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Old 10-13-2019, 06:33 AM
 
Location: Upstate SC
792 posts, read 496,332 times
Reputation: 1087

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Woke up to thunderstorms, that's rare for October and especially 5am. 1/2 inch of rain already, which is the most we've had in about 2 months. Nice conveyor belt of precip https://radar.weather.gov/Conus/southeast_loop.php


Ducked out for a second and MAN that rain is COLD. Must be falling from way up there.
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Old 10-13-2019, 06:48 AM
 
29,505 posts, read 19,602,720 times
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7am temps 39F at IKK and MDW. It's 40F at ORD.


High temps only in the 50s again today

https://twitter.com/NWSChicago/statu...21607231565824


A very wet year so far and ORD has had five months below average and four months above.

https://twitter.com/Skilling/status/1183191336658317317




After this cool stretch which will last into most of this week, the CFSv2 is still advertising a return to above normal temps that supposedly will last through the first week of November. Lets see because the typhoon recurving now after hitting Japan might change that pattern.

https://twitter.com/Ronh999/status/1183352946857336836
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Old 10-13-2019, 06:54 AM
 
30,395 posts, read 21,215,773 times
Reputation: 11957
More 90's for the next 5 weeks.
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Old 10-13-2019, 07:39 AM
 
Location: Central New Jersey & British Columbia
855 posts, read 771,190 times
Reputation: 727
The cool sunny weather is nice, but I already hate the low humidity. My eyes actually feel dry. A small preview of the cold dry wasteland weather in store for the next 5-6 months in the Midwest.
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Old 10-13-2019, 07:39 AM
 
Location: Alexandria, Louisiana
5,036 posts, read 4,350,891 times
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Got down to 49F here last night, a little cooler than expected (last time it was below 50F was April 21). Gulf moisture supposed to come with warm front by tomorrow. Could be some heavy rainfall tomorrow and Tuesday, which should help to alleviate the dryness that has developed the past few weeks.

Rainfall forecast over the next 3 days.

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Old 10-13-2019, 07:51 AM
 
Location: Alexandria, Louisiana
5,036 posts, read 4,350,891 times
Reputation: 1287
Maybe the possibility of severe weather next weekend.

From SPC:

Quote:
Severe potential may increase during the weekend as deeper
boundary-layer moisture spreads north across much of the CONUS from
the central/southern Plains to the Ohio Valley as a larger-scale
upper trough deepens across the west and shifts eastward. As this
occurs, a strong surface low will develop over the northern/central
Plains and thunderstorms are expected along the cold front
traversing the Plains and MS Valley as well as along the warm front
extended across the Midwest. Guidance varies on the timing of these
features and the strength of moisture return, resulting in too much
uncertainty to include severe probs at this time, but this system
bares watching over the coming days.
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Old 10-13-2019, 08:46 AM
 
29,505 posts, read 19,602,720 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by LKJ1988 View Post
More 90's for the next 5 weeks.
Some signs that the warmup after this cook spell will be short lived. Might be the models seeing a response to the typhoon recurving

https://twitter.com/bamwxcom/status/1183357110668668928
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Old 10-13-2019, 11:18 AM
 
Location: Fort Worth, Texas
4,877 posts, read 4,211,978 times
Reputation: 1908
Quote:
Originally Posted by chicagogeorge View Post
7am temps 39F at IKK and MDW. It's 40F at ORD.


High temps only in the 50s again today

https://twitter.com/NWSChicago/statu...21607231565824


A very wet year so far and ORD has had five months below average and four months above.

https://twitter.com/Skilling/status/1183191336658317317




After this cool stretch which will last into most of this week, the CFSv2 is still advertising a return to above normal temps that supposedly will last through the first week of November. Lets see because the typhoon recurving now after hitting Japan might change that pattern.

https://twitter.com/Ronh999/status/1183352946857336836
Get ready for a very long cold and snowless winter season.....
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Old 10-13-2019, 11:50 AM
 
Location: Atlanta
5,621 posts, read 5,930,050 times
Reputation: 4900
Chilly start to yesterday but warmed up into the mid 60s with completely clear skies. Beautiful day.
Today started out inthe upper 50s as some clouds developed overnight. Cleared and now it's inthe 70s. Perfect fall day. I've already been outside most of the morning. Ate lunch and taking a short break before going to some other parks.

Warming up this week but should stay pretty comfortable. Looking like late next week will be slightly below average with highs right around 70. Actually a little disappointed. It was such a long summer and a particularly warm ending, I was hoping to keep 75-80 for highs for a while.
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Old 10-13-2019, 12:18 PM
 
Location: Near the Coast SWCT
83,500 posts, read 75,234,500 times
Reputation: 16619
Current Map. 2pmEST. Upper Low now over Ontario. Well below normal in the Midwest and Northern plains where the snowpack remains. Well above normal in Georgia and SC.


I'll take my mostly sunny skies and 60s here!


Copyright © 2019 Cambium


Closer look. Cloudy under the Upper low. 30s during the day. What is that like in October?


Copyright © 2019 Cambium




Next week GFS says the Jet digs way south in the west again.


Source:
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