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Old 08-18-2020, 05:25 AM
 
Location: Near the Coast SWCT
83,516 posts, read 75,294,816 times
Reputation: 16619

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I can't stand 3 month Avg outlook. Makes no sense to look at. 1st month can be hot. 2nd month can be warm. 3rd month can be cold. And yet it would mean the Average is warm. Rather see the month breakdown.


https://www.accuweather.com/en/weather-forecasts/accuweathers-2020-us-fall-forecast/785406?utm_campaign=accuweather&utm_content=&utm_m edium=social&utm_source=twitter




He thinks a late foliage season.

Quote:
Northeast, Ohio Valley and Great Lakes

It has been a hot summer for much of the Midwest and Northeast, and the heat is showing no signs of stopping through the first part of fall.

“The heat waves that we’ve seen that have been very impressive over the summer season are going to linger into September,” Pastelok said. This could mean more 90-degree days for cities that have roasted in the summer heat, especially along the Interstate 95 corridor. This includes Baltimore, which set a record in July for the most 90-degree days in one month.

The prolonged summerlike warmth will not just be limited to the big cities. Areas farther inland across the Northeast and westward over the Ohio Valley and Great Lakes could experience spells of record-challenging warmth during the first half of autumn. This could include Cleveland, Detroit and Cincinnati.

Some may not like the extended warmth, but this could prove to be beneficial for some businesses amid the COVID-19 pandemic. A great many restaurants have expanded outdoor seating areas to allow for more guests to dine at the same time while maintaining social distancing guidelines and any prolonged warmth will allow these restaurants to keep revenue coming in for an extended period.

“A good portion of the fall season is gonna be beneficial to the workers that work outside and have more projects that have to get done and finished because, remember, they started out late due to [COVID-19],” Pastelok added.

As the calendar turns to October, families may start to think of trips to take in the colorful landscapes transformed by fall foliage, even if that means staying closer to home this year. However, the best of the colors may occur about two weeks behind schedule this year.

“With all the warm weather, I think it’s going to be delayed again. It’s kind of been the typical rule the last couple of years,” Pastelok said.

Some of the best colors are expected across the southern Appalachians, which could make places such as Smoky Mountain National Park a popular destination this fall. Typically, the peak season for fall foliage in the southern Appalachians is around the final week in October.

With warm weather forecast to persist across the Northeast through the first part of fall, residents may not have to worry about snow or needing winter coats until after Halloween.

“The chance of any snow across the north is going to be very late. In fact, the freeze potential is very late this year,” Pastelok said. For many, this means the first flurries may not fly until mid- to late November.

However, Pastelok warned that if there is an Arctic outbreak, the cold air flowing over the unusually warm waters of the Great Lakes could cause a “significant” lake-effect snow event. This includes places such as Marquette, Michigan; Buffalo and Watertown, New York; Erie, Pennsylvania; and South Bend, Indiana.
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Old 08-18-2020, 10:41 AM
 
Location: Atlanta
5,621 posts, read 5,934,485 times
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"Tropical threat through October" for the SE. Uhh, duh. It's still hurricane season
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Old 08-18-2020, 04:59 PM
 
30,432 posts, read 21,255,233 times
Reputation: 11984
You can bet Oct will be record hot month for FL like the last 9 have been. 90's all the way into Nov and that you guys can take it to the bank as am calling it and i am never wrong. This is the new normal and soon there will be no more falls anywhere out past 70 years. There is no stopping the snow ball effect as the ramp up in heating is getting faster and faster.
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Old 08-18-2020, 05:06 PM
 
Location: USA
2,830 posts, read 2,652,172 times
Reputation: 4908
.............. and I'll follow that last post with my low tonight is 57f! Feels great outside. We got to a high today of 78. Small taste of Fall, gearing up for a beautiful fall in the ozarks.
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Old 08-18-2020, 05:16 PM
 
Location: Inland FL
2,530 posts, read 1,862,895 times
Reputation: 4229
Quote:
Originally Posted by LKJ1988 View Post
You can bet Oct will be record hot month for FL like the last 9 have been. 90's all the way into Nov and that you guys can take it to the bank as am calling it and i am never wrong. This is the new normal and soon there will be no more falls anywhere out past 70 years. There is no stopping the snow ball effect as the ramp up in heating is getting faster and faster.
Even in the last few winters it's gotten almost 90. If Florida was still in its natural state, it would still get cooler but all that concrete and asphalt heats things up.
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Old 08-18-2020, 05:25 PM
 
Location: Indiana Uplands
26,407 posts, read 46,581,861 times
Reputation: 19549
Quote:
Originally Posted by floridarebel View Post
Even in the last few winters it's gotten almost 90. If Florida was still in its natural state, it would still get cooler but all that concrete and asphalt heats things up.
The urban heat island in places like Louisville is extremely bad. It has gotten so ridiculous they have a ten degree spread for low temperatures on local TV forecasts for the viewing area.
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Old 08-18-2020, 05:33 PM
 
30,432 posts, read 21,255,233 times
Reputation: 11984
Quote:
Originally Posted by floridarebel View Post
Even in the last few winters it's gotten almost 90. If Florida was still in its natural state, it would still get cooler but all that concrete and asphalt heats things up.
That don't help as well since all the land is about gone and covered up. We don't get windy days anymore in the winter like we used to or any strong fronts the last 9 years and it is just getting hotter every fall thru spring as the years go by. Nothing even close to the 1980's super winters year after year.
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Old 08-19-2020, 04:40 AM
 
Location: Lake Huron Shores
2,227 posts, read 1,403,483 times
Reputation: 1758
Grand rapids sees a low of 48 F today morning. Frosts have been recorded in parts of the interior UP today morning with temps in the 30’s.
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Old 08-19-2020, 08:28 AM
 
Location: Northern Virginia
6,798 posts, read 4,240,302 times
Reputation: 18582
Yes, it's starting to be the time of year where fall isn't far off in the North. I remember growing up that you just knew if the weather turned cool in late August summer was basically done. You might get lucky and have a warm spell in mid or late September, but it'd not be like summer.
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Old 08-19-2020, 10:40 AM
 
Location: Indiana Uplands
26,407 posts, read 46,581,861 times
Reputation: 19549
Quote:
Originally Posted by Veritas Vincit View Post
Yes, it's starting to be the time of year where fall isn't far off in the North. I remember growing up that you just knew if the weather turned cool in late August summer was basically done. You might get lucky and have a warm spell in mid or late September, but it'd not be like summer.
The first freeze of the season in Vilas County, WI usually occurs by the end of August or early September. Land O' Lakes AWOS is usually one I watch at 1,700 ft that is far enough removed from additional cloud influences of Lake Superior.
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