Welcome to City-Data.com Forum!
U.S. CitiesCity-Data Forum Index
Go Back   City-Data Forum > General Forums > Weather
 [Register]
Please register to participate in our discussions with 2 million other members - it's free and quick! Some forums can only be seen by registered members. After you create your account, you'll be able to customize options and access all our 15,000 new posts/day with fewer ads.
View detailed profile (Advanced) or search
site with Google Custom Search

Search Forums  (Advanced)
View Poll Results: Are US Weather Patterns Too Extreme?
Yes 31 57.41%
No 23 42.59%
Voters: 54. You may not vote on this poll

Reply Start New Thread
 
Old 01-04-2018, 06:13 AM
 
Location: Austin, TX
12,059 posts, read 13,893,961 times
Reputation: 7257

Advertisements

Can someone please provide a source to the claim that the Eastern seaboard will be colder in global warming in the winter while the rest of the world warms up?

I thought that Scotland/Ireland would get colder because the Gulf Stream would shutdown?
Reply With Quote Quick reply to this message

 
Old 01-04-2018, 07:07 AM
 
Location: Sydney, Australia
11,655 posts, read 12,960,282 times
Reputation: 6391
Eastern USA should give some of its cold to the western states to balance things out, really. The cold in North America is way too slanted and unequally spread.
Reply With Quote Quick reply to this message
 
Old 01-04-2018, 09:56 AM
 
Location: South Padre Island, TX
2,452 posts, read 2,304,188 times
Reputation: 1386
Quote:
Originally Posted by cBach View Post
Can someone please provide a source to the claim that the Eastern seaboard will be colder in global warming in the winter while the rest of the world warms up?

I thought that Scotland/Ireland would get colder because the Gulf Stream would shutdown?
Tom77falcons posted an article about it, but the colder temps of the Eastern US will only be temporary, as initially, the warming causes arctic destabilization that leads to the jet-stream dip cold spells. But as the warming continues, the arctic just won't have cold anymore, and the Eastern US will then moderate significantly.

It's like a ship sinking at sea, but first, one end rises up.
Reply With Quote Quick reply to this message
 
Old 01-04-2018, 12:25 PM
 
Location: Austin, TX
12,059 posts, read 13,893,961 times
Reputation: 7257
Quote:
Originally Posted by Texyn View Post
Tom77falcons posted an article about it, but the colder temps of the Eastern US will only be temporary, as initially, the warming causes arctic destabilization that leads to the jet-stream dip cold spells. But as the warming continues, the arctic just won't have cold anymore, and the Eastern US will then moderate significantly.

It's like a ship sinking at sea, but first, one end rises up.
I read it, interesting.
Reply With Quote Quick reply to this message
 
Old 01-04-2018, 12:31 PM
 
Location: Copenhagen, Denmark
10,930 posts, read 11,727,236 times
Reputation: 13170
Climate variability in the US varies widely from climatic region to climatic region. One has to nail down the climate they are talking about.
Reply With Quote Quick reply to this message
 
Old 01-04-2018, 06:34 PM
 
Location: Austin, TX
12,059 posts, read 13,893,961 times
Reputation: 7257
Looks like SF is finally getting in on some rain action for the next few days. They need it, their "rainy" season has been all but that.
Reply With Quote Quick reply to this message
 
Old 01-05-2018, 11:31 AM
 
Location: moved
13,656 posts, read 9,717,813 times
Reputation: 23481
Quote:
Originally Posted by Texyn View Post
Tom77falcons posted an article about it, but the colder temps of the Eastern US will only be temporary, as initially, the warming causes arctic destabilization that leads to the jet-stream dip cold spells. But as the warming continues, the arctic just won't have cold anymore, and the Eastern US will then moderate significantly.
This is entirely possible. Having no particular knowledge, I am however tempted to speculate.... At the conclusion of the previous ice-age, was it not the case, that as the North American ice-sheets retreated, and global ocean-levels rose, that the Gulf Stream was disrupted? That made Western Europe significantly colder - for (I gather) centuries, if not longer. This may have been a fluke, or a pattern. The possibility therefore exists, that these jet-stream dips and associated bouts of severe cold in the eastern US, may become a long-term event, on the scale of a human lifetime.

Any experts who care to chime in on this?
Reply With Quote Quick reply to this message
 
Old 01-05-2018, 01:30 PM
 
Location: Austin, TX
12,059 posts, read 13,893,961 times
Reputation: 7257
Quote:
Originally Posted by ohio_peasant View Post
This is entirely possible. Having no particular knowledge, I am however tempted to speculate.... At the conclusion of the previous ice-age, was it not the case, that as the North American ice-sheets retreated, and global ocean-levels rose, that the Gulf Stream was disrupted? That made Western Europe significantly colder - for (I gather) centuries, if not longer. This may have been a fluke, or a pattern. The possibility therefore exists, that these jet-stream dips and associated bouts of severe cold in the eastern US, may become a long-term event, on the scale of a human lifetime.

Any experts who care to chime in on this?
Well if you look at another significant event, the changing of the Sahara Desert from a green humid area to a desert took around 100 years. And during the green period it was back and forth:

"A curious discovery from the marine sediments is that the transitions into and out of the wet period occurred within decades, not the previously-thought extended periods."

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Holocene_climatic_optimum

I believe that there may be a decades long drought in California, like was was recently experienced. Some believe California is still in a drought and the respite last year was just a variability.

So with the dipole situation I believe that it's possible to have a decade or so of these extreme winters, interspersed with milder winters. During those milder winters on the East Coast, CA will have a lot more rain and cooler temps as the trough will be out West then.

Then I speculate after around 100 years these spells will stop happening altogether and you'll see a drastic warming of North America.
Reply With Quote Quick reply to this message
 
Old 01-05-2018, 05:51 PM
 
29,537 posts, read 19,626,354 times
Reputation: 4549
Wait, first off the eastern 2/3rds are warming during the winter, not cooling. Just because we have bouts of cold (always have) doesn't mean it is a result of man made climate change. What exactly is the difference between the bouts of cold now and the bouts of cold during the 1970's and 80s'?

If anything, it's our summers and autumns that are seeing the least warming (at least over Illinois).




In fact winter is the fastest warming season from 3/4ths of the country (especially the eastern portion)


http://www.climatecentral.org/news/s...ur-state-18608
Reply With Quote Quick reply to this message
 
Old 01-05-2018, 07:52 PM
 
Location: Mid Atlantic USA
12,623 posts, read 13,932,594 times
Reputation: 5895
Quote:
Originally Posted by chicagogeorge View Post
Wait, first off the eastern 2/3rds are warming during the winter, not cooling. Just because we have bouts of cold (always have) doesn't mean it is a result of man made climate change. What exactly is the difference between the bouts of cold now and the bouts of cold during the 1970's and 80s'?

If anything, it's our summers and autumns that are seeing the least warming (at least over Illinois).




In fact winter is the fastest warming season from 3/4ths of the country (especially the eastern portion)


A Country Divided by Seasons and Warming | Climate Central
The warming around the world is not equal. Eastern North America lags. wait till after another 10 years of these winters. They will become more common and winter averages will drop.
Reply With Quote Quick reply to this message
Please register to post and access all features of our very popular forum. It is free and quick. Over $68,000 in prizes has already been given out to active posters on our forum. Additional giveaways are planned.

Detailed information about all U.S. cities, counties, and zip codes on our site: City-data.com.


Reply
Please update this thread with any new information or opinions. This open thread is still read by thousands of people, so we encourage all additional points of view.

Quick Reply
Message:


Over $104,000 in prizes was already given out to active posters on our forum and additional giveaways are planned!

Go Back   City-Data Forum > General Forums > Weather
Similar Threads

All times are GMT -6. The time now is 07:15 PM.

© 2005-2024, Advameg, Inc. · Please obey Forum Rules · Terms of Use and Privacy Policy · Bug Bounty

City-Data.com - Contact Us - Archive 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9, 10, 11, 12, 13, 14, 15, 16, 17, 18, 19, 20, 21, 22, 23, 24, 25, 26, 27, 28, 29, 30, 31, 32, 33, 34, 35, 36, 37 - Top