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Old 02-19-2024, 09:16 PM
 
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The latest IRI Model-Based Probabilistic ENSO Forecast is hinting at a rapidly developing La Nina, perhaps reaching peak strength starting in August/September/October.

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Old 02-20-2024, 05:39 AM
 
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Quote:
Originally Posted by WesterlyWX View Post
...except that we're talking about La Nina here, which is scientifically documented to become stronger and more common as the climate changes due to Man's activities.

It will be another record wet year for sure in AUS with no ski season to speak of
:^ (
The same research says that about El Nino's too. That doesn't mean the research is always accurate and that every ENSO event is going to be strong. CFSv2 is showing a strong La Nina but that model is an outlier this far out



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Old 02-21-2024, 01:48 AM
 
Location: Corryong (Northeast Victoria)
901 posts, read 356,393 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by chicagogeorge View Post
The same research says that about El Nino's too. That doesn't mean the research is always accurate and that every ENSO event is going to be strong. CFSv2 is showing a strong La Nina but that model is an outlier this far out


No it doesn't. Anything claiming 'hotter and drier' is simply at odds with the Scientific Consensus, which points unanimously to a hotter and wetter future with relatively less extremes in temperature.

Torch and flood is the new norm
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Old 02-21-2024, 05:18 AM
 
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New norm here in my area in the summer is less and less rain within 1000 yards of the gulf thanks to a never ending west flow.
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Old 02-21-2024, 11:08 AM
 
Location: Indiana Uplands
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New normal is far above average winter temperatures for many areas, even though the 30 year sets of “averages” continue to warm.
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Old 03-14-2024, 07:20 AM
 
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Latest CPC ENSO Probability:
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Old 03-14-2024, 05:17 PM
 
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Gonna last for many years.
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Old 03-14-2024, 06:14 PM
 
Location: Indiana Uplands
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Blowtorch El Niño or La Niña, flip a coin.
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Old 03-19-2024, 12:08 PM
 
40 posts, read 12,571 times
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Old 03-19-2024, 12:55 PM
 
Location: Taunggyi, Myanmar
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Originally Posted by LKJ1988 View Post
Gonna last for many years.
And this means that it will be even drier in FL.
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