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Love that site. Yeah, Upper level flow controls the weather patterns and where those lobes go.. It's really a marriage out there. So many things work together to make a pattern happen from the Pacific to the Atlantic. I see you're in TN now? I'll look forward to your winter posts in this forum for sure. Always love hearing about the Ohio Valley weather
Currently here, in Aurora, ME...23F, Dew Point 10F, Winds WNW 13 PMH,...
Obvious need for socks (filled with rice and heated in the microwave), tonight!!
Low is forecasted to be 18F Degrees!
Saw it snowing in Old Town, ME, this morning...just a few flakes...such a tease!
Let the southwest have a shot at the way above normal stuff. If FL can hang around 0 it would be a cold winter compared to the last 6. So far this month we saw 18 above normal days out of 20, but this Nov has been cooler than last two for my area...
At least it's not a stuck ridge over the eastern US
A stuck ridge over the eastern US in winter is a much more rare event than a stuck ridge out west in winter. Topography is the reason plain and simple. The natural default position for ridges and troughs in winter in the US is ridge west (high elevation terrain) and trough east. That is clearly the typical pattern for every single January. Sometimes a ridge happens in the SE, or E, but it is not the default and not typical.
If a ridge in the East was as common in the West, our avg Jan high wouldn't be 40F given our latitude. Pretty much no where on the planet except eastern Asia is as cold in winter as we are. The ridge in Central Asia in winter makes them warmer than we are.
Let the southwest have a shot at the way above normal stuff. If FL can hang around 0 it would be a cold winter compared to the last 6. So far this month we saw 18 above normal days out of 20, but this Nov has been cooler than last two for my area...
Do you have any idea just how warm the Western US has been for decades now? They didn't get the 80's cold the East did, and they still have had more months above average than the East for the last decades.
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