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Old 10-13-2017, 01:10 PM
 
29,505 posts, read 19,602,720 times
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https://twitter.com/NWSChicago/statu...14649846759425

 
Old 10-13-2017, 05:05 PM
 
30,400 posts, read 21,215,773 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by chicagogeorge View Post
Nothing new, year after year of the same.
 
Old 10-13-2017, 05:28 PM
 
2,117 posts, read 1,736,126 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by chicagogeorge View Post
Wetter than usual in the PNW this year? Wonder how it will compare to last year which was the worst in 122 years
 
Old 10-13-2017, 05:52 PM
 
Location: Vancouver, BC
769 posts, read 479,555 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by fluffydelusions View Post
Wetter than usual in the PNW this year? Wonder how it will compare to last year which was the worst in 122 years
Last winter (DJF) was drier than normal in Vancouver. I find it odd that you guys experienced the wettest winter on record.
 
Old 10-14-2017, 09:02 AM
 
Location: Seattle area
9,182 posts, read 12,120,375 times
Reputation: 6405
Is it because you had tons of snow last winter and we had very little, so most of the precipitation was rain?
 
Old 10-14-2017, 01:31 PM
 
Location: Vancouver, BC
769 posts, read 479,555 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Botev1912 View Post
Is it because you had tons of snow last winter and we had very little, so most of the precipitation was rain?
I suppose so. The northern stream was very strong and thus protected northern regions of the PNW from
many heavy SW rain events. We only got two all winter in mid Jan and Feb.
 
Old 10-18-2017, 02:16 PM
 
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https://twitter.com/Mario___Ramirez/...40927433592832
 
Old 10-18-2017, 02:53 PM
 
Location: Near the Coast SWCT
83,500 posts, read 75,234,500 times
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Looks like many weak Nina's had wet Eastern U.S.. see image below. Strong and Moderate Nina's look drier I think.

Quote:
It begins as life did: in the ocean

That patch of abnormally cold ocean is what creates La Niña weather, because the surface temperature of a body of water has a big impact on local precipitation. This in turn affects global wind patterns. A weak year, which is what scientists are predicting for the 2017-18 season, means the change in temperature is between 0.5 and 1 degree Celsius below average. A moderate year is between 1 and 1.5 degrees colder, and a strong year is anything greater than that.

Precipitation (or lack thereof) shifts the jet streams

A cold ocean makes for dry, sinking air. Conversely, a warm ocean makes for moist, rising air that turns into precipitation. That means that in La Niña conditions, precipitation occurs in the East Indies, while our region of the Pacific is cooler and drier.


This shift in precipitation causes the polar jet stream to dip down towards the U.S., bringing cold air with it. Northern states will see cooler weather and more rain or snow, depending on how close they are to the edge of the jet stream’s path. And since the Pacific jet stream isn’t as strong, the south tends to be drier and warmer than average.

La Niña’s are predictable, except when they aren’t
Here comes that pesky forecast uncertainty we know and love. Weather patterns on a global scale are pretty predictable, but the smaller the area you look at, the harder it is to determine the forecast.
"La Niña patterns will mostly hold true year to year, but the exact precipitation distribution can vary quite a bit. Check out this comparison of La Niña years from the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration: It’s ranked by how strong the effects were, and you can see that even within strong or weak types, the inches of precipitation aren’t super consistent"



Source:


Source:
 
Old 10-20-2017, 04:43 AM
 
Location: Near the Coast SWCT
83,500 posts, read 75,234,500 times
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Sea Surface Temp Anomalies.. This is one healthy looking La Nina and so defined.


Trade winds are still from the East and that's why waters are cooling off in western regions.

GFS model says those trade winds reverse so we may see some warming.







Source: https://coralreefwatch.noaa.gov/sate...x_5km_ssta.php


https://coralreefwatch.noaa.gov/sate...g5km/index.php
 
Old 10-21-2017, 05:12 AM
 
29,505 posts, read 19,602,720 times
Reputation: 4533
Quote:
Originally Posted by Cambium View Post
Sea Surface Temp Anomalies.. This is one healthy looking La Nina and so defined.


Trade winds are still from the East and that's why waters are cooling off in western regions.

GFS model says those trade winds reverse so we may see some warming.







Source: https://coralreefwatch.noaa.gov/sate...x_5km_ssta.php


https://coralreefwatch.noaa.gov/sate...g5km/index.php



Yup trades are strengthening



https://twitter.com/BenNollWeather/s...82210012381184
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