Weather Forecast Thread (snowfall, record, temperature, days)

[Mac15]

The gfs is more accurate. The met office are very pestimistic especially with their lows. My lows are ALWAYS 3c or so lower than they forecast, and no i am not in a frost hollow- katesbridge and castlederg are often 5/6c lower than they forecast.So i just use the gfs and it is always right.

[flamingGalah!]

Originally Posted by owenc

The gfs is more accurate. The met office are very pestimistic especially with their lows. My lows are ALWAYS 3c or so lower than they forecast, and no i am not in a frost hollow- katesbridge and castlederg are often 5/6c lower than they forecast.So i just use the gfs and it is always right.

They are usually ok for here. But I don't use their generic forecast for Portsmouth (or Southsea on BBC site) I use a more local one on the Met Office site (Old Portsmouth Beach) as that is closer to where I live. I actually contacted the Met Office about the forecasts for Portsmouth & Southsea, as they gave temperatures much lower than what I record, & I was told to ignore them as there was some sort of problem with the data & to use either Old Portsmouth Beach or Eastney Beach until they fix the problem sometime this year...

[Rozenn]

GFS raw forecasts are always cooler than the local Met Office (Meteo France) here too. Sometimes GFS is closer to reality, sometimes it's Meteo France. When we do get the odd properly cold night, MF is usually off by 2 to 5°C.



Meteo France

13/1
Light rain/snow mix.
4°C
1°C

14/1
Overcast, light snow.
2°C
-3°C

15/1
Rain showers.
3°C
1°C

16/1
Snow showers.
-1°C
-4°C

17/1
Snow showers.
0°C
-4°C

18/1
Snow showers.
1°C
-4°C

19/1
Snow showers.
1°C
-4°C

20/1
Snow showers.
2°C
-4°C



GFS

13/1
Cloudy.
4°C
0°C

14/1
Sunny intervals, sleet.
2°C
-4°C

15/1
Rain/sleet.
3°C
-1°C

16/1
Cloudy.
0°C
-4°C

17/1
Sunny.
-3°C
-6°C

18/1
Sunny.
-4°C
-7°C

19/1
Sunny.
-5°C
-9°C

20/1
Partly cloudy.
-4°C
-8°C

[Weatherfan2]

BUXTON FORECAST

14/1
Heavy snow.
0°C
-2°C

15/1
Few clouds.
-3°C
-6°C

16/1
Clouds.
-3°C
-10°C

17/1
Clouds.
-2°C
-10°C

18/1
Heavy snow.
-1°C
-6°C

19/1
Snow then overcast.
0°C
-2°C

[Mac15]

My forecast. I will do the colour code considering everybody else has done that.

Monday
3c
2c

Tuesday
3c
0c

Wednesday
0c
-1c

Thursday
0c
0c

Friday
0c
-6c

Saturday
0c
-2c

Proper cold arriving about Tuesday.

[PatrickMd]

Cold here, but not much cooler than average, then the Atlantic winning out from around next Thursday.

[Mac15]

Is that why i have a predicted max of 0c on saturday then? LOL

[PatrickMd]

The UK does look cold for a few days but NI looks rather milder.

Then the Atlantic wins from around next Thursday.

[Mac15]

Um im totally confused met office forecasts sunshine for thursday for me!! And i dont know about you but -5c is pretty cold and 1c max aswell.

[PatrickMd]

I see 4s and 5s for the West of the country (Wales, SW England, NI and the Scottish Islands)

Don't know where you think any severe cold is going to come from?

The rest of Scotland - and parts of England - will be cold, but not exceptionally cold.