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Old 11-10-2023, 06:16 PM
 
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Dec will be the warmest yet we have had.
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Old 11-11-2023, 07:00 AM
 
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CFSv2 recent runs for winter depicting the monthly departures






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Old 11-11-2023, 10:09 AM
 
Location: Centre Wellington, ON
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Lots of years recently that February has been colder than January here...
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Old 11-11-2023, 12:46 PM
 
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Quote:
Originally Posted by memph View Post
Lots of years recently that February has been colder than January here...

We've had a few backloaded winters in recent years. This winter is beginning to show early indications that this will be be the case.
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Old 11-11-2023, 03:32 PM
 
Location: New York Area
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Quote:
Originally Posted by chicagogeorge View Post
Quote:
Originally Posted by memph View Post
Lots of years recently that February has been colder than January here...
We've had a few backloaded winters in recent years. This winter is beginning to show early indications that this will be be the case.
March 1984 was actually colder and snowier than February 1984. Part of La Niñas greatest hits.
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Old 11-11-2023, 04:07 PM
 
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Quote:
Originally Posted by jbgusa View Post
March 1984 was actually colder and snowier than February 1984. Part of La Niñas greatest hits.
March of 84 was very active and cold for my area in Tampa. That was when we had real winters and March was the coldest month for many times.
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Old 11-12-2023, 09:38 AM
 
Location: Near the Coast SWCT
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Quote:
Originally Posted by chicagogeorge View Post
We've had a few backloaded winters in recent years. This winter is beginning to show early indications that this will be be the case.
Here's Decembers departure from normal for here. Out of the last 12, only 3 were below normal.

2000: -20.0%
2001: 11.9%
2002: -8.9%
2003: -5.1%
2004: -1.4%
2005: -10.0%
2006: 11.1%
2007: -3.5%
2008: -4.1%
2009: -10.0%
2010: -15.4%
2011: 11.1%
2012: 7.0%
2013: -5.4%
2014: 5.4%
2015: 27.6%
2016: 2.2%
2017: -9.7%
2018: 1.9%
2019: -2.4%
2020: 0.8%
2021: 9.2%
2022: 6.2%
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Old 11-12-2023, 09:56 AM
 
Location: Centre Wellington, ON
5,892 posts, read 6,091,347 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Cambium View Post
Here's Decembers departure from normal for here. Out of the last 12, only 3 were below normal.

2000: -20.0%
2001: 11.9%
2002: -8.9%
2003: -5.1%
2004: -1.4%
2005: -10.0%
2006: 11.1%
2007: -3.5%
2008: -4.1%
2009: -10.0%
2010: -15.4%
2011: 11.1%
2012: 7.0%
2013: -5.4%
2014: 5.4%
2015: 27.6%
2016: 2.2%
2017: -9.7%
2018: 1.9%
2019: -2.4%
2020: 0.8%
2021: 9.2%
2022: 6.2%
What do the percentages mean? 24F average vs 30F historical average = 20% colder?
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Old 11-12-2023, 10:16 AM
 
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Strat warming in December?


https://x.com/BenNollWeather/status/...850577395?s=20
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Old 11-12-2023, 11:42 AM
 
Location: Near the Coast SWCT
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Quote:
Originally Posted by memph View Post
What do the percentages mean? 24F average vs 30F historical average = 20% colder?
Percentage from normal. Correct
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