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Old 05-14-2020, 01:58 AM
 
Location: Downtown Phoenix, AZ
21,877 posts, read 8,539,544 times
Reputation: 7023

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If this summer is truly a La Nina summer, it could be another summer of 2011, which was HOT here, especially the period from August 14th through September 8th.

8/14/11 109°F/88°F +5°F
8/15/11 108°F/90°F +5°F
8/16/11 107°F/88°F +4°F
8/17/11 110°F/88°F +5°F
8/18/11 112°F/83°F +4°F
8/19/11 106°F/83°F +1°F
8/20/11 107°F/86°F +3°F
8/21/11 108°F/86°F +3°F
8/22/11 113°F/88°F +7°F
8/23/11 114°F/89°F +8°F
8/24/11 114°F/90°F +8°F
8/25/11 113°F/92°F +10°F
8/26/11 117°F/93°F +12°F*
8/27/11 112°F/90°F +8°F
8/28/11 107°F/89°F +5°F
8/29/11 112°F/88°F +7°F
8/30/11 113°F/90°F +9°F
8/31/11 112°F/91°F +9°F

9/1/11 112°F/90°F +8°F
9/2/11 102°F/87°F +2°F
9/3/11 109°F/85°F +4°F
9/4/11 110°F/85°F +5°F
9/5/11 106°F/91°F +6°F
9/6/11 107°F/85°F +3°F
9/7/11 108°F/87°F +6°F
9/8/11 109°F/87°F +6°F

*=all time record high temp for the month of August

And August 2011 was our hottest August on record and tied with July 2009 for our hottest month on record, both with a mean temp of 98.3°F!

Heatwave stats 8/14-9/8

Avg High 109.9°F Dep +6.3°F
Avg Low 88.0°F Dep +5.6°F

Mean Temp 98.95°F Dep +5.95°F

On September 9th, a dry cold front swung through and ended the monsoon, so low temps dropped about 10°F, though highs stayed above 100°F the rest of the month with the exception of 6 random days with highs in the mid to upper 90's
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Old 05-14-2020, 04:23 AM
 
Location: Estonia
122 posts, read 20,751 times
Reputation: 63
I would be happy if we got an 2011 analogue. Summer 2011 was pretty warm here too, we actually got quite a few heatwaves.
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Old 05-14-2020, 06:24 AM
 
24,694 posts, read 14,265,422 times
Reputation: 3211
Quote:
Originally Posted by FirebirdCamaro1220 View Post
If this summer is truly a La Nina summer, it could be another summer of 2011, which was HOT here, especially the period from August 14th through September 8th.

8/14/11 109°F/88°F +5°F
8/15/11 108°F/90°F +5°F
8/16/11 107°F/88°F +4°F
8/17/11 110°F/88°F +5°F
8/18/11 112°F/83°F +4°F
8/19/11 106°F/83°F +1°F
8/20/11 107°F/86°F +3°F
8/21/11 108°F/86°F +3°F
8/22/11 113°F/88°F +7°F
8/23/11 114°F/89°F +8°F
8/24/11 114°F/90°F +8°F
8/25/11 113°F/92°F +10°F
8/26/11 117°F/93°F +12°F*
8/27/11 112°F/90°F +8°F
8/28/11 107°F/89°F +5°F
8/29/11 112°F/88°F +7°F
8/30/11 113°F/90°F +9°F
8/31/11 112°F/91°F +9°F

9/1/11 112°F/90°F +8°F
9/2/11 102°F/87°F +2°F
9/3/11 109°F/85°F +4°F
9/4/11 110°F/85°F +5°F
9/5/11 106°F/91°F +6°F
9/6/11 107°F/85°F +3°F
9/7/11 108°F/87°F +6°F
9/8/11 109°F/87°F +6°F

*=all time record high temp for the month of August

And August 2011 was our hottest August on record and tied with July 2009 for our hottest month on record, both with a mean temp of 98.3°F!

Heatwave stats 8/14-9/8

Avg High 109.9°F Dep +6.3°F
Avg Low 88.0°F Dep +5.6°F

Mean Temp 98.95°F Dep +5.95°F

On September 9th, a dry cold front swung through and ended the monsoon, so low temps dropped about 10°F, though highs stayed above 100°F the rest of the month with the exception of 6 random days with highs in the mid to upper 90's



The 2011 La Nina was strong. Recent La Nina's have been weak. I'm sure the strength of La Nina also plays a big role just as the strength of El Nino. If we do have a La Nina this summer/fall I'm betting it will be a weak one
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Old 05-14-2020, 07:20 AM
Status: "Finally in subtropical Fort Worth Texas for a whole month" (set 17 days ago)
 
Location: In climate zone Cfa/hardiness zone 8a /zip code 76131
3,699 posts, read 2,391,576 times
Reputation: 1330
Quote:
Originally Posted by chicagogeorge View Post
The 2011 La Nina was strong. Recent La Nina's have been weak. I'm sure the strength of La Nina also plays a big role just as the strength of El Nino. If we do have a La Nina this summer/fall I'm betting it will be a weak one
You mean like 2012?
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Old 05-14-2020, 10:37 AM
 
Location: Near Albany, NY
69 posts, read 14,846 times
Reputation: 68
Summers looking warmer than last year, probably because of El Niña. Expect a nasty hurricane season too because El Niña allows for a more active season. A storm is already developing too in the Alantic. Which won’t be fun with this virus going on. https://weather.com/forecast/nationa...ne-july-august
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Old 05-14-2020, 11:28 AM
 
Location: Seattle area
7,459 posts, read 9,665,809 times
Reputation: 4295
Quote:
Originally Posted by itsbbnomoney View Post
Yeah well summer is basically down the drain here. The CFSv2 has been erasing warm anomalies more and more each day. A month ago or so the model showed warmer temps for eastern europe and cooler for the west for once, but now it has reversed again as if western europe hasn't had enough scorchers year after year.....

Whats worse, people on a local Estonian weather blog have been predicting a record cold summer since January.
They base that on some old folk tales like "Winter has to come, if it doesn't snow in January, it has to be cold later" or some dude has a theory the annual mean temp has to be exactly the same every year, and now we need a cold summer to counteract the insanely blowtorch winter we had. Obviously back in January I though it was bulls***, but now it really seems to be going the way they predicted....
Places in Eastern Europe such as Romania, Bulgaria, Serbia, Greece, Turkey have been hot lately.
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Old 05-14-2020, 11:40 AM
 
Location: Estonia
122 posts, read 20,751 times
Reputation: 63
Quote:
Originally Posted by Botev1912 View Post
Places in Eastern Europe such as Romania, Bulgaria, Serbia, Greece, Turkey have been hot lately.
Yeah true, but those far South-Eastern areas are warm anyways from May to September/October even with colder anomalies. But the more NE parts of Europe (Ukraine, Belarus, Baltics, Finland, parts of Russia) have been trash in recent years.... like even North West (Norway, Sweden, Northern parts of UK) Europe has been better in recent summers...
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Old 05-14-2020, 12:32 PM
 
24,694 posts, read 14,265,422 times
Reputation: 3211
Quote:
Originally Posted by Isleofpalms85 View Post
You mean like 2012?
There was a strong La Niña in 2010/2011 which lasted into 2012.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2010%E...i%C3%B1a_event
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Old 05-14-2020, 05:03 PM
 
1,616 posts, read 901,548 times
Reputation: 1423
I wouldn't mind a repeat of last summer though I know Botev will disagree lol.
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Old 05-15-2020, 07:35 AM
 
24,694 posts, read 14,265,422 times
Reputation: 3211
Heat dome may form over the southern Plains this June and that might mean that Chicago will be at the northern edge of the heat and in the ring of fire. Stormy June coming?
https://twitter.com/bamwxcom/status/1261278077105176576
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