guidance is in good agreement at H5 through Monday with another
upper level closed low dropping into the NE from Canada.
The North American models (GFS/NAM/CMC) are all in agreement
with the slower progression of the upper low as compared to the
EC. Have sided with consensus and forecast reflects a slower
movementto the east.
Latest ECMWF has trended toward GFS with the idea of the upper low lingering over the area rather than moving to the east mid
to late week. Forecast does have mainly diurnal chance PoP
during most of that time frame.
Current 10,000' temps. Coldest under the center of the Upper Level Low of course. Storm riding the Jet stream to right side of it. Imagine if that ULL was west more. Coastal storm would of hit us here. Imagine this was January.
Just had an intense, very short downpour. Literally lasted three minutes lol. Got really windy during it too (and it's still really windy outside).
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