Winter Storm January 18-20, 2019 (blizzard, sunshine, raining, Michigan)

[Cambium]

New data suggests more warm air intrusions so reduction in snowfall amounts for the coast.


South Bend, Indiana enjoying winter today




Current Map. Tornado Warnings down south.


When you see rain in central Indiana and Ohio, you know the warm air is too far north already.

[westsideboy]

Originally Posted by Cambium

New data suggests more warm air intrusions so reduction in snowfall amounts for the coast.


South Bend, Indiana enjoying winter today




Current Map. Tornado Warnings down south.


When you see rain in central Indiana and Ohio, you know the warm air is too far north already.

Yup, I think so. 37 in Cumberland, MD right now. Will be a rain event for us, I think. Higher elevations seem to still be at risk for ice though.

[antinimby]

All this big snowstorm scare has done is empty the store shelves here. Now I can't even get bottled water.

[Cambium]

Originally Posted by westsideboy

Yup, I think so. 37 in Cumberland, MD right now. Will be a rain event for us, I think. Higher elevations seem to still be at risk for ice though.

Feels warm outside here, doesn't have that snow feeling. I believe the start has also been delayed according to NAM and HRRR. Snow starts after 6pm now instead of 5.

Originally Posted by antinimby

All this big snowstorm scare has done is empty the store shelves here. Now I can't even get bottled water.

lol. I know. I want to go get milk like I normally would and the stores were packed. That's ok, you'll be able to get water tomorrow or Monday. not like we'll be trapped for a week. lol
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A look at the current temps at 5000'. Freezing line all the way to central Indiana and almost to Pittsburgh. You need this level to be below freezing for snow.


Storm is over Western Tennessee.


Link for 5000' temps





And here are the current temps at 2500'


+8C (Mid 40s F) at the IN/KY border.


Below freezing north of DC so the cold air is holding on in the Northeast....for now.


https://www.spc.noaa.gov/sfctest/new...lay=1&source=1

[nei]

NYC forecast now all rain

[cjoseph]

BIG shift late in the game with this storm. The coast gets forgotten again.

[Cambium]

Originally Posted by nei

NYC forecast now all rain

Originally Posted by cjoseph

BIG shift late in the game with this storm. The coast gets forgotten again.

WOW! Trend is our friend. Don't fight it!


I'm seeing it live on the map right now, those maps I shown with the 5000' temps is indicating its further north.


Follow this guy for storm updates.


https://twitter.com/nynjpaweather/st...94192284340225

[Cambium]

Current Jet stream and winds.


NOT the setup for the coast and Big Cities. That trough needs to be over the SouthEast, not there. This was seen a week ago but it was the details of the exact track and temps of this storm that we didn't know.


Not the best set up here. Interior will do well as long as that storm doesn't keep shifting north





Where the storm is right now. Site updates every 15 minutes.


For those not sure, the tighter the lines, the stronger the winds. Look for the closed circle for the center of a storm (or High)

[Cambium]

https://twitter.com/Terra_Cide/statu...77187295047681

[SoCal Midwest Noobie]

This storm is gonna be big. Got snow climbing on my door and we werent even supposed to get much accumulation. Places like Cleveland, Western PA and Upstate NY are gonna be hit hard.