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Old 08-06-2018, 09:22 AM
 
40 posts, read 69,603 times
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I am house hunting and while the spring felt strong, suddenly it feels like things are quaking a bit all over the county. Not sure why it would suddenly be happening now, but these things do tend to have a snowball effect. I'm wondering if lower tax towns (e.g. White Plains) won't be affected as much, but you never know.
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Old 08-06-2018, 12:50 PM
 
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Quote:
Originally Posted by demographer View Post
I am house hunting and while the spring felt strong, suddenly it feels like things are quaking a bit all over the county. Not sure why it would suddenly be happening now, but these things do tend to have a snowball effect. I'm wondering if lower tax towns (e.g. White Plains) won't be affected as much, but you never know.
I’m in the same boat. The Spring market was strong because parents were stlll trying to get their kids into schools. Closing takes about 2 months so by the end of June, all of those buyers bought already. Whatever is left on the market will probably have to wait until the Fall market starts up after Laborb Day. If the seller’s don’t adjust their prices accordingly, those houses might just sit until next Spring.

Rising interest/mortgage rates combined with Trump’s tax law changes capping state and property tax deductions have put a stop to the market’s fast rise. How much we correct is the big question.

Lower tax towns like Harrison have limited inventory below $1.5mm due to what I mentioned above.
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Old 08-06-2018, 01:01 PM
 
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but for your true "rent" in the suburb, you need to add the additional time to commute, and the cost of living in such a boring lifestyle.

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Originally Posted by mlamb93 View Post
We did basically the same analysis as JaRuss01.

Your "rent" in the city is equal to what you're paying for your apartment plus your NYC income tax. In terms of a house, your "rent" is your mortgage interest and property taxes. The principal on your mortgage can be viewed as forced savings. You can also use mortgage interest as a tax shield
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Old 08-06-2018, 01:25 PM
 
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Originally Posted by gen2010 View Post
but for your true "rent" in the suburb, you need to add the additional time to commute, and the cost of living in such a boring lifestyle.
Most people living in Manhattan have some form of commute. I know a few people who live in Brooklyn who commute 45 mins to midtown.

And once you have kids, it's tough to take advantage of all the city has to offer
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Old 08-07-2018, 04:12 PM
 
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So glad I bought in January!

In all seriousness though I bought somewhere I plan to live for 20 years so I'm less concerned with weakness in the next 2 years. The math was still favorable to me to get out of the city. My after-tax cost of the house will still be better than equivalent rent in the city plus city tax. And then when you include private school costs in the city it becomes a no-brainer for me to be in Westchester.
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Old 08-07-2018, 04:48 PM
 
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I don’t understand why everyone emphasizes the schools. All schools but private ones run the same program. Yes they are less crowded but to me they are so not worth the 25-30K tax price tag. Plenty of schools in the city are very good. There are also GT programs. I don’t know I just feel like too many people want to justify their taxes with education. Unless of course you are in HS and you need those AP classes. Many of my friends I know even in Scarsdale would get a private tutor.
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Old 08-08-2018, 09:30 AM
 
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just cannot figure how you math works. a one million dollar house in Scaresdale would easily cost you 4000 in mortgage, 3000 in tax, and you need to factor into additional maintenance cost and cost of commuting, that is like another 1000 per month. So your cost is 8000 per month. average 2 bed apartments in the city cost only 4000

Quote:
Originally Posted by LeavingNYCfast View Post
So glad I bought in January!

In all seriousness though I bought somewhere I plan to live for 20 years so I'm less concerned with weakness in the next 2 years. The math was still favorable to me to get out of the city. My after-tax cost of the house will still be better than equivalent rent in the city plus city tax. And then when you include private school costs in the city it becomes a no-brainer for me to be in Westchester.
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Old 08-08-2018, 09:48 AM
 
821 posts, read 775,195 times
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Originally Posted by gen2010 View Post
just cannot figure how you math works. a one million dollar house in Scaresdale would easily cost you 4000 in mortgage, 3000 in tax, and you need to factor into additional maintenance cost and cost of commuting, that is like another 1000 per month. So your cost is 8000 per month. average 2 bed apartments in the city cost only 4000
Tough to find a good 2 bedroom apt in manhattan for $4k. Even Long Island City costs more than that now. Plus if you have 2 or more kids, you will likely want a bigger place than 2 BR.

You are also forgertting to factor in NYC income tax. The average person moving to Scarsdale makes at least $100K per year, taxed at 4% NYC City tax is $4K per $100k of income per year. Some families make a combined $500k or more so that’s $20K in NYC City tax per year.
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Old 08-08-2018, 10:02 AM
 
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You can easily find a non-luxury 2 bedroom in Manhattan under 4000. In outerboros, you can rent a two bed for 2500 in a nice neighborhood. Even you factor into city tax, it still costs much less in the city.cost aside, the suburban lifestyle is simply out of fashion. that is why you see the price in suburbs is moving downwards, while the price in the city keeps climbing

Quote:
Originally Posted by Dabaomb View Post
Tough to find a good 2 bedroom apt in manhattan for $4k. Even Long Island City costs more than that now. Plus if you have 2 or more kids, you will likely want a bigger place than 2 BR.

You are also forgertting to factor in NYC income tax. The average person moving to Scarsdale makes at least $100K per year, taxed at 4% NYC City tax is $4K per $100k of income per year. Some families make a combined $500k or more so that’s $20K in NYC City tax per year.
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Old 08-08-2018, 10:56 AM
 
95 posts, read 196,306 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by gen2010 View Post
You can easily find a non-luxury 2 bedroom in Manhattan under 4000. In outerboros, you can rent a two bed for 2500 in a nice neighborhood. Even you factor into city tax, it still costs much less in the city.cost aside, the suburban lifestyle is simply out of fashion. that is why you see the price in suburbs is moving downwards, while the price in the city keeps climbing
The principal portion of your mortgage can be viewed as long-term savings. So your "rent" in the suburbs is the interest on your mortgage plus the property tax. The interest is also a tax shield.

Rent is a 100% an expense. And you also owe city tax.

What it comes down to is that people with multiple kids need space. You don't get space in the city for a reasonable $/sq foot.
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