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Old 07-22-2018, 06:14 AM
 
Location: Near the Coast SWCT
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Current Temps this morning 8amEST. Watch my area circled today as the Upper Low shifts. Should be below normal max temps because of it. But not too drastic since its not really an interesting cold pool of air aloft but should keep temps down for July standards. (Maybe 70s?) Diurnal range should be small there

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Old 07-22-2018, 06:52 AM
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Location: Western Massachusetts
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Cambium View Post
Looking ahead real quick..


GFS showing another Upper Low but it looks normal staying across Canada, not dropping south into the U.S. It will carve a little trough in Eastern U.S though but not like this weekend. Fall around the corner for Canada?

ah. thought the upper level low today would be stuck for the whole week; that's why we're getting off and on; I should check the models. Ah looks like the upper level over the southeast breaks down by Tuesday; Atlantic Ridge retreats eastward and that new upper level low you showed appears late Thursday. Somehow clouds the whole time even with the change in systems.

Last edited by nei; 07-22-2018 at 07:19 AM..
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Old 07-22-2018, 07:05 AM
 
Location: Near the Coast SWCT
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Quote:
Originally Posted by nei View Post
ah. thought the upper level low today would be stuck for the whole week; that's why we're getting off and on; I should check the models.
Rare in any season for that to happen. (Pretty sure it's rare). Things always shifting and flowing. If anything it would just wind itself out and deteriorate.. Like a spinning top on a table that just falls after time. (Good analogy?).

But I wonder what is the longest an ULL stuck around over a region.. Maybe 4 days?
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Old 07-22-2018, 07:21 AM
nei nei won $500 in our forum's Most Engaging Poster Contest - Thirteenth Edition (Jan-Feb 2015). 

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Location: Western Massachusetts
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Cambium View Post
Rare in any season for that to happen. (Pretty sure it's rare). Things always shifting and flowing. If anything it would just wind itself out and deteriorate.. Like a spinning top on a table that just falls after time. (Good analogy?).

But I wonder what is the longest an ULL stuck around over a region.. Maybe 4 days?
I feel like that has happened in spring. Still there can't be that much shifting if the precipitation hovers over us the whole time.
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Old 07-22-2018, 07:44 AM
 
Location: Near the Coast SWCT
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Originally Posted by nei View Post
I feel like that has happened in spring. Still there can't be that much shifting if the precipitation hovers over us the whole time.
The precip is hovering because the ULL is going south and even though it dissipates, precip still around because we're on the west side of the atlantic ridge (or east side of the trough) so we get that south flow and gulf moisture injection. You dont have to take my word for it, Play the loop. Watch the ULL. Watch the pattern. Watch why precip and clouds linger.

ULL came from upper MidWest and dissipates over southeast in matter of 6 days. Was over Ohio Valley for 2-3 days but still shifting & moving. ULL kinda stretches out and more of a full trough rather than a closed low, and Trough still around after and we're on the edge.

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Old 07-22-2018, 07:51 AM
nei nei won $500 in our forum's Most Engaging Poster Contest - Thirteenth Edition (Jan-Feb 2015). 

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Location: Western Massachusetts
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Upper level low and clouds down to almost Georgia, rain hovering for a while; doesn't look like a summer pattern at all

https://twitter.com/NWSTampaBay/stat...96475428528128
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Old 07-22-2018, 07:53 AM
nei nei won $500 in our forum's Most Engaging Poster Contest - Thirteenth Edition (Jan-Feb 2015). 

Over $104,000 in prizes has already been given out to active posters on our forum and additional contests are planned
 
Location: Western Massachusetts
45,983 posts, read 53,467,780 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Cambium View Post
The precip is hovering because the ULL is going south and even though it dissipates, precip still around because we're on the west side of the atlantic ridge (or east side of the trough) so we get that south flow and gulf moisture injection.
Yea, makes sense; the stuck is the Atlantic ridge; looks like our pattern gets a bit more zonal by the end of the week.
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Old 07-22-2018, 08:32 AM
 
Location: Near the Coast SWCT
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Quote:
Originally Posted by nei View Post
Upper level low and clouds down to almost Georgia, rain hovering for a while; doesn't look like a summer pattern at all]
Nice tweet find. Very special to see. I hope we see this again in Fall & Winter.

And because it doesnt happen every week even in winter It's so cool to watch the exact positions. Every area will kinda experience different results each time.

I like this setup because in Fall it would bring NorEasters and possibly snow for higher elevations, in Winter it would bring snowstorms if cold enough and deep cold down south and west of us. Poor Nova Scotia and northern New England would be warm though.
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Old 07-22-2018, 08:47 AM
 
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It is a ringing 84f dewpoint now. Soon as you step out you just as well be on Venus as the air and life is sucked right out of ya. No rain around at all.
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Old 07-22-2018, 08:55 AM
 
Location: New Jersey
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Good soaking rain with at least a quarter inch falling overnight.

74 F/23 C and overcast with a dewpoint of 71 F/22 C as of the 10AM update. Looks like it'll be somewhat unsettled this week. Low diurnal ranges unsurprisingly with lows around 70 F/21 C and highs around 80 F/27 C all week.
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