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Old 04-29-2021, 11:14 AM
 
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If every year that is under the "average" amount of rainfall is a drought year, then California is by definition in drought 50% of the time. This season WAS very unusually dry. But it's getting a bit boring to hear people start screaming "drought!" every time rainfall totals fall slightly under average--which, as stated, is half the time. Everyone should have learned to expect this by now.
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Old 05-05-2021, 03:00 PM
 
Location: Alexander Archipelago
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Quote:
Originally Posted by saibot View Post
If every year that is under the "average" amount of rainfall is a drought year, then California is by definition in drought 50% of the time. ..
Not quite. There is a certain threshold that will qualify conditions as drought, though I don't know how it's calculated. "Abnormally dry" is first stage, which would cover a lot of that imagined 50% before you'd reach "drought".
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Old 06-14-2021, 06:29 PM
 
Location: Northridge/Porter Ranch, Calif.
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Arktikos View Post
Not quite. There is a certain threshold that will qualify conditions as drought, though I don't know how it's calculated. "Abnormally dry" is first stage, which would cover a lot of that imagined 50% before you'd reach "drought".
It used to be a drought meant 3 consecutive seasons of below-average precipitation.
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Old 06-14-2021, 06:38 PM
 
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Originally Posted by Fleet View Post
It used to be a drought meant 3 consecutive seasons of below-average precipitation.
This is for well past our lifetimes. This will not change. May see short spikes of rain but long term lake Meade will be all gone and dry. Better start building many desal plants as that is gonna be the only water for people in the southwest not far off.
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Old 06-14-2021, 09:16 PM
 
Location: Northridge/Porter Ranch, Calif.
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Originally Posted by LKJ1988 View Post
This is for well past our lifetimes. This will not change. May see short spikes of rain but long term lake Meade will be all gone and dry. Better start building many desal plants as that is gonna be the only water for people in the southwest not far off.
I agree; desalination plants are needed.

However, there have been 4, 5, and even more consecutive dry years/seasons in the past...

For example, the 1944-45 season all the way to the 1950-51 season was below average precipitation. That is 7 consecutive seasons.

The closest to that in recent years was only 5 consecutive seasons... 2011-12 to 2015-16.

Source: Total Seasonal Rainfall 1877-Present for Downtown Los Angeles, California
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Old Yesterday, 08:58 AM
 
Location: California
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We’ve got a nasty heatwave coming up, with some inland areas in the bay exceeding 100F.

https://www.sfchronicle.com/local/ar...s-16247595.php

“Hot and dry conditions this week may elevate fire weather concerns, but the lack of stronger winds will likely prevent widespread critical fire conditions, meteorologists said.”

Let's hope they’re right.
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Old Yesterday, 11:40 AM
 
Location: Avignon, France
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Originally Posted by §AB View Post
Palm Springs has a perfect climate.
If you’re a lizard perhaps….
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Old Yesterday, 12:13 PM
 
Location: Northridge/Porter Ranch, Calif.
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Quote:
Originally Posted by zeppelin171 View Post
We’ve got a nasty heatwave coming up, with some inland areas in the bay exceeding 100F.

https://www.sfchronicle.com/local/ar...s-16247595.php

“Hot and dry conditions this week may elevate fire weather concerns, but the lack of stronger winds will likely prevent widespread critical fire conditions, meteorologists said.”

Let's hope they’re right.
They are probably right. Very rare to see Santa Ana winds in mid-June.
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Old Yesterday, 05:08 PM
 
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Originally Posted by Fleet View Post
They are probably right. Very rare to see Santa Ana winds in mid-June.
Just the start of the nitemare heat that area will see all summer and it will get much worse as more and more super highs all over the planet lock in and get bigger over the years.
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Old Yesterday, 09:42 PM
 
Location: Northridge/Porter Ranch, Calif.
23,585 posts, read 29,821,501 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by LKJ1988 View Post
Just the start of the nitemare heat that area will see all summer and it will get much worse as more and more super highs all over the planet lock in and get bigger over the years.
It's not that bad. At least it is not 80% humidity!

How do you know super highs will get bigger over the years?
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