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Some snow and freezing rain here all snow half up the city limits and heavy snow in the north suburbs and into southern Wisconsin
Yikes
-33F/-36C for King North
-28F/-33C for Pearson
-20F/-29C for Downtown/Toronto Islands
???
That's some kool-aid they've been drinking...
Some local forecasters seem to be calling for temperatures down to -15F in Toronto on the night of Feb 4-5, which would already be quite exceptional. But -28F for Pearson would be 13F colder than the coldest it's ever seen in the past 2 decades, and 4F colder than the 1994 record.
Models still pushing the cold here for early February. Some really cold air. Might moderate a bit as the models progress but definitely going to get really cold here soon, coldest air of the season for sure. It’s been so warm that the lake in Lake Geroge (near my area) is still unfrozen completely, no ice yet which is definitely weird for this time of year but we’ve had a very warm January here (10f above average). Last year it already had decent ice at this time. My guess is we might see some action this February but the lake might not freeze that much like prior years if the cold does not stay long before March comes around when it starts warming up again. Even with this coming cold, this winter has been a very mild one so far with not much snow or cold. Hopefully spring won’t be cold like some prior years either.
No way the 12z Euro / 18z GFS verify exactly like that for Toronto next weekend. Cold yes, but not that cold.
Lookiing at the NAEFS ensemble range you can see the 25-75% percentile temperature for Toronto is between roughly -9°C to -22°C on February 4. The control member near -30°C is an extreme outlier.
Very mild January here second warmest on record. Europe was very mild too but most of Asia Africa Australia and South America were colder than normal
Quote:
Originally Posted by memph
-33F/-36C for King North
-28F/-33C for Pearson
-20F/-29C for Downtown/Toronto Islands
???
That's some kool-aid they've been drinking...
Some local forecasters seem to be calling for temperatures down to -15F in Toronto on the night of Feb 4-5, which would already be quite exceptional. But -28F for Pearson would be 13F colder than the coldest it's ever seen in the past 2 decades, and 4F colder than the 1994 record.
Yeah it's just a model run. Probably way over done though it will get cold most of the next 12 days
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