Forget El Nino 2017-2018, models now pointing toward another La Nina (hot, storms)

[chicagogeorge]

La Nina will continue to build through Sept. Question is whether or not it is sustained into the second half of autumn and winter..

https://twitter.com/BenNollWeather/s...04862699933696

[chicagogeorge]

La Nina looking likely by the winter

https://twitter.com/BenNollWeather/s...30572995493888

[chicagogeorge]

https://twitter.com/BenNollWeather/s...66282683723776

[rpvan]

Originally Posted by chicagogeorge

La Nina looking likely by the winter

https://twitter.com/BenNollWeather/s...30572995493888

Temps/precip shown on the cansips looks pretty good for the NW.

[chicagogeorge]

https://twitter.com/BenNollWeather/s...09071985741824

[jbgusa]

Originally Posted by chicagogeorge

https://twitter.com/BenNollWeather/status/904509071985741824
No sugar coating it- CFSv2 forecasting a weak, possibly moderate, La Nina during late 2017. #climate pic.twitter.com/HzVB77KnAy

Wouldn't the recent existence of Harvey and current threat from Irma exemplify that we're not in a Niño?

[muslim12]

Originally Posted by jbgusa

Wouldn't the recent existence of Harvey and current threat from Irma exemplify that we're not in a Niño?

Not necassarily, 2004 was a nino year and the second worst hurricane season on record.

[jbgusa]

Originally Posted by muslim12

Not necassarily, 2004 was a nino year and the second worst hurricane season on record.

Wasn't it a decaying Niño sort of like earlier parts of this summer?

[rpvan]

Originally Posted by chicagogeorge

https://twitter.com/BenNollWeather/s...09071985741824

Are there any good analogs for that? Moderate Nina after a weak one, -QBO, -PDO(?) and soon after a strong El Nino?

[chicagogeorge]

Originally Posted by rpvan

Are there any good analogs for that? Moderate Nina after a weak one, -QBO, -PDO(?) and soon after a strong El Nino?

Not sure. Let me look into it