Winter Storm December 7-10, 2018 (snow storm, rainfall, cities, freezing)
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Latest GFS has totals over 2 ft for parts of NC lmao.
It’s been 8 years since I saw December snow lmao. Let alone 2 feet, and on top of that an unprecedented amount before mid December. I think trends more to north next few days. Jackpot dc.
Euro... Continues to cut it north. North Carolina/Virginia jackpot especially the mountains. Storm stays too far off shore for DC to Boston big snows. (not far off)
Canadian... WOW. Big Snowstorm Philly to Boston. Cuts the storm Northeast from Louisiana. Nice track! It would mean snows as far north as Southern Indiana and Pittsburgh as it comes across but rains for Tennessee Kentucky and Richmond.
German... Last frame available shows its making a move north. Not picking up the PType well or maybe it thinks it will be warm all over the region.
New Version GFS... The southern most solution now. Snowstorm for Tennessee, North Carolina and snow into Kentucky and Virginia
Something interesting going on I'm picking up... Will the storm stall off the Carolina coast or will a new one form? Maybe that's why the models are unsure what to do with it. Pattern supports OTS but maybe another one forms and heads up the coast?
Anyway... Afternoon update:
Old GFS: Stays South and Out to Sea. Snow and Ice for Arkansas, TN, and NC. Then a new storm forms off Georgia coast and heads Northeast OTS. Too far for precip on land.
New GFS: Bit further north than old GFS but stays south and Out to sea. Snows for Kentucky and Virginia. Rain for TN. New Coastal storm forms and heads OTS. Too far for precip on land.
Canadian: Still the north most solution. Snowstorm for DC to Boston. Rain for TN and NC but snow for NC mountains.
German: Stalls it off the NC coast. Snows only higher elevations in KY, NC and Virginia.
Euro: Storm comes from Gulf coast like the others then brings it up to North Carolina and stalls it off the coast then heads SOUTHEAST! Snows just for mountains of NC & Virginia
From NWS Philly mentions snow possibility and will keep chance of precip(POPS) in the forecast until models agree
Quote:
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ
1234 PM EST Mon Dec 3 2018
An
attached cold front will cross the area with only some clouds and
little, if any, precipitation. This will keep the very cold
temperatures in place into the early part of the weekend.
Towards the end of the long term, there is some indications from the
op models that low pressure may approach from the SW and bring the
possibility for some rain and snow next Sunday/Monday. The latest
GFS is suppressed with the low and it completely misses our area.
The CMC, conversely, has the low moving across the area with
abundant QPF and a warming trend in place.
The EC has the low
remaining to the south, but a shield of clouds and precip affecting
the southern/eastern areas.
At this point, the chc pops for Sunday
will remain in the fcst until the models begin to converge on a
steady solution.
GFS big shift northwards. 0z models will be spicy tonight.
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Snows just for mountains of NC & Virginia
