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Old 10-26-2017, 04:55 AM
 
Location: Near the Coast SWCT
83,514 posts, read 75,294,816 times
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Radar loop 2:45-6:45am.

It's been raining for past 8-12hrs straight in Eastern CT and even parts of Maine. More for Eastern MA. I think Nantucket has had mist and rain for like 24hrs straight as the front hovers off the coast still.

The red icons are freezing fog.



 
Old 10-26-2017, 05:20 AM
 
Location: Near the Coast SWCT
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7am Temp and Radar Map. (not the lows but close) Source:

30s in Northern Florida while 50s/60s in Maine.

Lots of 30s in Alabama and Georgia.


Below freezing Ohio, Indiana, Michigan.

Snowstorm for Minnesota and Wisconsin coming.

More fronts, storms and troughs coming but nothing extreme cold or hot. Looks like the Eastern Ridge has been crushed finally? Was a 6 week pattern with it.






From October 16th... 10 days ago. Saw the future. Thanks GFS and models.


Quote:
Originally Posted by Cambium View Post
As we warm up again after tomorrow....Looking ahead further...

Looks like we're in for a big pattern change. The warm ups will be short lived and there will be more deeper cold blasts. Michigan might be going from Summer to Winter skipping Fall. lol

But looks like it "could" be wild with fronts, storms, Lake effect snows, and deep cold end of October heading into November. We'll see.

It's been over 5 weeks now without worthy noted lingering troughs in the East. We "might" be changing back to that type of pattern. We'll see how long it lasts though.


So basically this front next week on Monday October 23rd coming across kicks off the entire pattern change..... This moves to the Eastern Seaboard Tuesday, and then........

This is for Wednesday as the Jet digs down to the southeast while the hot dry ridge builds in the West

This trough mid next week lifts back out but watch what happens...


That weekend another one dives down deep.
 
Old 10-26-2017, 05:33 AM
 
Location: Washington County, PA
4,240 posts, read 4,918,320 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Cambium View Post
Yup, and despite the sunny skies today you stayed in the 60s because of the air mass aloft (light blue) only 4C°. Nice time to hike above 2000'




I believe it.

Speaking of aloft...

Check it out...

It's below freezing at 5000' and there's moisture falling to the surface in Western PA. This means its lightly snowing above at least 3000'. Surface is struggling past 40s..






Edit: You can use this site to see the current temps at 5000'. (Change sector-regions up top)


And here's 2500'
Yup a few flakes mixed in yesterday afternoon in my backyard. The high only reached 43° and that was midnight. Up in the higher elevations around us (Somerset/Westmoreland/Fayette County In PA, Garrett in MD, and Preston/Tucker in WV) actually got accumulating snows. A coating was reported in Somerset and that's in the valley!

https://twitter.com/6Weather/status/923374226886856705

The large blue area is Mount Davis - the highest mountain in Pennsylvania

Last edited by speagles84; 10-26-2017 at 07:00 AM..
 
Old 10-26-2017, 06:34 AM
 
29,520 posts, read 19,616,477 times
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https://twitter.com/MJVentrice/statu...14964060573698
 
Old 10-26-2017, 07:13 AM
 
Location: Near the Coast SWCT
83,514 posts, read 75,294,816 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by speagles84 View Post
Yup a few flakes mixed in yesterday afternoon in my backyard. The high only reached 43° and that was midnight. Up in the higher elevations around us (Somerset/Westmoreland/Fayette County In PA, Garrett in MD, and Preston/Tucker in WV) actually got accumulating snows. A coating was reported in Somerset and that's in the valley!

https://twitter.com/6Weather/status/...856705/photo/1

The large blue area is Mount Davis - the highest mountain in Pennsylvania
Cool thanks!


-------------------------------

Quick & Dirty. Gotta run

Current Jet Stream Pattern



#1 was blocking #2 from moving East too fast.

#2 was the Hot and Dry pattern we had last week in the East now over the Atlantic

#3 is the current trough we have which is providing the cold air while the right side still hovers off the coast because #2 is still in the way

#3 is leaving and #4 is the next shot coming down


Check out the blues showing up now.. Snowing in North Dakota and north of Minnesota

 
Old 10-26-2017, 07:17 AM
 
Location: Live:Downtown Phoenix, AZ/Work:Greater Los Angeles, CA
27,606 posts, read 14,596,838 times
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Denver must have gotten Chinooks yesterday, they had a record high of 28.9°C yesterday, 12.2°C above average, and was warmer than Dallas(27.8°C), Houston (25°C), Tampa (22.2°C), and Miami (25.6°C)
 
Old 10-26-2017, 09:19 AM
 
Location: 30461
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I dropped to 41 F this morning, which was actually what was forecasted.
 
Old 10-26-2017, 10:03 AM
 
Location: Live:Downtown Phoenix, AZ/Work:Greater Los Angeles, CA
27,606 posts, read 14,596,838 times
Reputation: 9169
22.8°C with a dewpoint of 2.8°C at 9am Pacific Time
 
Old 10-26-2017, 11:12 AM
 
Location: Washington County, PA
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44° as of 1 pm. Looks like another day we won't make it 50°.
 
Old 10-26-2017, 12:57 PM
 
Location: Near the Coast SWCT
83,514 posts, read 75,294,816 times
Reputation: 16619
Default October 29-30, 2017 Storm Update

October 29-30, 2017 Storm Update


Another storm coming Sunday. Coming from the Tropics and will be a stronger than normal storm even for this time of year. Strong winds and tons of rain (4"+ in areas) for Mid Atlantic into New England.

But the timing of the Polar air coming in behind it could make this very interesting for higher elevations of Poconos and Adirondacks and Greens and Whites.. If there's enough precip around while the cold air crashes in, the rain will change to snow..


Latest Euro12z model showing snow falling for higher elevations in Eastern PA early Monday morning.
925mb level showing upper 30s. (2500')
2m showing low 40s.

Let me explain this map...


Monday2-8am time frame.

Anyone West or North of that thick blue line its below freezing at 5000'.
The shaded colors is the precip amount. So note there's still precip around with temps below freezing couple thousand feet above in PA. "per Euro" . This means it would be snowing probably down to 1500' there. Of course this is so detailed anything can be off and this wouldnt happen but NWS Philly is mentioning it too..


Quote:
National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ
1226 PM EDT Thu Oct 26 2017


If a stronger and further inland track occurs with the low aka
operational ECMWF, dynamic cooling could result in some wet
snow mixing in for the highest terrain in the Southern Poconos
and Northwest New Jersey around sunrise Monday as precipitation
ends.










Rain total forecast. Wow





Wind Gusts per Euro Sunday evening into Monday morning, IN KTS!. 40-70mph around. Strong storm coming



Last edited by Cambium; 10-26-2017 at 01:17 PM..
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