Please register to participate in our discussions with 2 million other members - it's free and quick! Some forums can only be seen by registered members. After you create your account, you'll be able to customize options and access all our 15,000 new posts/day with fewer ads.
It looks like NWS LCH is agreeing with the Euro model right now which keeps the tropical system further east away from the area. Cold front in the forecast next Tuesday.
Quote:
Previous area of disturbed weather over the western Carribean has
now been upgraded to TD 16 by NHC. Feature progged to advance
north northwest into the Gulf of Mexico early Saturday as a
tropical storm, then movement trending north to northeast taking
the system rapidly into the Florida panhandle Sunday. Current
scenario would be trending more toward a ECMWF solution and will
be utilizing this model primarily in the mid and extended
forecast. Important to note other models have a further westward
landfall solution. Any impacts from the current track across our
area would be confined to only the adjacent gulf waters in the
form of some enhanced swells.
ECMWF brings a robust front across the region Tuesday as a deep
upper trof advances across the plains. Model very limited on
moisture return and hence will keep pops modest. Coolest
temperatures of the season then following as 1035 mb high drops
southeast through the plains.
It looks like NWS LCH is agreeing with the Euro model right now which keeps the tropical system further east away from the area. Cold front in the forecast next Tuesday.
Interesting setup (and needed) for us this way coming up. Basically a front will stall along the Eastern Seaboard tomorrow afternoon and then that Tropical system this weekend will ride up along the front providing some needed rains.
Current map using dewpoints and Water Vapor to see where the front is currently. My black line, give or take. Red = Dry air. Whites and Blues = Moisture in atmosphere.
That's the front that will kick things off in making us unsettled and rainy after Thursday.
And yeah, that Hurricane looks to stay to your East too much. Sorry. NHC has it hitting Florida Sunday.
Here's what GFS says for Total Precip next 6 days. Southeast misses out too because of the positioning of the front and Tropical system. We'll see exactly where things set up in time
Ahhh, it's that time of year when they lower the scale but fail to fix. I mean surely someone is maintaining the page and site, does anyone see what's wrong with the max temp map in Spring and Fall???
Ahhh, it's that time of year when they lower the scale but fail to fix. I mean surely someone is maintaining the page and site, does anyone see what's wrong with the max temp map in Spring and Fall???
Anyway -- Min & Max temps today
Does the NWS really think they need colors below 20°F in October? I guess they only have a winter and summer scale. Burning hot tomorrow, how will we cope? Even with the warm weather felt cool-ish in the shade around sunset, dry air doesn't hold heat + pockets of cool from the morning. Unusually warm night temperature tonight for October, low of 59°F. That's normal for end of July here! High of only 78°F? Strangely weak warm-up given the night temps. Some cooler air mixing in ahead of the front? Or just weak sun, hard to reach 80°F
This is a few days old, but here's the high temperatures for Milwaukee this year. Red days are the highest since 1941. 14 days so far this year. The warm spell in late February was extremely early and we didn't get another 70 degree high until early April. The hot weather at the end of September was also unprecedented, and Milwaukee had their latest 95F on September 22nd, which was also the hottest day of the year. Average highs on the 22nd are 69F and the mid-summer peak is 80F.
Image made by u/ptunnel on Reddit.
Meanwhile the lack of rain means some crops and trees are turning early this year, and some bean fields nearby were harvested in September. Corn fields are starting to be harvested the last few days. Low spots and most trees haven't turned colors yet.
6:30amEST temps. Cooler in Georgia than Maine! Hot in Illinois, Indiana, Ohio. That's where the front is.
Departures
Surface Map
Please register to post and access all features of our very popular forum. It is free and quick. Over $68,000 in prizes has already been given out to active posters on our forum. Additional giveaways are planned.
Detailed information about all U.S. cities, counties, and zip codes on our site: City-data.com.
Please register to participate in our discussions with 2 million other members - it's free and quick! Some forums can only be seen by registered members. After you create your account, you'll be able to customize options and access all our 15,000 new posts/day with fewer ads.
I mean surely someone is maintaining the page and site, does anyone see what's wrong with the max temp map in Spring and Fall???
Even with the warm weather felt cool-ish in the shade around sunset, dry air doesn't hold heat + pockets of cool from the morning. Unusually warm night temperature tonight for October, low of 59°F. That's normal for end of July here! High of only 78°F? Strangely weak warm-up given the night temps. Some cooler air mixing in ahead of the front? Or just weak sun, hard to reach 80°F
