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Also, if you're curious how much a warm November = a warm winter I could run through the numbers. I went through them for a local station:
Quote:
Originally Posted by nei
Out of curiosity, I downloaded the data from my station to see how often warm winters were followed by above average spring weather. I took the Jan-Feb average and compared it to the March and April averages. The correlation between the Jan-Feb average and the March average was low, only about 0.14.
But when I compared the Marches followed the top 20 warmest Jan/Feb (> 3°F above average) the connection was fairly strong, a correlation of 0.37. For April it was weaker, 0.13.
My January was about 6°F above average, December 7°F; dunno what February will be, so far we're running about 6-7°F above average as well. Out of the top 20 warmest Jan-Feb, 13 Marches were above average. For the Jan-Feb that were 6°F above average, 5/6 Marches were above average, and the majority were well above average, though only one was really high (5°F).
Veterans Day: Sunny, with a high near 68. Southeast wind around 5 mph becoming calm.
Monday Night: A 20 percent chance of light rain after midnight. Partly cloudy, with a low around 45. Light and variable wind becoming north 10 to 15 mph after midnight.
Tuesday: A 20 percent chance of light rain. Mostly cloudy, with a temperature falling to around 39 by 5pm. Breezy, with a north wind 15 to 20 mph, with gusts as high as 30 mph.
Tuesday Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 28. North northeast wind 10 to 15 mph.
Wednesday: Sunny, with a high near 45. Northeast wind 5 to 10 mph.
Wednesday: Night Clear, with a low around 27. North northeast wind around 5 mph becoming calm in the evening.
Thursday: Sunny, with a high near 52.
Thursday Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 32
Friday: Mostly sunny, with a high near 57
Friday Night: A 20 percent chance of rain. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 42
Saturday: A 30 percent chance of rain. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 63.
I would worry if I were you. I live in a colder climate and have to worry about not getting winter some years. Though actually one of our warmest winters on record were close to an average Northern Ireland winter. Your winters are like a cold autumn.
Last edited by ilovemycomputer90; 11-10-2013 at 12:29 PM..
surprisingly it will be sunny all this week.... november is the cloudy month too.
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