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Winter Weather Alert Friday, 12/31 to 10AM Saturday, 1/1
Freshly fallen snow, gusty winds, and low temperatures will make for dangerous conditions through early tomorrow morning. Blowing snow could reduce visibilty at times and make roads hazardous. Temperatures generally between 10-15 F with winds between 25-40 MPH will cause windchills to be between -5 to -15 F. The low windchills combined with the blowing snow will make conditions unpleasant. Winds are expected to calm by Saturday afternoon.
Sunday, 1/2: A few breaks of sunshine, otherwise cloudy. High 27. Low 12.
Monday, 1/3: Partly sunny in the morning, becoming overcast during the afternoon. High 38. Low 12.
Tuesday, 1/4: Freezing fog early, otherwise cloudy with patchy fog, drizzle, and light showers. High 42. Low 30.
Wednesday, 1/5: Thick fog and drizzle in the morning, otherwise cloudy and becoming windy with rain. High 46. Low 36. Rainfall around a quarter of an inch.
Thursday, 1/6: Windy with rain transitioning to freezing rain; sleet and snow mixing in. High 44. Low 31. Rainfall around half an inch. Ice accumulations between a tenth of an inch to a quarter of an inch.
Friday, 1/7: Freezing rain early. Otherwise cloudy and colder with scattered flurries. High 31. Low 24.
The new year will start of cold and blustery, but turn wet and mild with drizzle and showers Tuesday turning into a wind-driven, soaking rain Wednesday through Thursday morning. Thursday morning will start off mild and wet, but will end with an ice storm. Precipitation will end early Friday, but it will remain cloudy and cold with temperatures in the 20s.
I would like it +/- 5 F of the averages for each month. It would be a very stable climate with temperature within the 10 F range at least 80% of the time, so the coldest it would get would be 16 F (-9 C) and the warmest it would get would be 83 F (28 C).
There would be a ten week snow season (mid December through late February), but it could extend into mid March. Average snowfall would be between 60 and 72 inches.
From late March through early May it would rain about 3 inches a week. The rest of the year it would rain about 2 inches a week. Average rainfall would be between 87 and 91 inches with at least 43 weeks a year of possible rain.
With the Coltingbury climate I've been adding up averages for occurances I've put in the data throughout the years (hailstorms, snow, 90 degree days, air frosts).
So far it's 9 hailstorms a year, with March, April and May getting the most, however the most hailstorms to occur in any one month was 11 in February 1993. January has the fewest hailstorms on average with only one every four Januarys.
Snow occurs on average 2.6 days per year, 1 day in January, 0.5 days in February, 0.7 days in December. The most snow days in a year was 11 days in 1912 (so far).
Air frosts: 18.3 in a year (more now I'm doing the 1910s - 1940s which were cooler) with Jan at 6.7, Feb 4.4, Dec 4.7. A few have occured in Mar, Apr & Nov. Most in a year was 54 in 1910, with the fewest being 0 in 1967.
90+ degree (°F) days now stands at 94.5 for the year, with around 26 each for July+August. The most in a year so far was 140 in 1911 and the least was 45 in the crap summer of 1963.
Summer mean temperature is 28.8°C / 83.8°F though the hottest month ever recorded (July 1957) had a mean temperature of 33°C / 91.4°F, with an average max of 40.2°C / 104.4°F.
I'll be able to post final averages once I've filled in the years from 1914 - 1954 which haven't been done yet.
I would like it +/- 5 F of the averages for each month. It would be a very stable climate with temperature within the 10 F range at least 80% of the time, so the coldest it would get would be 16 F (-9 C) and the warmest it would get would be 83 F (28 C).
There would be a ten week snow season (mid December through late February), but it could extend into mid March. Average snowfall would be between 60 and 72 inches.
From late March through early May it would rain about 3 inches a week. The rest of the year it would rain about 2 inches a week. Average rainfall would be between 87 and 91 inches with at least 43 weeks a year of possible rain.
It would be a very green and lush growing period.
How many hours of precipitation though?
Your prefered average temps are similar to Toronto but...
For those kinds of rain totals in Toronto we'd need some form of precip falling 60+% of all the hours of the year.
When we get 8 inches of rain in a summer month, it's very miserable; 20+ days of rain, 100+ hrs of rain.
With that many hours of rain, Toronto would be beyond-green and all moldy.
Most plants here would be decaying in such moisture.
Average conditions at the start of the forecast period, with unseasonable warmth building later in the week. Average temps for January are 16C/10C (61F/50F).
I would like it +/- 5 F of the averages for each month. It would be a very stable climate with temperature within the 10 F range at least 80% of the time, so the coldest it would get would be 16 F (-9 C) and the warmest it would get would be 83 F (28 C).
There would be a ten week snow season (mid December through late February), but it could extend into mid March. Average snowfall would be between 60 and 72 inches.
From late March through early May it would rain about 3 inches a week. The rest of the year it would rain about 2 inches a week. Average rainfall would be between 87 and 91 inches with at least 43 weeks a year of possible rain.
It would be a very green and lush growing period.
I could live in this climate. With all the rain I would assume it's pretty cloudy. Or does it all fall in quick downpours?
Coltingbury, North F'dania Weather Forecast Valid 4th- 9th January 2011
Tuesday 4th
Unseasonally cold, with a frost by night and sleety showers AM. Remaining overcast, a bitter N wind gusting to 25mph.
Low -2°C / 28°F, high 6°C / 43°F
Wednesday 5th
Even colder at night under clear skies, but becoming totally cloudy again by day with light showers, there could, again be sleet. Winds N to 20mph.
Low -3°C / 27°F, high 6°C / 43°F
Thursday 6th
Clear night, so another frost, but this time remaining clear throughout the day so some sunshine at last. Winds NW to 17mph.
Low -3°C / 26°F, high 9°C / 48°F
Friday 7th
Cloud increasing mid-AM from the W. Scattered clouds, though becoming overcast PM. Winds W to 15mph. Getting milder.
Low 4°C / 39°F, high 11°C / 52°F
Saturday 8th
A weak warm front in the area leading to overcast conditions but it should stay dry in the City. Winds W to 10mph.
Low 9°C / 48°F, high 15°C / 59°F
Sunday 9th
Becoming clearer by night, so cooler, but a generally clear and mild day.
Low 5°C / 41°F, high 15°C / 59°F
In my climate I imagine somewhat of a maritime influence with all the cloud cover, precipitation, and somewhat moderate temps ("moderate" would be a debatable term though), but still far enough north for there to be a strong enough arctic/continental influence to allow for cold winters. Intrusions of arcitc air are far more common than intrustions of warmer, tropical air...hence the bitter cold -37 F record low, and the rather benign 87 F record high.
I'm thinking of "editing" my climate's statistics, mainly because it seems a bit unrealistic. I know this is a dream climate thread, but I still want it to be somewhat realistic. Would an average January low of 10 F in a predominantly cloudy place be unrealistic? St. John's lowest average low during the winter is around 15 F. Are there other parts of the world that are very cloudy, but still have average lows lower than 15 F? The quote states the continental influence during the winter, but I'm wondering if my aim of a more maritime like climate is clouded (no pun intended) by the January average low and the all time record low.
I'm thinking of "editing" my climate's statistics, mainly because it seems a bit unrealistic. I know this is a dream climate thread, but I still want it to be somewhat realistic. Would an average January low of 10 F in a predominantly cloudy place be unrealistic? St. John's lowest average low during the winter is around 15 F. Are there other parts of the world that are very cloudy, but still have average lows lower than 15 F? The quote states the continental influence during the winter, but I'm wondering if my aim of a more maritime like climate is clouded (no pun intended) by the January average low and the all time record low.
St. John's is milder than the rest of Newfounland. West Coast is still cloudy but colder. A 10°F low in February might be more realistic than in January.
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