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Old 01-17-2013, 02:24 PM
 
Location: Las Vegas
13 posts, read 29,545 times
Reputation: 16

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I'm not expert on this issue, but I have been reading a lot about the Bakken. I think the rig decline recently has to do with companies cutting expenses to remain competitive. Some costs of fracking have increased, and they're trying to streamline their operations to compensate.

Also, rigs are getting more efficient, and more "walking rigs" are being used, which reduces the number needed to drill the same amount of wells.

I think, as long as oil is above $80 a barrel, then it's still profitable to drill. I think there may be some short term volatility, like there is in any boom. But, long term, they're going to be working the Bakken for many years to come.
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Old 01-17-2013, 06:40 PM
 
Location: Spots Wyoming
18,700 posts, read 42,053,353 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by tigster65 View Post
I'm not expert on this issue, but I have been reading a lot about the Bakken. I think the rig decline recently has to do with companies cutting expenses to remain competitive. Some costs of fracking have increased, and they're trying to streamline their operations to compensate.

Also, rigs are getting more efficient, and more "walking rigs" are being used, which reduces the number needed to drill the same amount of wells.

I think, as long as oil is above $80 a barrel, then it's still profitable to drill. I think there may be some short term volatility, like there is in any boom. But, long term, they're going to be working the Bakken for many years to come.
Well, the Oil Executives, in an interview, are the ones that said if prices dropped below $100 a barrel, that it wouldn't be profitable to continue opening new wells. But, they could be wrong.
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Old 01-17-2013, 10:24 PM
 
73,007 posts, read 62,585,728 times
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Originally Posted by ElkHunter View Post
Well, the Oil Executives, in an interview, are the ones that said if prices dropped below $100 a barrel, that it wouldn't be profitable to continue opening new wells. But, they could be wrong.
I don't know who to trust in this case.
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Old 01-19-2013, 11:34 AM
 
Location: Las Vegas
13 posts, read 29,545 times
Reputation: 16
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Originally Posted by green_mariner View Post
I don't know who to trust in this case.
Well, my understanding is that oil from the Bakken sells at a discount compared to the West Texas Intermediate index, due to a supply glut because they can't get the oil to market fast enough. They're increasing rail shipment, and building pipelines, to expand that. So, that discount ought to decrease this year.

I'm basing this on reading a guy named Michael Filloon on Seeking Alpha, which is an investment site. I recommend checking him out if you're interested. He focusses a lot on the Bakken, and he really seems to know what he's talking about.
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Old 01-19-2013, 01:22 PM
 
73,007 posts, read 62,585,728 times
Reputation: 21918
Quote:
Originally Posted by tigster65 View Post
Well, my understanding is that oil from the Bakken sells at a discount compared to the West Texas Intermediate index, due to a supply glut because they can't get the oil to market fast enough. They're increasing rail shipment, and building pipelines, to expand that. So, that discount ought to decrease this year.

I'm basing this on reading a guy named Michael Filloon on Seeking Alpha, which is an investment site. I recommend checking him out if you're interested. He focusses a lot on the Bakken, and he really seems to know what he's talking about.
I will check it out. I'm currently without a job right now.
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Old 01-19-2013, 01:41 PM
 
Location: Las Vegas
13 posts, read 29,545 times
Reputation: 16
Yeah, rig count and production have both declined a bit recently. That's most likely a temporary thing though. Good luck on the job hunt.
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