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Victoria, Australia
THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL OUTLOOK
Updated at: 8:49pm
Sunday Evening: No thunderstorms are expected.
Monday: No thunderstorms are expected.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK
Tuesday: A low pressure trough and cold front will reach western Victoria during the afternoon or evening. This with a moisture infeed is likely to cause isolated thunderstorms to develop over the western districts during the afternoon or evening and possibly the central districts late in the day. No severe thunderstorms are expected.
Wednesday: The low pressure trough and cold front will quickly move over Victoria Tuesday night and during Wednesday. There is the chance for isolated afternoon thunderstorms through the far east or northeast, though chance is minimal and no severe thunderstorms are expected.
Thursday: Some uncertainty between the computer models at this point in time. At this stage however, a trough is likely to develop over western and central Victoria with isolated to scattered thunderstorms expected over these areas. Severe criteria may be reached.
Friday: The trough will still be in the vicinity of Victoria on Friday and a low pressure system is also likely to approach the state during the day from the west. Isolated to scattered thunderstorms are likely during the afternoon and severe criteria may be reached.
Saturday: The trough will be gone from Victoria, however the low pressure system will be to the south of the state, and isolated cold-cored thunderstorms are possible through much of the southern part of Victoria.
Victoria, Australia
THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL OUTLOOK
Updated at: 6:16pm
Monday Evening: No thunderstorms are expected.
Tuesday: A low pressure trough will move across Victoria during the afternoon or evening. This with a moisture infeed is likely to cause isolated thunderstorms to develop over the western districts during the afternoon or evening and possibly the central districts late in the day. No severe thunderstorms are expected.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK
Wednesday: The low pressure trough will quickly move over Victoria Tuesday night and during Wednesday. There is the chance for isolated afternoon thunderstorms through the far east or northeast, though chance is minimal and no severe thunderstorms are expected.
Thursday: Some uncertainty between the computer models at this point in time. At this stage however, a trough is likely to develop over western and central Victoria with isolated to scattered thunderstorms expected over these areas. Severe criteria may be reached.
Friday: The trough will still be in the vicinity of Victoria on Friday and a low pressure system is also likely to approach the state during the day from the west. Isolated to scattered thunderstorms are likely during the afternoon and severe criteria may be reached.
Saturday: The trough will be gone from Victoria, however the low pressure system will be near the state, and isolated thunderstorms are possible through much of Victoria.
Victoria, Australia
THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL OUTLOOK
Updated at: 9:55am
Tuesday: A wind change is currently moving over central and eastern Victoria though this is dry. A low pressure trough will move across Victoria during the afternoon or evening. This with a moisture infeed is likely to cause isolated thunderstorms to develop over the western districts during the afternoon and evening and possibly the central and northern districts late in the day or tonight. There is a small chance for severe thunderstorms - criteria may be damaging winds and large hail.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK
Wednesday: The low pressure trough will quickly move over Victoria Tuesday night and during Wednesday. There is the chance for isolated afternoon thunderstorms through the far east or northeast, though chance is minimal and no severe thunderstorms are expected.
Thursday: Some uncertainty between the computer models at this point in time. At this stage however, a trough is likely to develop over western and central Victoria with isolated to scattered thunderstorms expected over these areas. Severe criteria may be reached.
Friday: The trough will still be in the vicinity of Victoria on Friday and a low pressure system is also likely to approach the state during the day from the west. Isolated to scattered thunderstorms are likely during the afternoon and severe criteria may be reached.
Saturday: The trough will be gone from Victoria, however the low pressure system will be near the state, and isolated thunderstorms are possible through much of Victoria.
Victoria, Australia
THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL OUTLOOK
Updated at: 12:10pm
Tuesday Afternoon: A wind change is currently moving over central and eastern Victoria though this is dry. A low pressure trough will move across Victoria during the afternoon. This with a small moisture infeed is likely to cause isolated thunderstorms to develop over the northwest parts of the state this afternoon and the possibility extends to a lesser extent over remaining western and northern areas. There is a small chance for severe thunderstorms - criteria may be damaging winds and large hail.
Wednesday: The low pressure trough will quickly move over Victoria Tuesday night and during Wednesday. There is the chance for isolated thunderstorms through the far east or northeast, mostly in the morning and no severe thunderstorms are expected.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK
Thursday: Some uncertainty between the computer models at this point in time. At this stage however, a trough is likely to develop over western and central Victoria with isolated to scattered thunderstorms expected over these areas. Severe criteria may be reached.
Friday: The trough will still be in the vicinity of Victoria on Friday and a low pressure system is also likely to approach the state during the day from the west. Isolated to scattered thunderstorms are likely during the afternoon and severe criteria may be reached.
Saturday: The trough will be gone from Victoria, however the low pressure system will be near the state, and isolated thunderstorms are possible through much of Victoria.
Victoria, Australia
THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL OUTLOOK
Updated at: 7:25pm
Tuesday Evening: The isolated thunderstorms developed through the northwest of the state this afternoon and are currently tracking northeast. There is lots of lower level convection in the southwest currently. ISolated thunderstorms in the northwest will clear overnight, and there is the small chance in the southwest until the sun is down. No severe storms.
Wednesday: The low pressure trough will quickly move over Victoria Tuesday night and during Wednesday. There is the chance for isolated thunderstorms through the far east or northeast, mostly in the morning and no severe thunderstorms are expected.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK
Thursday: The past few computer model runs has finally shown some consistency regrading Thursday. At this stage no thunderstorms are expected through Victoria due to generally dry atmospheric conditions and a very quick moving high pressure ridge. The risk however still remains for an isolated thunderstorm in the northwest late in the day.
Friday: A trough will still be in the vicinity of Victoria on Friday and a low pressure system is also likely to approach the state during the day from the west. Isolated to scattered thunderstorms are likely during the afternoon and evening and severe criteria should be reached if current prognosis proves correct.
Saturday: The trough will be gone from Victoria, however the low pressure system will be just south of the state, and isolated thunderstorms are possible through much of Victoria.
Sunday: Very small chance for an isolated cold-cored thunderstorm in the Far southeast of Victoria, though the chance is only for morning.
Monday: No thunderstorms are expected as a high pressure system approaches and extends a ridge over Victoria, causing stabalization.
Tuesday: No thunderstorms are expected thanks to a high pressure system causing stable conditions in the atmosphere.
Wednesday: No thunderstorms are expected thanks to a high pressure system causing stable conditions in the atmosphere.
Victoria, Australia
THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL OUTLOOK
Updated at: 9:56am
Wednesday: Isolated thunderstorms cleared the northern parts of Victoria overnight. The low pressure trough is now out of Victoria and no thunderstorms are expepcted across the state.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK
Thursday: The past few computer model runs has finally shown some consistency regrading Thursday. At this stage no thunderstorms are expected through Victoria due to generally dry atmospheric conditions and a very quick moving high pressure ridge. The risk however still remains for an isolated thunderstorm in the northwest late in the day.
Friday: A trough will still be in the vicinity of Victoria on Friday and a low pressure system is also likely to approach the state during the day from the west. Isolated to scattered thunderstorms are likely during the afternoon and evening and severe criteria should be reached if current prognosis proves correct.
Saturday: The trough will be gone from Victoria, however the low pressure system will be just south of the state, and isolated thunderstorms are possible through much of Victoria.
Sunday: Very small chance for an isolated cold-cored thunderstorm in the Far southeast of Victoria, though the chance is only for morning.
Monday: No thunderstorms are expected as a high pressure system approaches and extends a ridge over Victoria, causing stabalization.
Tuesday: No thunderstorms are expected thanks to a high pressure system causing stable conditions in the atmosphere.
Wednesday: No thunderstorms are expected thanks to a high pressure system causing stable conditions in the atmosphere.
Victoria, Australia
THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL OUTLOOK
Updated at: 12:00pm
Wednesday Afternoon: No thunderstorms are expepcted across the state.
Thursday: The past few computer model runs has finally shown some consistency regrading Thursday. At this stage no thunderstorms are expected through Victoria due to generally dry atmospheric conditions and a very quick moving high pressure ridge. Late in the day or at night however, the risk for thunderstorms developing in the far northwest of the state increases thanks to an aproaching trough in South Australia.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK
Friday: A trough will still be in the vicinity of Victoria on Friday and a low pressure system is also likely to approach the state during the day from the west. Isolated to scattered thunderstorms are likely during the afternoon and evening over the western districts. At this stage no thunderstorms are expected elsewhere however there is a very small chance thunderstorms may creep into central districts. Severe criteria should be reached if current prognosis proves correct over western districts - the amount of moisture will provide storms with the potential to create flash flooding and heavy rainfall and the slow movement of storms is also likely to contribute. Damaging winds is also possible however large hailstones are only a small chance at this point in time thanks to the moisture restricting it.
Saturday: The trough will be gone from Victoria, however the low pressure system will be just south of the state, and isolated thunderstorms are possible through much of Victoria.
Sunday: Very small chance for an isolated cold-cored thunderstorm in the Far southeast of Victoria, though the chance is only for morning.
Monday: No thunderstorms are expected as a high pressure system approaches and extends a ridge over Victoria, causing stabalization.
Tuesday: No thunderstorms are expected thanks to a high pressure system causing stable conditions in the atmosphere.
Wednesday: No thunderstorms are expected thanks to a high pressure system causing stable conditions in the atmosphere.
Victoria, Australia
THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL OUTLOOK
Updated at: 5:48pm
Wednesday Evening: No thunderstorms are expepcted.
Thursday: The past several computer model runs have shown some consistency regarding Thursday. At this stage no thunderstorms are expected through Victoria due to generally dry atmospheric conditions and a very quick moving high pressure ridge. Late in the day or at night however, the risk for thunderstorms developing in the far northwest of the state increases thanks to an aproaching trough in South Australia.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK
Friday: A trough will still be in the vicinity of Victoria on Friday and a low pressure system is also likely to approach the state during the day from the west. Isolated to scattered thunderstorms are likely during the afternoon and evening over the western districts. At this stage no thunderstorms are expected elsewhere however there is a very small chance thunderstorms may creep into central districts. Severe criteria should be reached if current prognosis proves correct over western districts - the amount of moisture will provide storms with the potential to create flash flooding and heavy rainfall and the slow movement of storms is also likely to contribute. Damaging winds is also possible however large hailstones are only a small chance at this point in time thanks to the moisture restricting it.
Saturday: The trough will be gone from Victoria, however the low pressure system will be just near the state, and isolated thunderstorms are possible through much of Victoria.
Sunday: Very small chance for an isolated cold-cored thunderstorm in the Far southeast of Victoria, though the chance is only for morning.
Monday: No thunderstorms are expected as a high pressure system approaches and extends a ridge over Victoria, causing stabalization.
Tuesday: No thunderstorms are expected thanks to a high pressure system causing stable conditions in the atmosphere.
Wednesday: No thunderstorms are expected thanks to a high pressure system causing stable conditions in the atmosphere.
Thursday: No thunderstorms are expected at this stage thanks to a high pressure system causing stable conditions in the atmosphere.
Victoria, Australia
THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL OUTLOOK
Updated at: 10:29am
Thursday: The past several computer model runs have shown some consistency regarding Thursday. At this stage no thunderstorms are expected through Victoria due to generally dry atmospheric conditions and a very quick moving high pressure ridge. Late in the day or at night however, the risk for thunderstorms developing in the far northwest of the state increases thanks to an aproaching trough in South Australia.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK
Friday: A trough will still be in the vicinity of Victoria on Friday and a low pressure system is also likely to approach the state during the day from the west. Isolated to scattered thunderstorms are likely during the afternoon and evening over the western districts. At this stage no thunderstorms are expected elsewhere however there is a very small chance thunderstorms may creep into central districts. Severe criteria should be reached if current prognosis proves correct over western districts - the amount of moisture will provide storms with the potential to create flash flooding and heavy rainfall and the slow movement of storms is also likely to contribute. Damaging winds is also possible however large hailstones are only a small chance at this point in time thanks to the moisture restricting it.
Saturday: The trough will be gone from Victoria, however the low pressure system will be just near the state, and isolated thunderstorms are possible through much of Victoria.
Sunday: Very small chance for an isolated cold-cored thunderstorm in the Far southeast of Victoria, though the chance is only for morning.
Monday: No thunderstorms are expected as a high pressure system approaches and extends a ridge over Victoria, causing stabalization.
Tuesday: No thunderstorms are expected thanks to a high pressure system causing stable conditions in the atmosphere.
Wednesday: No thunderstorms are expected thanks to a high pressure system causing stable conditions in the atmosphere.
Thursday: No thunderstorms are expected at this stage thanks to a high pressure system causing stable conditions in the atmosphere.
Victoria, Australia
THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL OUTLOOK
Updated at: 12:09pm
Thursday Afternoon: Current computer model prognosis indicated that no thunderstorms will develop through Victoria for this afternoon, however going by current observations there is the risk that an isolated thunderstorm or two will develop in the northwest part of Victoria tonight. No severe storm activity is expected.
Friday: A trough is likely to be in the vicinity of Victoria and a low pressure system is also likely to approach the state during the day from the west. Isolated to scattered thunderstorms are likely during the late afternoon or evening onwards over the western and northern districts, gradually spreading to central areas overnight into Saturday. At this stage no thunderstorms are expected elsewhere. Severe criteria may be reached if current prognosis proves correct over western districts - the amount of moisture will provide storms with the potential to create flash flooding and heavy rainfall and the slow movement of storms is also likely to contribute. Damaging winds is also possible however large hailstones are only a small chance at this point in time thanks to the moisture restricting it.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK
Saturday: The trough will be gone from Victoria, however the low pressure system will be just near the state, and isolated thunderstorms are possible through much of Victoria.
Sunday: Very small chance for an isolated cold-cored thunderstorm in the Far southeast of Victoria, though the chance is only for morning.
Monday: No thunderstorms are expected as a high pressure system approaches and extends a ridge over Victoria, causing stabalization.
Tuesday: No thunderstorms are expected thanks to a high pressure system causing stable conditions in the atmosphere.
Wednesday: No thunderstorms are expected thanks to a high pressure system causing stable conditions in the atmosphere.
Thursday: No thunderstorms are expected at this stage thanks to a high pressure system causing stable conditions in the atmosphere.
NEXT UPDATE: Thursday, 5:00pm-7:00pm
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